Recently, following the "waist cut" of the price of Cherries, Cherries have once again suffered the most serious "price Waterloo" in recent years. The retail price of cherries in some parts of the country has fallen to 20 yuan / catty, which is a sharp drop of 30% compared with the price of 30 yuan / catty in the previous days.
Some international fruit traders said that the wholesale price of the cheapest cherry this year has been more than a dozen yuan a pound, and some low-specification cherries have been less than 100 yuan a box, which can be said to be a "groundbreaking" price reduction. From the current price point of view, this year's loss of money is definitely a big loss, can only hope that near the Spring Festival, consumption can rise, cherry prices can rebound at the bottom.
For some domestic consumers, this year's sharp price reduction in cherries has also become a topic of "relish", and the cherries after the big price reductions have been warmly welcomed by consumers, and they feel that it is time to show the real technology of eating cherries. However, some consumers are also worried, if the price of Chelizi is reduced this year, will it rise too hard next year? Can't afford to eat cherries again?
The general market law of economic fruits has a price cycle. If prices had been crazy in previous years, production would have risen dramatically. The output and import of Chilean cherries in previous years have also been soaring, coupled with the impact of some objective conditions this year, the price will "jump off a cliff".
But after the price "jump off the cliff", will it impact the sales price of next year's cherries? This depends on whether the price of cherries can improve during the Spring Festival this year. If fruit importers lose a lot of money this year, there will inevitably be some traders who dare not import cherries next year, resulting in a decline in cherries imports and an increase in prices.
This mainly depends on how much this year's Cherry market has hit fruit importers. The key to the market is confidence, if the profit declines, are no longer optimistic about the Cherry market, then next year's Imports of the Cherry Market will definitely decrease, and it is not impossible for the price to soar again.
In 2020-2021, this quarter has 260 million pounds of Chilean cherries entering the Chinese market, and the import volume has not declined from previous years, but this year's sales are twists and turns, like a roller coaster that makes fruit traders worry all day long.
In addition to the "unfavorable flow of years" of Chilean cherries, the international New Zealand cherries have suffered the largest reduction in production in recent years due to heavy rains. Australian cherries have also been given bad reviews by fruit importers due to quality problems. Some people in the industry laughed and said: "This year's Cherizi is not freedom, it is suicide!" ”
Big domestic cherry
After the price of cherries almost collapsed, it will also have a certain impact on domestic large cherries, mainly affecting large greenhouse cherries in winter. There are good and bad sides to this impact. The good side is that the big cherries in China can be marketed under the slogan of "safer" and sold at a higher price than in previous years. The bad side is that when competing with imported cherries, domestic greenhouse cherries do not have any advantages, and the disadvantages are very large. This may lead to a large number of consumers continuing to invest in "importing cherries" at lower prices.
Since 2002, China's large cherry planting industry has entered an explosive period, and the planting area has increased at an average rate of 5 times per year, from more than 2,000 hectares in 2002 to 200,000 hectares in 2019, expanding 100 times.
Especially in 2016 and 2019, after the "imported cherry" fire, the domestic cherry planting industry was in full swing. At a time when the big cherry planting industry at home and abroad is in full swing, this year's collapse in the price of cherries has poured cold water on the entire big cherry industry in the world.
It is possible that the domestic large cherry cultivation industry will cool down as a result.