【Introduction】2021 end, pig prices ups and downs, farmers suffered a lot, this year, with the release of domestic pig production capacity, pigs have gradually changed from "golden pigs" to "mud pigs", after the middle of the year, pigs out of the pen is more into a continuous months of loss period, trough, the average price of domestic mainstream pigs showed a "break 5 into 4" trend, in the south of many places, pork prices also generally fell below 10 yuan / kg, in the northeast and north China, pork prices once fell to 7 ~ 8 yuan / jin, meat prices diving, It also intensified the rebound of the market, entering The month of January, the pig price showed a sideways trend of 16 yuan / kg!
However, due to the weak performance of domestic terminal pork demand, the overall supply of pork in the market showed a loose performance, and the domestic cold storage pork also successively impacted the market, pork consumption after a brief boost, with the New Year's Day holiday is coming to an end, the support of pork consumption plummeted, and the market pig supply side, pig out of the bar performance in general, due to holiday factors, ordinary farmers lack of emotions out of the bar, and for the domestic mainstream breeding enterprises, large-scale pig enterprises out of the bar is tight, the market shows a stalemate situation!
According to pig price data analysis, by the slaughtering enterprises to adjust the settlement price of pigs, on January 3, pig prices changed face, the market "non-rising and non-falling", pig prices showed a sideways stabilization performance, the national market pig price out of the average price of pigs out of the bar maintained at 16.04 yuan / kg, pig prices stalemate stabilized, compared with the previous day pig prices flat!
From the perspective of market supply and demand, in the 7 pig production areas that can be monitored in the country, in the 28 provinces and cities that are monitored, pig prices are stable and small, pig prices in the local market are narrowly adjusted, and pig prices in most parts of the south are stable sideways, among them, the northeast and northwest local pig price shocks are stronger, the southwest market is down, and in other markets pig price shocks are stable! In the northeast region, Heilongjiang and Jilin markets are stronger, Liaoning markets are stable, and pig prices are hovering at 14.7 ~ 15.3 yuan! In most of North China, the market is sideways at 16 yuan / kg, and the average price in the northwest Xinjiang market has risen to 13.8 yuan / kg! The specific market conditions are as follows.
Due to the New Year's Day holiday into the third day, the domestic market supply and demand showed a stalemate performance, based on the tightness of farmers, slaughtering enterprises are facing certain procurement pressure, however, limited by the sluggish demand for pork in the consumer market, consumption shows a restraining performance, the market supply and demand stalemate situation is prominent, and the pig price shows a stable situation!
However, although, on January 3, the pig price showed a "non-rising and non-falling" trend, but the market has come from 2 bad news, pig prices or will usher in a phased price decline tide!
According to industry analysts, after the New Year's Day holiday, the market bearish situation is prominent, on the one hand, the consumer market ushered in "bad news". Due to the New Year's Day holiday, the domestic north and south regions, pork consumption support is insufficient, pork consumption or will be further sluggish, in the domestic mainstream wholesale market, downstream traders to receive goods enthusiasm fell back, wholesale market white strip pig leftover phenomenon significantly increased, which for the rise in pig prices can be called "bad news"! On the other hand, domestic pigs out of the barn or will usher in the trend of stepping on the barn! As the fundamentals of loose pig production capacity in the market are difficult to reverse, and as the Spring Festival approaches, the window period for the breeding end to go out of the barn is less than a month, the market pessimism has increased sharply, farmers are worried about the downward sentiment of pig prices, the market pressure bar cattle and pigs and moderate weight standard pigs and the low-standard pigs in advance of the February barn plan will also flock out of the barn, and the pigs out of the barn or will show a stampede performance, which will also aggravate the downward trend of pig prices!
Therefore, based on the New Year's Day holiday, the market 2 bad news probability is coming, pig price rise support is limited, constrained by consumption and pig out of the barn performance outstanding, pig price supply and weak performance expansion, pig prices or will fall sharply, pig prices or will usher in a phased wave of price decline, before the end of January, pig prices or will fall below 15 yuan / kg, many pessimists predict that pig prices have the risk of falling below 14 yuan / kg!
Face! 3 days pig prices "non-rising and non-falling", the market came 2 bad news, pig prices to meet the price tide? What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture comes from the network, the content is for reference only!