Foreword: What is the probability of 1.6%? It is orders of magnitude larger than the probability that we would buy a prize above the consolation prize in the lottery. How small is the probability of 1.6%? For Protoss players, it is enough to be a chasm against our rush to love and mountains and seas. Looking back at the time of the original god in September 2020, the 1.6% withdrawal probability was ridiculed by millions of netizens as "the most critical in history", but who among us today is not hoping for the stars and the moon for this 1.6%? But in fact, even if the impact of "accidentality" on the overall probability is completely abandoned, 1.6% is not an obstacle to players achieving full character achievements.
"Full Character Achievement" Condition analysis - 1.6% is not low, and the weapon pool is the trap
As of the opening of version 2.4, the original god has opened the character UP pool a total of 26 times (including forks and double up pool calculations 2 times). After removing Elloy, there are only 19 5-star characters in the game, in other words, we have 26 opportunities to light up the characters who have not yet entered our own book, which even gives us 4 crooked bottoms and the opportunity to stay in the pool to supplement Qin, Qiqi, Lu Laoye, mona.
Subsequently, according to data party sources, before the 2.3 version, we were able to "white prostitutes" 115611 rough and 118 entangled edges; counting the 14-month small monthly card, a total of 1260 draws. This means: "There are currently 14 limited characters, each of which can be allocated to about 92 pumps of space". Considering that the player accidentally takes the time-limited character within 10 draws, other characters can be given more fault tolerance.
Therefore, it is not difficult to conclude that the ordinary monthly card party has the ability to achieve full character achievements, at least the odds are not insignificant. But there are very few players who do not touch the weapon pool, the idea of "making a mistake is lame" prevails in the forum, but most players have more "poison" than the character pool, and the reason that prevents us from marrying Thor/Shenli/Shenhe has been found - the bride price of the wife in front is too much (fog).
985 Planning Miscalculation! The monthly card first charge party full role probability is baked, Krypton is sour
However, in probability theory, with enough samples, we can no longer pray for "10 times to ship"; coupled with the holes that need to be filled after each small guarantee is crooked, it is too difficult for ordinary players, so we try to relax the conditions: for monthly cards, first charge players, how difficult is it for the whole character to be without a weapon pool?
The role of the first charge is ultimately "filling holes". According to machine learning statistics, when taking the strategy of "star brilliance conversion, weapon pool does not touch, set quantitative resources, and draw until the resources are exhausted or successfully drawn", the white prostitute players are almost completely wiped out, the small month card party, the big and small month card party have a probability of 0.42%, 1.42% can be full role, and the first charge party has an amazing probability of 30.9%. You know, many Kryptonians often need to pay several times the resources of the first party to draw cards in order to fully play the role (and a small number of life seats), and the survival rate of 30.9% is really frighteningly high, this wave is a 985 planning miscalculation? The answer is optimistic, and many Kryptonians can only sour after seeing it.
Summary of personal analysis
In the game, we often fall into the logical circle of "smoking characters for their own liking, not for strength", "no special weapons and no strength". As one of the main selling points of the whole game, the attraction of the whole character is in any case stronger than having a special weapon. The author's intention in writing this article is not to "encourage Krypton gold", but to tell players: when we find that the whole character is not so difficult, don't stop fighting for a "dedicated" weapon. Drawing cards and withdrawing money is essentially just the icing on the cake, not our game goal. Finally, do you think that the probability of the full character of the monthly card first charge player 30.9% is high? Is there a full character of the Monthly Card Party? Leave a message in the comment area!