Since the beginning of this year, the United States has faced various political crises due to the outbreak of domestic epidemics and protests, and in order to pass on this crisis, the United States has continuously harassed China's territorial airspace and territorial waters to achieve the purpose of diverting attention. However, as the United States has become more and more excessive, many people have become more and more worried about the war. Even some experts are beginning to wonder if there will be a possibility of a war between China and the United States in the near future. So is a war between China and the United States possible?
Just on August 24, the website of the Asian Times published an article by american economist David P. Goldman with an intriguing headline titled "Why Isn't There a War Between China and the United States?" So let's look at how the American economist analyzed the possibility of war between China and the United States.
Goldman gives an example in this article, in 1976, the world heavyweight boxing champion Mohammed. Ali and The Japanese karate master Antonio. Inoki held an exhibition match, the two men were not a heavyweight opponent at all, in this game, Antonio most of the time lay on the ground, with his own feet continuously kicked Ali's calf, although Ali hit Antonio several punches in this game, but Antonio's continuous kicking of the opponent's calf offensive style, resulting in Ali's legs appearing bruised, and caused infection, almost led to the amputation of both legs, so this game was also judged to be a draw.
In Goldman's description, the United States is Ali, and China is Antonio. Moreover, Goldman believes that China has always focused on defense, and the "anti-access/area denial" weapons field established by China is aimed at the United States, making it unable to approach and exert its superior power. And there are many people who believe that if the United States launches a war, it will prevent the rise of China, but this is not realistic for the United States.
However, when it comes to analyzing China's military might, there are big problems in the article. Goldman believes that the Chinese Army is by far the worst level of training and equipment of the large country Army, the cost of equipment for an infantryman is only $1500, while the cost of an infantryman in the United States is basically 10 times that of a Chinese infantryman, about $18,000. But one of the problems he did not consider is that China is originally a big manufacturing country, the cost of weapons manufacturing is lower, so the cost is bound to be less than that of the United States, and the most expensive is not necessarily the best, the most suitable is not necessarily the most expensive, in this regard, the author's analysis is indeed a bit biased.
In Goldman's view, although China's rapid reaction force is relatively small, it has invested a lot of power in near-shore defense. The growing expansion of the Dongfeng family has posed a serious threat to U.S. aircraft carriers.
It is understood that the DF-26 missile has a range of 2500 kilometers and has the ability to strike the US military facilities in the pipeline, and the DF-26 missile can inflict a fatal blow on the top defense of the US Navy ship by means of vertical attack on the target.
In addition, Goldman also mentioned the Dongfeng 21 as well as the DF-Zf variable orbit hypersonic glider. In combination with the DF-ZF and the DF-17, any anti-missile system will be penetrating.
In order to strengthen its "anti-access/area denial" combat capabilities, China has made great efforts in various aspects such as the J-20, C4isr system, modern attack submarines, advanced electronic warfare capabilities and modern anti-aircraft missiles. All of this puts the U.S. military and its allies in danger, so the U.S. military cannot launch an effective strike against a set target from the sea or air.
However, at the end of the article, the author also said that no one can say what China's real military capabilities are. Before that, many people were comparing whether the J-20 could compete with the US fifth-generation aircraft, but as long as China could keep the US military out of a safe distance, it was enough.
However, in the foreseeable future, China's advanced missile defense strategic measures have become the most headache for the United States, which is why the United States will not easily go to war against China.