Text/Chen Jing
With the release of economic data for the first three quarters of Tibet, the GDP data of the first three quarters of 31 provinces have all been released.
Draft: Hou Yutong
Judging from the data, although the economic growth rate of most provinces has not returned to the pre-epidemic level, the overall economic situation in various places has maintained a recovery trend, the economic structure has continued to be optimized, and the quality of development has been continuously improved, providing a solid guarantee for achieving the annual economic and social development goals.
Which provinces have "outperformed" the gdp growth rate of the whole country? What does the central region rely on to brush the foot "sense of existence"? In addition to Chongqing, why are many places in the west below average? With the economic recovery, are people's wallets bulging?
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="10" > the GDP growth rate of 10 provinces in the first three quarters "outperformed" the whole country</h1>
According to the data, a total of 15 provinces have a total GDP of more than 2 trillion yuan. Guangdong's GDP exceeded 8.8 trillion yuan, ranking first; Jiangsu's GDP exceeded 8.4 trillion yuan, ranking second, both entering the "8 trillion yuan club", but it can be seen that the gap between "Su Daqiang" and "Guangdong boss" who runs faster has narrowed a lot; Shandong's GDP exceeds 6 trillion yuan, ranking third.
Affected by "occasional factors and structural factors such as insufficient coal supply and flood conditions", the country's economic growth rate slowed down in the third quarter. In the first three quarters, China's GDP increased by 9.8% year-on-year, with an average growth rate of 5.2% in two years. The Data of various local statistical bureaus found that a total of 10 provinces exceeded the national level in the first three quarters of the year-on-year growth rate, and the average growth rate of 19 provinces in two years outperformed the whole country.
In Hubei, which was hardest hit by the epidemic last year, the economy continued to recover. Chen Yao, vice president and secretary general of the China Regional Economic Association and deputy director of the Western Development Research Center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the China News Agency that it is precisely because of the lowest base in the previous year, coupled with the increase in infrastructure investment in Hubei in order to make up for the impact of the epidemic, a large number of projects have been concentrated on construction, which has a significant effect on the economy, making hubei's growth rate in the first three quarters of this year as high as 18.7%, leading the country.
However, from the data point of view, the average growth rate of Hubei in two years is 3.1%, which is still 4.4 percentage points lower than that in 2019.
Ye Fusheng, member of the party group and chief statistician of the Hubei Provincial Bureau of Statistics, said that since the beginning of this year, Hubei's economy has resumed rapid growth in an all-round and stable manner, with "high opening and high walking" in the first quarter, "half-way wonderful" in the second quarter, and "pressure and stabilization" in the third quarter, and the resilience of development has continued to appear.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="63" > economic growth rate is closely related to transformation and development</h1>
Judging from the data, Hainan's GDP growth rate in the first three quarters was 12.8%, ranking second. Not only that, Hainan's two-year average growth rate is 6.8%, ranking first.
Judging from the GDP growth rate in the first three quarters, the remaining "top ten" players are: Beijing 10.7%, Zhejiang 10.6%, Shanxi 10.5%, Jiangxi 10.2%, Anhui 10.2%, Jiangsu 10.2%, Shandong 9.9%, Chongqing 9.9%.
Some people believe that the more prominent economic performance in some regions is closely related to the better transformation and development of the local area.
In the eastern region, Hainan's growth performance is more prominent, and the growth rate of consumption and investment ranks among the top in the country. "This is related to the rapid development of the service industry under the policy support effect such as the construction of the free trade port." Liang Jing, a senior researcher at the Bank of China Research Institute, said that the added value of Hainan's tertiary industry in the first three quarters increased by 17.4% year-on-year, contributing 81.3% to economic growth, with an average growth rate of 9.3% in two years.
Beijing, which ranked third in GDP growth in the first three quarters, ranked first in the country in terms of industrial added value growth rate in the same period, reaching 38.7%, and the average growth rate in two years was 17.7%. Liang Jing believes that this is mainly due to the rapid growth of pharmaceutical, high-tech and strategic emerging industries, which increased by 3.3, 1.4 and 1.1 times in the first three quarters, respectively. Although Beijing's industrial sector accounted for a relatively low proportion, only 13.8% in the first three quarters of this year, its rapid growth has played an important role in pulling GDP growth.
