In a recent interview with CNN, Tsai Ing-wen confirmed for the first time that "there are US troops assisting military training in Taiwan," which aroused great concern from the outside world.
The seriousness of the "US military stationed in Taiwan" is well known to all levels in Taiwan. At the behest of the "Legislative Yuan" and questioned by the People's Representative, Qiu Guozheng, head of Taiwan's military, urgently clarified on the 28th that "several people in the US military have been assisting in training in Taiwan for a long time, but no troops have been stationed in Taiwan" and "it is 'helping' not 'stationing'." The KMT also demanded that Tsai Ing-wen "actively think about how to reduce the risk of cross-strait hostility and war" and "speak cautiously to the outside world to avoid conveying confusing messages and worsening the security situation."
What chips does Tsai Ing-wen have to play with fire?
Why did Tsai Ing-wen play with fire so much, and how did she play it? As many people know, the top level of China and the United States has recently been engaged in a new round of economic negotiations, which is a bit passive for the United States and a little difficult to progress. When habit becomes natural, they want to play the "Taiwan card," engage in some bargaining chips, and disturb the negotiations.
As a result, there are two pieces of news - on the 26th, US Secretary of State Blinken openly stated that he "supports Taiwan's meaningful participation in the United Nations system"; on the 27th, US President Biden publicly publicized the so-called "commitment to defend Taiwan". Of course, White House officials immediately clarified in a formal manner that the US Policy on Taiwan "has not changed." This kind of "vague strategy" of advancing one back and one retreating, swinging left and right, was originally just an old routine that Americans are accustomed to, but this time it was exploited by Tsai Ing-wen, who is bent on "independence", "double ten speech" painstakingly reproduced the "two-state theory", you Americans are unwilling to take a stand, right? Then if you dare to mention "supporting Taiwan and joining the United Nations" and "defending Taiwan," I dare to expose "the stationing of US troops in Taiwan." To put it bluntly, the "dream linkage" that seems to be between "Us and Taiwan" is just another ghost fetus.
Of course, small fish and shrimp can't turn over the big wind and waves. The so-called "US troops stationed in Taiwan" absolutely cannot be done by the Americans to hide the sky and cross the sea, nor can Tsai Ing-wen cause trouble with her empty mouth and white teeth. The US Government's policy toward Taiwan, which has lasted for decades, is vague, but the "Taiwan Protection Pledge" of "only selling weapons and not providing security guarantees" is real, and the most fundamental reason is that Taiwan is only a "limited or marginal interest of the United States, not a vital interest."
Tsai Ing-wen's trick of "relying on foreigners to seek independence" seems to create obstacles for Sino-US relations, but the real embarrassment is actually Taiwan. Blinken's "support for Taiwan's meaningful participation in the United Nations system" coincides with the 50th anniversary of the restoration of the People's Republic of China's legitimate seat in the United Nations, as well as the 50th anniversary of the expulsion of the Taiwan authorities from all United Nations bodies.
CnN anchors told the big truth
Although Tsai Ing-wen put on the appearance of believing that "the United States will protect us", some American media people did not buy it. On the 30th, the CNN anchor said a truth in the program: It is difficult to imagine that there will be Americans who feel "worthy" to fight for Taiwan.
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On October 30, Rep. Michael McCaul, a senior member of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the US House of Representatives and Republican of Texas, appeared on a CNN program to make remarks about Biden's trip to Europe to attend the G20 summit and the Glasgow climate conference, during which he continued to hype China's test firing of "hypersonic weapons" and play up the "China threat theory".
Then, host Jake Tapper mentioned Tsai's recent interview with CNN, saying it "may be surprising that there is a U.S. military presence on the island." McCall once again advocated U.S. interference in China's internal affairs.
Still, Mr. Tapper put his thoughts into it: "It's hard for me to imagine that many Americans, after 20 years of wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, would be willing to send any American serviceman, an American man, an American woman, or the daughter of a family to fight Chinese mainland, [just] to protect Taiwan." ”
"I mean, no matter how 'lofty' the goal is, how strong the commitment is, no matter how important the 'deterrence' of China is, it's hard to imagine an American saying, 'Yes, it's worth it.'" ”
In July, the British "Economist" analyzed the results of the United States deploying in Afghanistan for 20 years, but after using people and money, it "almost achieved nothing" under the title of "The Longest War: The American War in Afghanistan, Which Ended in a Fiasco."
At the end of September, Mark Milley, the top U.S. military general and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, publicly acknowledged that the U.S. military's 20-year war against Afghanistan was a "strategic defeat."
In an interview on the 27th, Tsai Ing-wen tried to render Taiwan as a "beacon of democracy" and repeatedly shouted "regional democracy partners" for support. When asked whether Taiwan can protect itself without military assistance? Ms. Tsai did not give a positive answer, showing a belief that "the United States will protect us." The CNN article writes that there is no agreement between the United States and its regional partners to guarantee Taiwan's assistance in the event of an attack.
