The A shares on the 24th rose OK, but I never expected that overnight, the global situation suddenly changed, and a big black swan was killed on the periphery, the Russian stock market collapsed by 10% at one point, and the European and US stock markets were diving, and I didn't know whether the A shares on the 25th could be okay.
The latest broadcast of global stock markets
Xinhua News Agency's latest news last night and this morning: The three major stock indexes in the New York stock market fell sharply on the 24th, and the Nasdaq Composite Index fell the most in the morning at 4.22%. The financial times average price index of 100 stocks in the London stock market closed at 7297.15 points on the 24th, down 196.98 points or 2.63% from the previous session. Major European stock markets fell sharply on the 24th, of which the CAC40 index of the French Paris stock market and the DAX index of the Frankfurt stock market in Germany fell by more than 3% intraday. Major European stock markets fell sharply on the 24th, of which the CAC40 index of the French Paris stock market and the DAX index of the Frankfurt stock market in Germany fell by more than 3% intraday.
Geopolitical tensions have triggered a sharp shock in Russia's financial markets
According to Xinhua News Agency, affected by geopolitical tensions, the Russian financial market experienced a sharp fluctuation on the 24th.
According to real-time data from the Moscow Stock Exchange, as of 17:55 Moscow time (22:55 Beijing time), the Russian Trading System Index, one of Russia's two largest stock indexes, fell 7.98%. On the same day, the exchange rate of the ruble against the US dollar in the foreign exchange market also hit a new low in more than a year.
The official website of the Central Bank of Russia issued a statement on the same day that in order to reduce the volatility of the financial market, the Russian Central Bank has suspended the purchase of foreign exchange in the domestic market since 15:00 Moscow time on the 24th, and will decide when to resume the purchase of foreign exchange according to the actual situation of the market.
At one point, the Russian index collapsed by 10%
Europe plunged and U.S. stocks plunged
Let's look at the market's reaction first. The situation in Russia and Ukraine has disturbed the market! The global market has suddenly changed, and European stocks have fallen sharply!
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine have escalated abruptly and Europe could face the threat of war, creating enormous uncertainty in global financial markets, with Russia's RTS index plunging 10 percent at one point.
In the foreign exchange market, the Russian ruble extended its downward trend, and as of 21:00 Beijing time, the dollar rose nearly 2% against the Russian ruble to 78.85. The Russian central bank stated on its website that it has suspended the purchase of foreign exchange since 3 p.m. on January 24 to reduce market volatility. Budgetary purchases will be restarted depending on market conditions. The Central Bank of Russia said it was paying close attention to the market situation and had the tools to avoid threats to market stability. After the action of the Central Bank of Russia, the decline of the ruble against the dollar was contained.
Affected by the escalation of tensions between Russia and Ukraine, the decline in European stocks continued to expand, with the European Stoke 50, Italy FTSE MIB, the Uk's FTSE 100, the German DAX index, and the French CAC40 index all plummeting more than 3%!
In the US stock market, the Dow plunged more than 700 points at one point, and the Nasdaq index fell more than 2%
The panic index is also soaring.
Kgong: Ukraine has massively assembled its troops in preparation for an attack
According to the Russian Satellite News Agency on January 24, Russian Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on the 24th that the large-scale assembly of Ukrainian troops in the Contact Line in the Donbass region shows that Ukraine is ready to launch an attack. Peskov said: "The Ukrainian government is concentrating a large number of troops and equipment on the border with the self-proclaimed Independent Donetsk People's Republic. In fact, the essence of this assembly is to prepare for offensive operations. ”
In this case, Peskov said, Moscow wants NATO to urge Ukraine not to consider the possibility of a military settlement. Peskov said: "At present, the possibility of Ukraine launching a military conflict in eastern Ukraine is higher than ever. ”
According to the report, Dennis Pushlin, the leader of the "Donetsk People's Republic", said earlier on the 24th that Ukraine is transporting artillery and tanks to the Contact Line to Donbass. Pushlin said: "Ukraine's move shows that this is in preparation for the offensive, and that artillery and tank personnel have been deployed to specific locations. ”
The United States and the United Kingdom have announced
Some diplomats will be recalled
On January 23, local time, due to the continued tension between Ukraine and Russia, the US State Department raised the level of tourism in Ukraine to "do not travel", advising US citizens not to travel to Ukraine.