In the first three quarters, the output value of Jiangsu's high-tech industries increased by 25% year-on-year, accounting for 48.1% of the industries above designated size; Zhejiang focused on promoting digital reform, and the momentum of digital economy development was strong, and the core industries of the digital economy increased by 24.2% in the first three quarters, with an average growth of 19.2% in two years.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="64" > the central region to brush enough "presence"</h1>
In the central region, in addition to Hubei, Jiangxi, Shanxi and other places have performed more prominently, brushing a wave of "sense of existence". Liang Jing pointed out that the growth rate of consumption, investment and export in Jiangxi Province ranks in the forefront of the country, which is related to the promotion of industrial structure transformation and upgrading in recent years, the electronic information industry has accelerated the introduction and cultivation, the proportion of the industry has increased to 17%, and the equipment manufacturing and strategic emerging industries have grown rapidly.
Shanxi's performance can also be said to be "coal flying color dance". The analysis believes that on the one hand, Shanxi, as a major province of coal resources, has undertaken the heavy responsibility of coal supply for "half China", and the rise in demand and prices has also driven Shanxi's economic growth to a certain extent. In the first three quarters, the industrial added value of Shanxi's planned industry increased by 14.0%, ranking the forefront of the country.
On the other hand, the sudden performance of foreign trade is also one of the reasons for supporting Shanxi's eye-catching economic data. In the first three quarters, Shanxi's total import and export volume reached 170.34 billion yuan, an increase of 76.8%, and the growth rate also ranked among the forefront of the country.
In addition to Shanxi, the average growth rate of exports in Yunnan, Guizhou, Jiangxi, Sichuan and other regions ranks at the forefront of the country in two years, all of which are more than 20%, which is better than that of traditional foreign trade provinces such as Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Guangdong. Liang Jing believes that on the one hand, this has the influence of factors such as the industrial transfer in the central and western regions undertaking the eastern region in recent years, the low base of total foreign trade, and on the other hand, it may be related to the rise in commodity prices.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="65" > why is the growth rate slowing in the western region? </h1>
Since the beginning of this year, the GDP growth rate of many western provinces has generally been lower than the national level. In contrast, the top five GDP growth rates in the first three quarters of last year were Tibet, Guizhou, Gansu, Yunnan and Ningxia, and the GDP growth rates of these five provinces in the first three quarters of this year were 7.2%, 8.7%, 8.5%, 8.9% and 8.4%, all lower than the national growth rate of 9.8%.
Chongqing's GDP growth rate in two years is higher than that of other western regions, becoming the only region in the western region that has a higher growth rate than the national GDP growth rate in the first three quarters of this year.
Why did the growth rate of the western region slow down collectively in the first three quarters? Chen Yao said that relatively speaking, the western region was less affected by the epidemic last year, the economic growth rate was relatively high, so it was affected by a high base, coupled with the sporadic sporadic epidemics in Yunnan, Ningxia and other places, some areas adopted lockdown measures, supply chains, industrial chain short-term interruptions, causing a certain impact on the economy, so the economic growth rate in the western region generally slowed down in the first three quarters of this year.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="66" > "common prosperity" can be seen and touched</h1>
As the economic recovery in various places has picked up, people's wallets have also bulged.
In the first three quarters, the per capita disposable income of residents nationwide was 26,265 yuan, and from the recently released disposable income of residents in the first three quarters of 31 provinces, a total of 9 provinces in the first three quarters had a higher per capita disposable income than the national level, namely Shanghai, Beijing, Zhejiang, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Fujian, Shandong and Liaoning. Among them, the top seven provinces all exceeded 30,000 yuan.
In the first three quarters of 2021, the per capita disposable income of Shanghai residents was 58,907 yuan, compared with 56,498 yuan in Beijing, and the rest of the provinces had a large gap with Shanghai and Beijing. Zhejiang ranked third with 44,712 yuan, becoming a separate gear. Tianjin, Jiangsu, Guangdong and Fujian are all in the "30,000 yuan echelon".
Chen Yao believes that in general, the income level of residents is closely related to the economic development of the province, and at the same time, in the current policy environment of "first get rich and then get rich later" and achieve common prosperity, more emphasis is placed on income redistribution and third distribution. Therefore, the state continues to increase the intensity of social security, raise the standard of low income, and the disposable income gap between residents in various places is expected to continue to narrow in the future.
From: The country is a through train
Editor: Chen Haoxing
Editor-in-charge: Zhou Rui