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尋找大A裡的避風港

尋找大A裡的避風港

來源：合富永道

作者：基辛哥

大A血雨腥風，截止到今年2月2日，滬深300指數已經大幅下跌7.33%，而開年才一個月很多投資者都虧了20%以上甚至更多。在極度悲觀的市場環境下，“中特估”央企闆塊卻反而實作了這樣的逆勢上漲甚至創下新高。中國神華、長江電力、中國石油、中國核電、中國鐵建、中國海油、國投電力、中國石化、中國建築、中油資本。

從特點上看，中特估股票通常具有分紅收益較高、業績平穩增長和股票嚴重被低估（甚至破淨）等特征，如中油資本、中國建築等還仍處于破淨狀态，而中國神華、中國核電、中國石油等則是股息率比較突出，且中國核電是最早一批重視市值管理的央企，實實在在用執行個體起到了表率和示範作用，讓股東實實在在受益。

從股息率看，這些公司都是實打實的高股息代表：如中國神華股息率高達6.89%，今年來取得了18.09%漲幅；中國石化股息率高達5.8%，今年來實作了5.56%的漲幅；中國海油股息率高達5.44%，今年來取得了6.68%收益率；中國石油股息率高達5.31%，今年來漲幅14.73%；中國建築股息率為5.01%，今年收益率為4.99%。

濟安金信

尋找大A裡的避風港

資料來源：濟安金信證券市場研究中心

中字頭績優股是類債券的股票，其股息率甚至超過了去年純債基金3.79%的平均收益率。如果加上今年央企市值管理政策和國資改革東方，央企上市公司尤其是績優低市盈率的上市公司将迎來真正意義的價值重估，無論對機構投資者還是普通投資者是面對驚濤駭浪的避風港。

從已經創曆史新高的中國神華的基金産品看，除了寬基指數基金外，紅利指數基金雲集，如最大的紅利指數基金華泰柏瑞上證紅利ETF持有5億市值，是排名第二大的公募基金産品。此外，富國中證紅利指數增強、景順長城中證紅利低波、招商中證紅利ETF、華泰柏瑞中證低波紅利ETF、富國紅利混合等配置數量都不少。此外，易方達穩健收益債券A這樣的債券基金也大手筆配置；股息率排名第二的中國石化的第一大基金持有人還是最大的紅利指數基金華泰柏瑞上證紅利ETF，第三和第七大基金持有人是易方達的裕豐回報債券A和安心回報債券A；股息率高達5.44%的中國海油的公募基金第二和第三大持有人是安信穩健增長混合A和天弘永利債券A兩大債券型基金。

除了央企績優股外還有安全的港灣嗎？ 

截止2月4日，中證紅利指數市盈率為6.36，滬深300市盈率為10.6，上證50市盈率為9.36，創業闆50指數市盈率為20.79，科創50市盈率為36.65，哪個指數市盈率更低一目了然。從今年表現看，中證紅利指數是唯一實作正收益的指數。

2021年以來大A低迷，權益類基金賺錢效應慘淡。而紅利指數基金軍團卻取得了3年正收益率占比73.8%，最低收益超15%的傲人戰績；近一年正收益占比67%，收益率超10%占比8.6%，21年至今3年每年正收益産品占比26%。強悍的紅利指數基金軍團輕松吊打99%主動權益基金。2021年以來取得年年正收益的躺赢紅利指數基金有11隻，其中華泰柏瑞獨占4隻，景順長城有2隻，天弘基金2隻。

重要的事情說三遍，不是所有帶紅利的基金都值得擁有，因為帶紅利的混合基金和股票的業績并不盡如人意。紅利指數基金才是超級機構心頭愛。

事實上，紅利指數基金武器庫已然全面更新：中證紅利指數基金，共7隻；紅利低波指數、紅利低波100、國企紅利指數基金各有3隻；深證紅利、中信标普中國紅利、标普港股通低波紅利指數各有2隻。

以最早布局紅利政策ETF的基金公司紅利指數基金大廠華泰柏瑞為例，早在2006年就推出了全市場首隻紅利主ETF，接連發行了多個“首隻”、“首批”ETF。布局齊全的紅利ETF工具箱——政策類型豐富、包含A股港股、覆寫場内場外。

港股通紅利ETF 2023年在下跌市場中斬獲了7.14%的回報，是僅有的收獲正回報的港股ETF。股息率超9%，在一衆紅利類資産中優勢明顯，而估值水準顯著低于A股紅利政策；央企紅利ETF 是全市場首隻央企紅利ETF，100%央企含量。“中特估”背景下，高分紅屬性的央國企是一條重要且清晰的投資思路，有望繼續受益迎來價值重塑。

業績爆表，邏輯清晰，緊跟風口，不擔心風格漂移問題，央企優秀上市公司一網打盡，100%的倉位，費用低廉。基民朋友你GET到紅利指數基金有多硬核實力了嗎？

尋找大A裡的避風港
尋找大A裡的避風港
尋找大A裡的避風港
尋找大A裡的避風港

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#1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .85);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .65);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .35);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, 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#8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]).my_comment_empty_data{background-color:#111}}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-6: rgba(0, 0, 0, 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#8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}.rich_media_content p{clear:both;min-height:1em}td p{margin:0;padding:0}

div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}

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