Recently, I have been trying to write a Taiwanese article, but I have not written down. Mainly because the topic is somewhat sensitive. The day before yesterday, I originally wanted to write about it, but I felt the need to talk about some historical context.
When he was in the historical context, he wrote the last article", "Mao Zedong Entered Beijing to Catch the Examination."
When Mao Zedong entered Xiangshan, the Kuomintang government theoretically still had half of the Jiangnan River and was painstakingly operating the Yangtze River defense line.
At that time, theoretically, the Kuomintang government had no less resources than the Communists.
At that time, theoretically, there was still room for peace talks between the two sides, and a series of peace talks were also held. At that time, when it came to the end, the Kuomintang government was reluctant to sign. The two sides resolved by force, and the war situation was one-sided. The Kuomintang withdrew from the mainland and moved in favor of Taiwan.
After the Kuomintang ruled Taiwan, it mainly did three things:
First, develop Taiwan's economy.
It was during the two Chiang Kai-shek eras that Taiwan's economy became one of the four Asian tigers.
Second, adhere to the one-China principle.
In Taiwan, the father and son of the Chiang family have always adhered to the legal, Taoist, and historical inheritance of one China on both sides of the strait, which is worthy of recognition.
Third, toss out the DPP's poisonous hob meat.
Lee Teng-hui, who was personally chosen by Chiang Ching-kuo, became a gravedigger of the Kuomintang. These poisonous factions of the DPP today are basically cultivated by Lee Teng-hui. In particular, "Governor Cai", the means of detoxification in the second term of office have become even more intense.
To understand the relationship in the Taiwan Strait today, it is necessary to have a general understanding of these historical contexts and backgrounds. As a Chinese, like most of the Chinese, I hope to see cross-strait reunification, see the Chinese nation re-emerge and run to the sea of stars and compete for opportunities in the next civilization cycle.
This "Footsteps of Taiwan" refers to the footsteps of Taiwan's return, which is approaching.
The reason for this judgment is the result of the joint action of Chinese mainland, Taiwan, and the United States and Japan.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="80" >01 continental factor</h1>
On the issue of Taiwan's return to the motherland, the mainland is undoubtedly the dominant player and promoter.
Historically, Taiwan has been a part of China since ancient times.
Judging from international legal theory, the vast majority of countries today recognize one China, and Taiwan is a part of China.
Judging from domestic jurisprudence, the mainland has formulated and practiced the Anti-National Secession Law.
Even with the most primitive law of the jungle, the mainland has absolute strength to crush Taiwan.
Therefore, from the perspective of the mainland, Taiwan's return is not a question of whether it can be returned or not, but a question of when and in what way.
So in what way will the mainland promote Taiwan's return? Let's go back to 1949 and look at how the first generation of leadership groups approached it.
Before Mao Zedong entered Beijing, he presided over the Second Plenary Session of the Seventh Central Committee on the northwest slope. As for how to solve the problem of the remnants of the Kuomintang army, he proposed "no more than Tianjin, Beiping, and Suiyuan."
The "Tianjin way", that is, the way to destroy the enemy army by fighting; to destroy without surrendering, Wutong.
The "Beiping method", that is, the way of peacefully reorganizing the Kuomintang army, is to engage in peace and reunification with the backing of powerful force.
The "Suiyuan method" means that the original state is maintained for the time being, and the enemy army will be reorganized later.
Taiwan's return to the motherland is basically one of these three models: sycamore, peace reunification, and temporarily maintaining the status quo.
So what kind of strategy does the mainland adopt toward Taiwan at this stage? Liu Junchuan, deputy director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, made a four-point exposition on October 29:
1. Peace and tranquility in Taiwan will be fully guaranteed,
2. Economic development will also be fully enhanced,
3. The well-being of the people's livelihood will be fully improved,
4. Taiwan's fiscal revenue can be used to improve people's livelihood.
This is the mainland's commitment to Taiwan at this stage, which is actually peace and reunification backed by absolute strength, similar to the Beiping model. But this model is not static, if the Taiwanese drug faction touches the bottom line, then it may also switch to the Tianjin model, that is, Wutong.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="79" >02 Taiwan factor</h1>
Taiwan's poisonous faction began to become a climate from the lee teng-hui era. Tsai Ing-wen, who presents herself as Lee Teng-hui's successor, pushed her to another peak. In October alone, Tsai Ing-wen released provocative remarks twice.