The Taiwan authorities have set a "countdown" for themselves?
The DPP authorities have continued to exaggerate the tension in the Taiwan Strait, provoking cross-strait confrontation and causing panic among the people on the island.
In early October, a poll of Taipei residents showed that 42.6 percent of the citizens surveyed said they were worried about war across the strait, and even taiwanese people, fearing war, had begun to store survival supplies.
According to Taiwan media reports, during the questioning of the special meeting of the "Legislative Yuan," Liao Wanru, a "legislator" of the Kuomintang, asked whether the Taiwan authorities would formulate a "manual of guidelines for civilian survival" in response to the onset of war. In response, Qiu Guozheng, head of Taiwan's defense department, responded that such a manual is being produced and will be completed in March next year.
According to reports, the theme of this questioning meeting is "military tension in the Taiwan Strait," which is aimed at discussing how the Taiwan authorities should respond to the current situation on both sides of the strait. Combined with the information of many parties, the so-called "threat of war" of the Taiwan authorities refers to the possible armed action taken by the PLA to safeguard national reunification. Therefore, the time node of "March next year" mentioned by Qiu Guozheng has aroused the attention of the media and the people of Taiwan.
In addition, the Taiwan authorities announced in May this year the establishment of the "National Defense Mobilization Agency", aimed at mobilizing civilians and reserves other than the Taiwan military into military operations, which will be formally established on January 1, 2022.
At present, there are also many unofficial "people's wartime survival guides" circulating on Taiwan's major websites, the most widely circulated of which is the "Taiwan Civilian War Survival Manual (Unofficial Edition)", which the author provides many suggestions for responding to air raids and ground forces according to his speculations about the actions of the People's Liberation Army.
Intriguingly, many so-called survival manuals, including this book, invariably offer the following advice on the question of whether civilians can defend themselves with guns: "Unless you are absolutely sure, please do not take up a gun as a weapon for self-preservation." "These proponents argue that taking up arms would be seen by the PLA as a combat target, which is not conducive to subsequent escapes."
Another manual written by a Taiwanese veteran also emphasizes: "Don't believe the young people who shout that they will fight to the last soldier, they may rob you of food", "In wartime, noble humanity is rarer than that of white rhinos." ”
Don't be unpredictable!
According to reports, according to the latest data released by the Taiwan military, more than 694 PLA fighters have entered taiwan's southwest airspace alone this year, and recently even the Wuzhi-10 and Mi-17 helicopters have joined the ranks of patrolling Taiwan -- no wonder the Taiwan military is nervous, but everyone will know what the helicopter cross-sea combat exercise means. Under Tsai Ing-wen's day-to-day riots, the "water temperature" in the Taiwan Strait has continued to rise unconsciously. The frog will not understand until it is boiled to death that every degree of water temperature rises at a cost.
Since Tsai Ing-wen took office, while dumping sky-high prices on Taiwan, the United States has used various policies of "lip service and not being truthful" to cooperate with Taiwan in playing the "Taiwan independence" to wipe the edge, and in the end, what has been exchanged for an increasingly cramped "international space" and an increasingly passive situation in the Taiwan Strait has been exchanged.
The Response of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council to the recent outrageous behavior of the "United States and Taiwan" is: We have zero tolerance for "Taiwan independence." Cracking Down on "Taiwan Independence" Separatist Acts Regardless of the Cost!
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, on the other hand, has used the term "subversive risk" as never before in warning the United States, so what is it that can "cause subversive risks to Sino-US relations, seriously damage peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, and seriously harm the interests of the United States itself"? It shouldn't be hard to guess.
The Ministry of National Defense's response was more simple and straightforward: Resolutely defending national sovereignty and territorial integrity and resolutely thwarting all interference by external forces and "Taiwan independence" separatist acts is the sacred mission of the Chinese People's Liberation Army. The trend of the times, where the righteousness lies; it does not move like a mountain, and moves like thunder.
Don't be unpredictable! Some signals are always easy to be ignored as clichés before the final result comes out. Remember Hong Kong last year? When the "Hong Kong independence" elements were most arrogant under the threat of external forces, the Liaison Office of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China in Hong Kong warned these people and the forces behind them to "never underestimate the determination of the central authorities." What happened later, there is no need to repeat it. The little people waited until they ate the "big pot of rice" to really understand what it meant to be "not moving like a mountain, moving like thunder."
Having the determination not to move blindly, words and deeds must be fruitful, it requires determination and will, and it also tests ability and wisdom. As is the case with Hong Kong, so is Taiwan. The cicadas at the end of summer are the noisiest, and the grasshoppers in the autumn are also the happiest, and time will give all the answers.
Column Editor-in-Chief: Zhang Wu Text Editor: Cheng Pei Title Image Source: Xinhua News Agency Photo Editor: Su Wei
Source: Author: Taiwan Straits Network