Premier League champions Chelsea are finally showing signs of fatigue, and in the Premier League at the weekend, although they beat Leeds United 3-2, they conceded two more goals in this game. Chelsea, known for their defence, have conceded more than two goals in three consecutive rounds, and they have pushed themselves into a desperate situation. At the champions league draw, the probability of them winning real madrid or Bayern is as high as 21%. It can be said that chelsea this season are likely to suffer in the loss of goals.
3-2, Chelsea took the lead in exposing fatigue
In this weekend match against Leeds United, Chelsea continued to make mistakes on the defensive end. They were shown penalties by the referee just 28 minutes into the opening game, with Rafinha helping Leeds United to score first. Although Chelsea then scored two goals in a row, With Mount and Gioginho scoring, they conceded again in the 83rd minute and Leeds United took advantage of the excellent counter-attack and Gerhardt scored the second goal to make it 2-2! In stoppage time, Chelsea won a penalty again, and Jorginho scored twice on the penalty to help Chelsea escape 3-2!
In this game, Chelsea conceded two more goals. In the last three rounds, they have conceded more than 2 goals, which is still very rare this season. Especially in the midweek Champions League game, Chelsea conceded three goals in a row away from home, and suffered a 3-3 upset by their opponents, which also allowed them to fall directly to the second place in the group. The situation in the draw is very unoptimistic.
Champions League or Real Madrid or Bayern?
According to the same group and same league avoidance rules, Chelsea's potential draw opponents are only four, namely Real Madrid, Bayern, Ajax and Lille in Ligue 1. Among them, the probability of drawing Real Madrid is as high as 33%, and the probability of winning Bayern and Ajax is 21%! If Tuchel is lucky, he may be able to draw Lille and thus avoid the top 3 teams.
But for Chelsea, luck is probably not always on their side. Because this situation is caused by their own excessive loss of goals. If they win the final round, it will be Juve who will fall second in the group. I will not have the dilemma I have now. In general, Chelsea wins defensively, and loses defensively.