According to an internal cable obtained by ABC, the State Department also called on U.S. citizens in Ukraine to consider leaving now. The document also authorizes U.S. DirectLy Employed Employees (USDHs) in the area to leave Ukraine voluntarily and orders families of eligible diplomats to leave the U.S. Embassy in Kiev, Ukraine.
The Ukrainian State News Agency reported on January 24 that Ukrainian Foreign Ministry spokesman Nikolenko said on the same day that the Ukrainian Foreign Ministry noted the decision of the US State Department to let some employees and family members of the US Embassy in Ukraine evacuate Ukraine, and Ukraine believes that the US decision is premature.
Nicolenko also stressed that the U.S. State Department's decision does not mean that all employees of the U.S. Embassy will now leave Ukraine. In addition, Nicolenko said it is important to soberly assess the risks that may exist and stay calm.
The British Foreign Ministry released a message on January 24 local time that some personnel and family members of the British Embassy in Ukraine began to evacuate Ukraine as a response to Russia's "growing threat".
British officials said there were no specific threats against British diplomats, but about half of the staff who worked at the embassy would return to Britain. However, the British Embassy in Ukraine will remain "open and will continue to carry out the necessary work".
On the 24th local time, the French Foreign Ministry said that in view of the possible attack on Ukraine in the next few days, which caused concerns, the French Foreign Ministry advised citizens to postpone "non-essential travel" to Ukraine.
EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Borrell said in Brussels on the 24th local time that US Secretary of State Blinken will explain to the EU why the families of US diplomats in Ukraine should be evacuated from the country. The EU currently has no plans to do the same, as it is unclear what particular reasons are for doing so.
On the same day, the EU Foreign Ministers' Meeting was held in Brussels, and Russian-Ukrainian relations are the most important topic of concern to all parties.
In response to a reporter's question before the meeting, Borrelli said that he believed that as long as the negotiations between the parties on the Russian-Ukrainian issue continued, there was no need for EU diplomats to withdraw from Ukraine. However, Borrelli also noted that "Blinken may have more information to share with us."
On January 24, local time, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova told the media that the Russian Embassy in Ukraine is working normally. She believes that the move of the United States and Britain to evacuate their diplomats in Kiev, Ukraine, is strange and unwise.
On the 24th local time, German Federal Foreign Minister Berberk said that Germany would not let diplomats in Ukraine and their families evacuate from Kiev for the time being.
Berbock said Germany would constantly assess changes in the situation in Ukraine and that the safety of diplomats was a "top priority." She also pointed out that if the uncertainty of the situation in Ukraine continues to deteriorate, it will have a negative impact on investment.
90 tons of U.S. armament arrived in Ukraine
NATO sent more warships and fighter jets to Eastern Europe
The US Embassy in Ukraine posted on social media on the 22nd that the first batch of aid ordered to the Ukrainian side by US President Joseph Biden not long ago arrived in Ukraine on the evening of the 21st, including about 90 tons of "lethal" military assistance, including ammunition for Ukrainian front-line soldiers.
The U.S. government decided in December to supply $200 million worth of arms to Ukraine. U.S. State Department officials at the time called the aid "defensive."
The first batch of military aid arrived, transported by a US cargo plane to Kiev, the capital of Ukraine.
The U.S. embassy said the aid and the $2.7 billion worth of military aid it has provided to Ukraine since 2014 shows "the Determination of the United States to Help Ukraine Strengthen Its Defenses in the Face of Russia's Aggressiveness."
The Russian government has long demanded that the United States stop supplying arms to Ukraine.
Since the end of last year, Russia and Ukraine have each sent heavy troops to the border areas bordering the two countries. The United States and other Western countries said that Russia may "invade" Ukraine. In this regard, the Russian government said that the Russian side has the right to mobilize troops in its own territory and has no intention of attacking other countries, while the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization deploy weapons systems in the neighboring countries in western Russia under the guise of the Russian threat.
NATO said on January 24 local time that in order to "cope with Russia's military build-up on the Ukrainian border", it is putting troops on standby and will send more warships and fighter jets to support Eastern Europe.
Reuters reported on January 24 that NATO's move reinforces a series of signals: despite Russia's repeated denials of any invasion plans, the West is still preparing for aggressive action by Russia or Ukraine. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said in a statement, "I welcome allies to provide more troops to NATO. NATO will continue to take all necessary measures to protect all its allies, including strengthening the eastern part of the alliance (security guarantees). ”
What's going on behind the scenes?
