The DPP authorities have finally jumped the wall.
Since November 5, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council has issued a blacklist of "Taiwan independence" diehards, including Su Zhenchang, who is in charge of administrative affairs in the Taiwan region, You Xikun, who is in charge of legislative work, and Wu Zhaoxie, who is in charge of "foreign affairs" work, into the Chinese mainland blacklist of the first batch of "Taiwan independence" diehards. Just recently, the Tsai Ing-wen authorities have finally broken their silence and are ready to take measures to counter the disciplinary measures taken by the Chinese mainland.
The responsible person of the "Mainland Affairs Council" in Taiwan openly declared: "The punitive measures introduced by the Chinese mainland have seriously interfered with democracy, freedom, and human rights in the Taiwan region." At present, the "national security" top level of the Taiwan authorities is considering promulgating corresponding reciprocal sanctions to counter the Chinese mainland. Specifically, according to the information disclosed by Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council, they mainly take countermeasures against Chinese mainland at the following two points. First, the mainland prohibits some officials from the Taiwan region from entering the mainland, Hong Kong, and Macao, and Taiwan is now preparing to prohibit some Mainland officials involved in Taiwan from going to Taiwan to conduct interpretive activities. Second, the "national security" top level of the Taiwan authorities is also preparing to carry out a precise attack on relevant enterprises in the Chinese mainland.
After the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council of the People's Republic of China issued a blacklist of "Taiwan independence" diehards on November 5 and the Xinhua News Agency on November 22 announced that law enforcement agencies in Shanghai and five other places were strictly punishing enterprises affiliated with the Far East Group in accordance with laws and regulations, the turmoil in Taiwan's political situation was triggered by the Taiwan authorities' Mainland Affairs Council this time, and the Mainland Affairs Council of the Taiwan authorities finally broke its silence and was ready to adopt so-called reciprocal measures to counter the Chinese mainland. Once these two measures are truly implemented into policies, what impact will they have on the direction of cross-strait relations?
First of all, if we look at the two reciprocal sanctions announced by Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council at present, are they effective? I think it still has a certain effect. First, what is the impact of this policy, which he said about prohibiting mainland Taiwan-related officials from going to Taiwan to carry out relevant deduction activities? Before the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, in order to promote the normalization of cross-strait relations and close economic, cultural and tourism relations between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, relevant Taiwan-related officials of the mainland often went to Taiwan as non-governmental organizations to conduct certain exchanges with relevant departments and social elites in Taiwan to promote close exchanges between Taiwan and the mainland. This time, the MAC has threatened to introduce a relevant policy to strictly ban these officials from entering Taiwan. I don't think it's very effective, it's just a good look on the face. Because since the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, on the one hand, because the epidemic has been repeated, on the other hand, because the Taiwan issue has become a red line for some anti-China forces to constantly trample on the "one China", Chinese mainland has actually stopped contacts and exchanges with relevant departments in Taiwan. The ban it promulgates is nothing more than a piece of waste paper, or merely an endorsement of a fait accompli. The next day, the MAC also announced that the "national security" top level of the Taiwan authorities was considering sanctions against relevant mainland enterprises involved in Taiwan. I think this move can only hurt Taiwan's own economic development. Are there any Taiwan-related enterprises in the Chinese mainland? Definitely. However, from the perspective of the dependence of Taiwan enterprises on the Chinese mainland market and the dependence of Chinese enterprises on the Taiwan market, it is not an equal magnitude at all. It can be said that Chinese mainland taiwan enterprises can lose Taiwan's market, but can Taiwanese enterprises lose the mainland market? According to the economic data released by the Taiwan authorities on November 10 this year, of the total import and export trade of more than 360 billion yuan, more than 150 billion yuan was obtained by Taiwan from the Chinese mainland market, that is to say, Taiwan's current dependence on the Chinese mainland market is much higher than that of Chinese mainland taiwan enterprises on the Taiwan market. Therefore, I feel that if the Taiwan authorities really want to impose sanctions on Chinese mainland Taiwan-related enterprises, they will eventually lift a stone and drop it on their own feet.
This is our overall assessment of Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council's announcement that it intends to publish specific reciprocal sanctions next week. The specific details, specific articles, specific content, we have to wait until next week Taiwan announced it, and then do the analysis, we are just commenting on these two pieces of information that have been made public today. We would like to ask another question: If the Taiwan authorities introduce such reciprocal sanctions, what impact will it have on cross-strait relations?
I think it is just one sentence: If the Taiwan authorities introduce measures to counter the blacklist of "Taiwan independence" diehards punished by the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council on November 5, it will definitely plunge the "Taiwan independence" diehards and Taiwan's Tsai Ing-wen authorities into a dead end. Once the Taiwan authorities have introduced measures to restrict the Chinese mainland relevant Taiwan-related officials from going to Taiwan for deductive activities, it will later mean that the Taiwan authorities have actually blocked the channels for normal official exchanges with the Chinese mainland, and once this channel is blocked, it will also mean that the Tsai Ing-wen authorities are going all the way to the dark in handling cross-strait relations. When there was little hope for peaceful reunification, the Tsai authorities cut off the channels for dialogue between the mainland and Taiwan, which shows that the Taiwan authorities have embarked on the road of "Taiwan independence." Therefore, I think that the punitive measures announced by Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council against the mainland will certainly lift a stone and drop it on one's own feet, and will certainly accelerate the pace of Chinese mainland taking drastic measures in accordance with the "Anti-Secession Law" to resolve the Taiwan issue.