During the Spring Festival holiday, the domestic pig market is basically in a state of closure, pig prices are basically flat compared with a few years ago, and there are slight adjustments in individual areas, and pig prices on the whole maintain stable operation. After the Spring Festival, the white strip market in many places will return to flat, and the demand for pork will inertia decline, and it is expected that pig prices will run weakly after the Spring Festival.
Northeast Region: During the Spring Festival, the mainstream transaction of retail investors in the Liaoning Inner Mongolia market was 12.80-13.20 yuan / kg, down 0.4 yuan / kg from before the festival, the scale field was less out of the bar, the market transaction was mainly retail, the retail market was active, the short-term market was greatly affected by the mentality, the general market mentality was more pessimistic, after the holiday, the scale field out of the bar returned to normal, the pig source was sufficient, and it is expected that the market still has room for a slight decline. The pig market in Heiji area is relatively light, the mainstream price in Heilongjiang is 12.6-12.8 yuan / kg, and the mainstream price reference in Jilin is 13.0 yuan / kg, which is stable. The festival is coming to an end, the slaughterhouse is resuming work one after another, the demand is average, the pig collection is not active, and the market transaction is not active. Downstream stocks are sufficient, pork demand is expected to recover quickly, pig supply is still sufficient, pig prices will remain weak.
Shandong region: During the Spring Festival, the pig price in Shandong was stable and small, the price of large-scale enterprises was mostly 14.20-14.80 yuan / kg, and the reference price of small and medium-sized retail investors was 13.60-14.00 yuan / kg, and the actual transaction in the market was small. Since the third year of the junior high school, slaughtering enterprises have started work at a low level. After the holiday, the market demand inertia fell, and the market pig source is sufficient, in the short term, the market shows a strong supply and weak demand, and the market pig price is weak.
Hebei region: At the beginning of the Spring Festival, most enterprises in Hebei Province took vacations, and there were not many plans for large-scale breeding enterprises in the late Spring Festival, the enthusiasm of retail households to go out of the bar was acceptable, the slaughterhouse start was maintained at a low level, the acquisition difficulty was not large, and the support for pig prices was limited. During the Spring Festival, the price of pigs in Hebei is stable, the mainstream price of retail investors is 13.60-14.00 yuan / kg, and the scale farm is 14.00-14.30 yuan / kg. At the end of the holiday, the market output has increased one after another, while the demand after the holiday is flat, and it is expected that the short-term pig price will be weak.
Shanxi region: During the Spring Festival, the overall price of pigs in Shanxi has stabilized, and the price of large-scale enterprises is mostly 13.0-13.6 yuan / kg, and the average price of small and medium-sized retail reference is 13.2 yuan / kg. The amount of breeding output is general, the market transaction is small, the terminal demand is weak, and the pig price is expected to fall after the holiday.
Yuwan region: During the Spring Festival, the overall price of pigs in Henan has not fluctuated much, the mainstream price of pigs in Henan is 13.8-14.0 yuan / kg, and the mainstream price of the scale field in Anhui is 14.2-14.6, and the market supply and demand are small. After the second year of the first year, a small number of slaughtering enterprises started at a low level, but the market transaction activity was not high. After the holiday, with the decline of demand support, the supply of pig sources increases, and the market may gradually show a weak state of supply and demand.
Jiangsu region: During the Spring Festival, the pig price in Jiangsu is basically stable, the mainstream quotation of the scale farm is 14.80-15.20 yuan / kg, and the slaughtering enterprises are basically in the holiday period during the Spring Festival, the market transaction is light, the transaction volume is small, and the price is basically unchanged. After the festival, the supply side of the breeding column is still sufficient, and the demand side is weak after the festival, and it is expected that the Jiangsu market will still be weak.
Zhejiang and Fujian region: During the Spring Festival, the price change of pigs in Zhejiang and Fujian is not obvious, the listed price of the standard pig in the scale field in Zhejiang is 15.0-15.4 yuan / kg, the list price of the standard pig in the scale field in Fujian is 13.8-14.4 yuan / kg, and the reference piglet for 7 kg is 280-290 yuan / head. There are not many retail households, slaughtering enterprises have a small slaughter volume, they are not eager to collect pigs, and transactions are limited, and they are currently recovering. The pressure on the breeding end still exists, the downstream terminal white strip volume is still limited, the market wait-and-see sentiment is slightly stronger, the short-term lack of demand is good to boost, and it is expected that the market after the holiday will still be stable and weak.
