谭雅玲：2024开年全球金融市场行情追踪

进入2024年，全球金融市场的动态变化引发了广泛关注。外汇市场年初行情与去年年底收官顺应美元贬值为主，目前修整与股市配合不变，

美股

下跌与美元升值组合是一种技术策略，全年美元贬值宗旨基本不变，但年内事件与事态严峻性将超出去年，美元贬值机会与挑战并举。

美元指数在开年第一周的行情中，从101.3697点上升至102.4395点，升值1.05%，这一变化不仅影响了主要货币的贬值趋势，也对大陆人民币的行情走势产生了深远影响。

大陆

人民币

因假期只有4天行情，

在岸

偏贬继续，美元升值不得以贬值随从，

离岸

偏贬比较依然偏强，开盘与收官为7.12-7.16元，区间更位于7.10-7.18元值得重视逆转急速可能。特别是在大陆春节延后的情况下，人民币的汇率动态将更加值得关注。

同时，美股市场也在经历着一场剧变。科技股的前景如何，将直接影响美国经济的核心影响力。而美债市场的走势，更是直接关系到美元、美股、美债三者之间的相互制约和协同关系。

此外，石油价格的走势也备受关注。2024年，石油价格是否能反弹回升，将对全球经济产生重大影响。而美元逻辑的变化，更是直接影响到金价走势，这对于投资者来说，无疑是一大挑战。

而2024年，美国将迎来再次大选，而美国大选年财政赤字通常会进入扩张状态，美联储有望开启降息，利好风险资产。这无疑将对全球金融市场产生重大影响，投资者需要提前做好准备，以应对可能的市场波动。

综合来说，2024年既有全球经济放缓的压力，也有新阶段下企稳向上的机遇。为了帮助投资者在开年复杂的环境下，保持清醒的头脑，灵活调整投资策略，今天晚上7点，在破竹直播间，我们为大家郑重邀请了中国外汇投资研究院院长谭雅玲老师为大家带来：

主题：

2024开年全球金融市场行情追踪

要点：

1、美元动向：美元如果极端贬值，对全球市场有何影响？

2、美股追踪：美国经济核心影响力是什么？科技股前景如何？

3、美股、美元、美债相互制约协同的三角关系深度拆解

4、石油价格2024年反弹回升前景如何？

5、美元逻辑的变化如何影响金价走势？

谭雅玲 中国外汇投资研究院院长 独立经济学家。

曾任中国银行全球金融市场部高级分析师、研究员。同时为北京大学、清华大学、中央财经大学兼职教授，擅长宏观经济分析，对板块赛道和市场热点解析有深入的理解和独到的见解。

深耕国际金融领域多年，对金融市场具有极深的认知和沉淀。

在大宗商品研究方面，善于把握市场大方向与主流板块，对黄金商品期货市场具有独到见解和预期分析能力。

对于汇率趋势有自我、独到以及相对准确的预期判断。

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#ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: #e6e6e6}.wx-root,body{--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(0, 0, 0, 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