Recently, the deterioration of Russian-Ukrainian relations has accelerated, and western countries led by the United States have continued to hype that Russia is about to "invade" Ukraine, and the Russian side has resolutely denied and repeatedly stressed that the deterioration of the situation is due to NATO's continuous erosion of Russia's security space.
On the 21st, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov held talks with US Secretary of State Blinken in Geneva, Switzerland. Lavrov said at a press conference held after the meeting that Russia has no plans to invade Ukraine, and that the United States and Western countries hype the Ukraine crisis in order to cover up their military co-optation with Ukraine in order to continue to erode Russia's security space.
Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zakharova said at a regular press conference on the 20th that in recent times, Western countries have actively hyped up the topic of "Russia is preparing to invade Ukraine" in order to cover up the large-scale provocations they are preparing to launch, including military operations. British military transport aircraft have been shipping weapons to Ukraine for several days, and the United States has supplied Ukraine with 30 sets of Javelin anti-tank missile systems and 180 missiles in recent months.
In December last year, Russia proposed to the United States and NATO and released two draft security guarantee agreements, delineating security "red lines" and demanding that NATO promise to stop expansion and not include Ukraine or other countries. Zakharova said on the 23rd that Moscow is waiting for the United States to make a written reply to the draft article by article, and the Russian side has shown full willingness to cooperate.
As the second largest republic in the Soviet union after Russia, heavy industry and naval aircraft carrier construction base, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Ukraine inevitably became a "place where soldiers must fight".
Over the past 30 years, NATO membership has been increasing, squeezing Russia's strategic space. Putin has repeatedly asked NATO to stop absorbing former Soviet countries like Ukraine.
According to expert analysis, on the one hand, NATO's eastward expansion has reached the point of endangering Russia's security. If NATO does not promise Russia not to absorb Ukraine and Georgia, Russia will inevitably respond. What needs to be judged is what kind and how large-scale a military response Russia will make.
On the other hand, as far as the current situation is concerned, NATO is not in a hurry to absorb Ukraine. On the Western side, the main concern is the recurrence of the "Crimean crisis", that is, the ownership of the eastern region of Ukraine. In fact, for a country like Ukraine, the best diplomatic option is to remain neutral.
On the 17th, NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg said that NATO "will never agree" to the Russian proposal to withdraw troops from countries that join nato after 1997.
Two days later, US President Joe Biden said that if Russia only "invaded" Ukraine on a small scale, the US response would be lighter than the "all-out invasion." As soon as this remark came out, Ukrainian President Zelensky immediately protested fiercely, and Biden had to change his mouth and say that if Russia uses force, "the United States will make Moscow pay a heavy price."
China hopes that Russia will not invade Ukraine during the Beijing Winter Olympics? Zhao Lijian: It is purely imaginary
TASS: According to media reports, China has said that it "hopes that Russia will not 'invade' Ukraine during the Beijing Winter Olympics." The Russian Foreign Ministry and the Chinese Embassy in Russia have debunked the rumors, saying that the relevant reports are not true. This is not the first time that the Western media have reported false information about Russia and China. What is China's comment on this? Do you think that the relevant reports show that some Western countries are deliberately attacking the smooth development of Russian-Chinese relations?
Zhao Lijian: You are talking about bloomberg's relevant reports, right? (Reporter nods)
This report is pure fiction, not only a slander and provocation of Sino-Russian relations, but also a deliberate interference and sabotage of the Beijing Winter Olympics. Such despicable tactics cannot deceive the international community.
I would like to stress that today's China-Russia relations are mature, stable and resilient, and the two sides maintain close communication at all levels. Any attempt to alienate Sino-Russian relations and challenge Sino-Russian mutual trust is futile. At the same time, as supporters and practitioners of the Olympic spirit, we have always opposed the politicization of sports, let alone being rhythmized by certain forces in the world.
At present, the preparations for the Beijing Winter Olympics have entered the final sprint stage. We are confident of presenting to the world a "simple, safe and wonderful" Olympic event, and we are also confident of ensuring the success, smoothness and success of the trip to Beijing by leaders of various countries, including President Putin.
Column Editor-in-Chief: Zhang Wu Text Editor: Song Hui Title Image Source: Visual China Image Editor: Shao Jing
Source: Author: China Fund News, Xinhua News Agency