Today's market continues to perform strongly, the high-low switching style continues, and the oversold blue-chip direction of finance, real estate, consumption, and medicine during the year has rebounded to drive the three major stock indexes to close up collectively. After the opening of the Shanghai index in the morning, the shock attacked upwards, and the morning minute performance was strong, and the Shanghai index showed a volatile upward trend. In the afternoon, it rushed higher again, and the northbound funds flowed in sharply, and the securities companies attacked the Shanghai index to the 3688 area, and then the shock fell slightly. Among them, the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 indexes have become the leaders of the intraday index, mainly because the rising sector is dominated by blue-chip directions, and the financial real estate and consumer medicine trend are strong. In terms of concept, the home improvement home and Mini LED plates rose sharply throughout the day, the education plate rose sharply in the afternoon, and the large consumption sectors such as liquor and medical beauty strengthened. In terms of individual stocks, the total turnover of Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye exceeded 25 billion yuan, Hualin Securities 2 consecutive boards, and Oriental Wealth hit a record high. Some of the new stocks are active, Sanyang Ma is up and down again, on the whole, individual stocks are up and down less, more than 2600 are red, the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen has exceeded trillion yuan for the 35th consecutive trading day, and the market sentiment is hot!
【Hot funds】: The net inflow of funds from the north during the day exceeded 20 billion yuan, which was a net purchase for 7 consecutive days, and only three times in history had a single-day inflow of more than 20 billion yuan. At the end of the two markets, there were more than 70 up and down, and 3 fell stops, and the ratio of ups and downs was good.
【Market Interpretation】:High-low switching has become the mainstream style of the current market situation, of course, this is also the mainstream idea of the December market trading strategy that we have recently emphasized. With the continuous rush of the Shanghai index, the short-term short-term short-term market appears; especially the Shanghai index quickly deviates from the 20 moving average, and there will be a certain amount of selling pressure after attacking the 3700 area.
Then, the main reason for the rise of the index is that a number of blue-chip stocks represented by the SSE 50 and the CSI 300 Index continued to decline during the year, and the market style differentiation was extremely fragmented against the background of the high prosperity theme and the sharp rise in the main line of the cycle. However, with the consideration that the market expects that the economy may decline next year, the leading value industry has once again gained the attention of funds, especially the recent northbound funds running into the market and actively grabbing the oversold industry leaders. This round of funds also shows that the market style has switched again and become the main feature of the New Year's Eve market.
From the technical trend, the current rebound band has not yet shown signs of ending, which means that the index will remain strong in the short term. However, from the structural point of view of the band, the current rebound band has entered the final attack stage. The reason is that the attack form of the K line has become larger from small, indicating that the market has entered the accelerated attack stage, and the volume has begun to enlarge, indicating that the market's selling pressure has begun to increase, although the heat of the market at this time still exists, and the willingness to undertake is stronger, and this also confirms that the market is always dying in joy, this immutable market truth.
From the structural and indicator level, the index is still in the 3724 points ~ 3485 point box area, and a new upward trend has not been formed. As a result, the upside of the index is not opened. From the technical indicator point of view, the short RSI value is already above 80, which means that the pullback pressure of the short-term index is increasing, and the KDJ has also shown that the market has entered an overbought area and there is a need for adjustment. The MACD indicator remains strong, indicating that there will be no major corrections in the short-term market. The volume-price relationship market has risen, indicating that the market demand has increased compared with before, but from the perspective of attack strength, the current supply and demand relationship in the market is still in the supply and demand of the demand.
From the wave structure, after the 3448 rebound to 3600 adjustment, the rebound of 3530 to today's 3680 has formed an equidistant relationship, so time belongs to the time window, and the height meets the double relationship of the rising wave. It is still necessary to be cautious that the market has a high-level killing action, and it is not appropriate to chase the high too much.
In short, the short-term market will remain strong, but if the volume can not be sustained, the current round of rally or will stop below 3700 points, pay more attention, keep an eye on the 3638 points defensive level. Judging from the performance of northbound funds, the sharp inflow of short-term lines has supported the momentum of the rise of blue chips at low levels and low valuations. Therefore, the short-term market is still dominated by the opportunity of undervalued blue-chip stocks, and the crowded track stocks that are stagnant at high levels still need to actively avoid risks. Of course, once the index is adjusted, its decline may be much larger than expected, and we need to be cautious about this.
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