Mathematician and quantitative analyst Julien Guyon calculated the likely probability of a Top 16 draw in the Champions League, and his data shows that Chelsea vs Real Madrid will be the most likely group of draws.
Paris: Manchester City (0), Liverpool (17.86%), Ajax (13.53%), Real Madrid (19.36%), Bayern Munich (13.53%), Manchester United (17.86%), Lille (0), Juventus (17.86%)
Atletico Madrid: Manchester City (18.44%), Liverpool (0), Ajax (13.98%), Real Madrid (0), Bayern Munich (13.98%), Manchester United (18.71%), Lille (16.18%), Juventus (18.71%)
Sport in Portugal: Manchester City (14.75%), Liverpool (14.82%), Ajax (0), Real Madrid (16.37), Bayern Munich (11.28%), Manchester United (14.82%), Lille (13.13%), Juventus (14.82%)
Inter Milan: Manchester City (18.44%), Liverpool (18.71%), Ajax (13.98%), Real Madrid (0), Bayern Munich (13.98%), Manchester United (18.71%), Lille (16.18%), Juventus (0)
Benfica: Manchester City (14.75%), Liverpool (14.82%), Ajax (11.28%), Real Madrid (16.37%), Bayern Munich (0), Manchester United (14.82%), Lille (13.13%), Juventus (14.82%)
Villarreal: Manchester City (18.44%), Liverpool (18.71%), Ajax (13.98%), Real Madrid (0), Bayern Munich (13.98%), Manchester United (0), Lille (16.18%), Juventus (18.71%)
Red Bull Salzburg: Manchester City (15.17%), Liverpool (15.08%), Ajax (11.48%), Real Madrid (16.62%), Bayern Munich (11.48%), Manchester United (15.08%), Lille (0), Juventus (15.08%)
Chelsea: Manchester City (0), Liverpool (0), Ajax (21.77%), Real Madrid (31.27%), Bayern Munich (21.77%), Manchester United (0), Lille (25.19%), Juventus (0)
The Champions League round of 16 draw will be held at 19:00 Beijing time on December 13 (next Monday). The drawing of lots follows the principle of recusal of the Same Football Association and the principle of recusal of the same group.
（aliang）