Two Lakes region: During the Spring Festival, the price of pigs in the two lakes area is stable and minor, the scale field quotation is 13.40-14.00 yuan / kg, and the 7 kg weaned piglet is quoted at 240-250 yuan / head, which is basically in the State of Suspension during the Spring Festival, and the actual transaction is small. After the Spring Festival, the demand for white strips at the terminal of the two lakes may decline to a certain extent, the market supply is strong, and it is expected that the pig price will be weak after the holiday.
Jiangxi region: During the Spring Festival, the price of pigs in Jiangxi increased by 0.40-0.80 yuan / kg compared with before the festival, and the mainstream quotation of the scale field was 13.60-14.20 yuan / kg. Most of the slaughterhouses resumed construction on the second day of the first month of the first month, but there were many stockpiles in the early stage, coupled with the slow recovery of trade circulation, the overall transaction volume was relatively general, and most of them were just needed to be transferred for commercial supermarkets and agricultural trades. Farm quotations began to appear, but the amount of recent release is not much; the overall demand expectation after the year is low, the amount of farmers out of the pen gradually increased, it is expected that pig prices are still weak.
Sichuan-Chongqing region: During the Spring Festival, the pig price in Sichuan-Chongqing area was stable and small, the mainstream quotation of the scale field was 13.40-14.20 yuan / kg, the actual transaction in the market was less, and some of the scale farms began to be out of the bar on the fourth day of the first month. Slaughtering enterprises are on vacation, some enterprises have a small amount of slaughter, and the overall low level of operation is started. The supply of pigs in the post-holiday market is sufficient, the demand or seasonal decline, it is expected that pig prices may be weak.
Yunnan-Guizhou region: During the Spring Festival, the pig price in Yunnan-Guizhou region was stable and small, and the price of large-scale enterprises was mostly 12.4-13.6 yuan / kg, and the reference price of small and medium-sized retail households was 12-13.3 yuan / kg, and the actual transaction in the market was small. At the beginning of the third year of the first year, some slaughtering enterprises started at a low level, the market pig source was sufficient, the demand weakened, and the market pig price was weak in the short term.
Guangdong region: During the Spring Festival, the price of live pigs in Guangdong increased by 0.40-0.60 yuan / kg steadily, and the mainstream quotation of the scale farm was 14.20-14.80 yuan / kg. The market restart trading time is earlier than other provinces, some traders, slaughterhouses began to work normally on the second and third of the first month of the first month, but the overall transaction volume is more general, more to meet the market just needs, the scale of the field is not much, small and medium-sized scattered rational goods, slaughter enterprises slaughter normal. After the holiday, demand returned to the off-season, while the amount of farms increased, the market supply was strong and the demand was weak, and the pig price was mainly weak.
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Guangxi: During the Spring Festival, the price of live pigs in Guangxi rose steadily by 0.20-0.40 yuan / kg, and the mainstream quotation of the scale farm was 14.40-14.80 yuan / kg. In the second part of the first two slaughterhouses have started construction, the amount of farms is not much, the market transaction is general, and the amount of farms is limited, so the pig price is stable and high. Post-holiday demand is cold, and there are many pigs to be released from farms, and it is expected that pig prices will have room to decline after the holiday.
Pork prices are half as cheap as last year, and may meet the weak supply and demand situation in the next year
The Spring Festival holiday in the Year of the Tiger is coming to an end. Mr. Zeng, a Beijing resident, found that the price of fruits and meat during this year's Spring Festival is very "close to the people", especially the price of pork, which is almost half cheaper than last year.
The price of pork in this year's Spring Festival is also very "close to the people". In the supermarket, the reporter saw that a pound of pork (five flowers) was less than 14 yuan / kg (city pound). During the Spring Festival, the average wholesale price of pork in the country also returned to around 11 yuan / catty, far below the level of 23 yuan / catty in the same period last year.
The picture shows a reporter from a commercial supermarket in the Beijing area
Looking at the pork market, Wei Xin, senior pig analyst of CITIC Construction Investment Futures, analyzed: "The pigs to be released after the Spring Festival will increase the supply of pigs. It is expected that the market will be dominated by weak supply and demand in the short term after the year, but the supply pressure will gradually recover with time, and it is expected that the market will continue to bear the supply pressure in March and May. ”
From the CPI point of view, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that for the whole of 2021, the national consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.9% year-on-year, of which the increase in November was the highest in the whole year, reaching 2.3%, and the increase in December fell back to 1.5%. "Due to the decline in pork prices, the year-on-year increase in food prices in 2021 fell sharply, driving the CPI's annual increase narrowed, below the expected target of about 3% for the whole year." Gao Tingting said.
Source: Wind