FIFA has announced a shortlist of 3 players for the 2021 Player of the Year, and Messi, Levan and Salah have successfully been shortlisted, so who is more likely to win? Let's take a look at it.
Voting rules
Unlike the Golden Globe Awards, which are only voted by professional journalists, FIFA's annual best vote is divided into four parts: the media, the national team manager, the national team captain, and the fans, so in addition to professionalism, popularity, and the number of fans also affect the final result to a certain extent.
Time range
So what is the basis for voting? FIFA explicitly stipulates that it is about the achievements made between 8 October 2020 and 7 August 2021, that is, it is not looking at the entire calendar year of 2021, nor does it include the first half of the 2021-22 season.
So how did the three candidates perform during this time period? We can compare 10 pieces of data with individual and team honors to make a PK.
Data PK
First, the number of appearances, Messi has the most 57 games, Salah 45 and Levan 44. Second, the number of goals scored, Levan has the most 51 goals, Messi 43 goals and Salah 26 goals.
Third, the number of assists, Messi has the most 17, Levan 8 and Salah 6. Fourth, scoring goals per game, Levan has the most goals of 1.16, Messi 0.75 and Salah 0.58.
Fifth, to create opportunities, Messi has the most 147 times, Salah 56 times and Levan 47 times. Sixth, create major opportunities, Messi has the most 34 times, Levan 13 times and Salah 12 times. Seventh, successfully passed, Messi had the most 276 times, Levan 41 times, and Salah 39 times.
Eighth, the expected number of goals scored, Levan has the most goals of 40.55, Messi 38.55 and Salah 26.12. Ninth, the expected number of assists, Messi has the most 24.2, Levan 7.34 and Salah 6.84. Tenth, the best rating in the competition, Messi has the most 33 times, Levan 16 times, salah 4 times.
Finally, let's look at the honor aspect. Messi won the Copa del Rey and Copa America, la Liga Golden Boot, Copa America Golden Ball, Golden Boot and Assists King, and gained the most. Levan won the Bundesliga and Club World Cups, the Bundesliga Golden Boot, the European Golden Boot and the Club World Cup Golden Boot, which are not as heavy as Messi. Salah did not receive individual or team honors.
In short, Messi won 8, Levan won 3, salah did not win 1, purely accompanied by running.