Recently, the weather in the northeast region has turned sunny across the board, the temperature has risen rapidly, and a heavy snow in the early stage has quickly melted into a heavy rain due to the rapid rise in temperature. According to Zhuo Chuang Information, the daytime temperature in Songyuan City, Jilin City, Jilin Province, Harbin City and Daqing City in Heilongjiang Province has risen to more than zero degrees, and the noon temperature in some areas can reach 8 degrees or even about 10 degrees above zero, resulting in the rapid melting of snow in the local light area. In the process of conversion from heavy snow to heavy rain, due to concerns about the deterioration of corn quality, the mentality of grass-roots people selling grain has also begun to change subtly, and grass-roots sales behavior has gradually increased.
1. Worried about grain mold and quality, grassroots farmers are reluctant to sell
Along with the temperature rise, there is also the enthusiasm of grass-roots farmers to sell grain, Heilongjiang, Jilin area farmers have been waiting for prices and selling mentality is wavering, some of the early failure to properly deal with the ground grain has appeared fever phenomenon, due to the fear of such grain in the later stage of mold and quality degradation and income decline, so grass-roots farmers have recently shipped such corn mainly. According to Zhuo Chuang Information, affected by the rapid melting of snowfall in the early stage and the increase in the enthusiasm of farmers to ship, the daily arrival volume of tidal grain in the new season of trade in some areas of Songyuan, Jilin has increased to 900 tons, and the price of tidal grain with about 30% of the local moisture has been reduced by 0.005-0.01 yuan / catty. Small and medium-sized drying towers are currently operating well, most of the large drying towers are still due to insufficient arrival and have not yet started, overall, the current market is still dominated by tide grain, traders follow the collection, resulting in the arrival of some deep processing enterprises in the northeast region.
2. The arrival of tide grain in the new season has increased, and the purchase price of corn has been lowered for deep processing
With the advent of seasonal corn selling pressure, the acquisition attitude of deep processing enterprises has also quietly changed, due to the current market tide grain more dry food less, in the case of limited storage conditions, deep processing enterprises to build a low intention to build a warehouse, have begun to reduce the purchase price.
For the arrival of corn seasonal selling pressure, according to Zhuo Chuang information research, Heilongjiang Suihua area of some traders said that the recent new season corn acquisition began to increase, the local deep processing enterprises to increase the volume of goods significantly, November 14-16 during the local deep processing enterprises in the new season corn purchase price has been reduced by a total of 20-30 yuan / ton, the current local equivalent of 14% moisture tide grain purchase low price area has been explored to 2340 yuan / ton.
The deep processing enterprises in Jilin region have also recently adjusted the purchase price of corn in the new season, with a cumulative reduction of 30-40 yuan / ton, and the current purchase price of 14% moisture second-class corn in the new season in Jilin region is 2400-2430 yuan / ton, and the purchase price of 14% moisture third-class corn is 2340-2380 yuan / ton.
3, a new round of cold wave is brewing, cooling and snowfall is worth paying attention to
According to Zhuo Chuang information, although the recent heating in the northeast region is obvious, but a new round of cold air is about to arrive in China, it is very likely to arrive in Xinjiang on November 19 and passed to the northeast region around the 21st, it is expected that the round of cold air will generate a new round of snowfall, Heilongjiang Jiamusi region has made a "heavy snow - blizzard" warning for the weather on November 22.
Due to the reduction of deep processing purchase prices, cautious purchases by traders, and short-term temperature rises leading to grain changes, etc., it still has a certain impact on sellers, especially grass-roots farmers, so the extent to which corn prices in the northeast region can be lowered before the impact of the new round of cold air is still unknown, and there are also variables in the location of snowfall, snowfall intensity and temperature changes, but in terms of grain production, personnel safety and other perspectives, the new round of cold air and snowfall is indeed worthy of attention. Zhuo Chuang Information expects that the short-term domestic corn spot market may show a weak trend, but in the medium term, the market is "disturbed" by uncertainties such as weather, temperature, logistics and epidemic, resulting in the corn market should not be overly pessimistic.
This article originated from Zhuo Chuang Information