开门红！这一次可能要来真的了

今天是春节后第一个交易日，A股开启了发红包模式。看过《要变天了！

》等股评的读者应该很开心，因为咱们都预测到了。

现在可以拍着胸脯告诉各位，上证2635点就是底部。

今天盘面上，4000多只股票上涨，上证指数大涨1.56%。煤炭、石油、水电、软件、半导体这几个板块领涨。这几个板块的上涨，非常有意思。

煤炭、石油和水电板块，属于能源板块，同时也是高息股板块。比如，煤炭已经连续创新高，中国神华还能大涨。买入这三大板块的资金，属于保守派。因为即使煤炭创新高，股息率仍然8%，比存银行吃利息高4倍。

而随着经济复苏，对能源的需求量仍然会持续增长。所以，资金无脑抱团这几个高息板块。

而软件和半导体的大涨，则来自于Sora大模型的刺激。春节期间，OpenAI突然发布全新的高清视频生成大模型。紧接着，国内各种吹嘘的声音四起。已经很久没有概念炒作噱头的AI板块，再次有了炒头。

于是，Sora概念股迅速被选出来，几个与高清视频生成没有一点关系的股票成了龙头，纷纷涨停。是的，炒概念不需要太认真，本来就是炒。

我们看到许多AI个股成交量超过40亿元，成为吸金大户。A股的炒垃圾风又回来了。

所以这五个板块的大涨，代表了两类资金，一个是保守型，一个是进攻型。总之，整个市场也开始热闹起来。这种热闹，也必然吸引场外资金进来，提振股市信心。

另外，收盘后，证监会发文《证监会召开系列座谈会听取意见建议》，主要谈了三点：第一，一定要保护投资者，让投资者赚钱；第二，继续推进改革，严查严管。第三，听取批评的意见。

春节前，证监会刚换了“掌门人”，然后就迅速抓了一批财务造假的上市公司，进行了重罚。以前，上市公司和大股东违规，完全是“罚酒三杯”。现在要当真罚了，这应该视作“新官上任三把火”。我们也期待A股能把20年来的各种弊病一一扫除，这样真的可以期待一下牛市了。

同时，上峰也发文要求“多做有利于提振信心和预期的事，保持政策制定和执行的一致性稳定性，以务实有力的行动来提振全社会的信心。“

所以，对股市，我们现在不需要看空，更不需要悲观。龙年的上半年，应该机会大于风险，只要我们买好股，控制好仓位，相信红包一定会有的。

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