The probability of a rate hike in March is still high.
The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in the 0%-0.25% range is 94.4% in January and the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 5.6%; the probability of maintaining interest rates in the 0%-0.25% range in March is 6.6%, the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 88.2%, the probability of raising rates by 50 basis points is 5.2%, the probability of maintaining the 0%-0.25% range in May is 3.4%, the probability of raising rates by 25 basis points is 48.5%, and the probability of raising rates by 50 basis points is 45.6%. 75 basis point hike with a 2.5% probability