In her recent "Double Tenth Speech," Tsai Ing-wen said, "We will not venture forward, but we absolutely do not think that the people of Taiwan will succumb under pressure... We will also continue to enrich our national defense and show our determination to defend ourselves and ensure that no one can force Taiwan to follow the path set by China.
- Typical naked drug-mongering remarks.
On October 28, ms. Tsai was surprised in an interview with U.S. media, confirming for the first time that U.S. troops were in Taiwan and saying it was "assisting in military training."
Tsai said: "We have extensive cooperation with the United States aimed at improving our defense capabilities. ”
Of course, when talking about how many U.S. troops there are, Tsai Ing-wen used a more vague statement: "Not as many as people think." What she means is that there are now US troops in Taiwan to help the Taiwan military train its troops, but the number is small.
This sounds very arrogant, but in fact it is pushing the mainland to resolve the Taiwan issue.
According to the comparison of the strength of the two sides of the strait, it is not difficult for the mainland to reunify Taiwan militarily. The higher Tsai Ing-wen leads the poison faction, the more she can promote the determination of the mainland Wutong.
Tsai Ing-wen dared to be so arrogant, relying on nothing more than two.
First, the mainland's benevolence is unwilling to use its swords against its compatriots.
Looking at how much money Taiwan makes from the mainland every year, we can understand how interesting the mainland is to Taiwan.
On July 16 this year, when Hong Xiuzhu visited the Xiamen Taiwan Association, he said that in the first half of this year, Taiwan's total exports to the mainland increased by 35.1 percent year-on-year, and the surplus reached 78 billion U.S. dollars, 20 billion U.S. dollars more than the same period last year.
On October 15 this year, when Ma Ying-jeou went to Wang Jinping's hometown for dinner, he said that from Chen Shui-bian to Ma Ying-jeou's term of office, the mainland's proportion of Taiwan's total exports has never exceeded 40%. By the time of Tsai Ing-wen,000, the mainland accounted for 43 percent of Taiwan's total exports.
Never before has it been so easy for an economy, such as Taiwan, to make money from the mainland. This is because the mainland has always been full of goodwill toward Taiwan. While enjoying the mainland's goodwill, Tsai Ing-wen provokes the mainland is indeed not authentic.
Second, the illusion that the United States and its allies (Japan, Australia, etc.) are the saviors.
Indeed, from the current situation, the United States, Japan, and Australia will say something that Tsai Ing-wen and the drug faction love to hear from time to time. Especially considering the general environment of the Sino-US game, it gives the poison faction room for illusion.
It should be known that in the era of the Kuomintang-Communist Showdown, the Republic of China government under the rule of the Kuomintang had stronger support from the United States, but it was of little use.
Today's DPP is far less powerful than the KUOMINTANG in 1949.
U.S. support for the DPP government today is far less than it was for the KUOMINTANG in 1949.
Today, the comprehensive strength of the mainland is stronger than ever, and it is still growing.
In this case, Tsai Ing-wen fantasizes about relying on the United States for self-protection, and the final result will only accelerate Taiwan's return.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="63" >03 US factor</h1>
Tsai Ing-wen revealed that the purpose of the US military in Taiwan is actually twofold:
First, provoke the mainland.
Second, force the United States to make more statements.
In fact, the United States has given the drug faction a lot of wrong positions. Among other things, Blinken's recent statement of "supporting Taiwan's participation in the United Nations system" made the drug faction fantasize about the United States as a savior.
In fact, since the founding of the United States, it has never been anyone's savior, let alone interested in being the savior of Taiwan. The United States is a pragmatic and realistic country that integrates capitalism into dacheng.
In the American worldview, Taiwan is nothing more than a bargaining chip to disgust China. Taiwan's fantasy of becoming the heart of the United States is actually just a fingernail of the United States.
However, in the context of the Sino-US game, the United States hopes that Taiwan can distract China's attention. Perhaps the United States has already marked a price for Taiwan in the depths of its heart, ready to trade with China when the time is ripe. When that moment came, the Taiwan authorities were certainly confused, just as they did after Nixon's visit to China in 1972.
At present, the DPP authorities are easily fooled by the United States because they have not been in power for a long time and have not experienced the taste of being used as a chip by the United States. In contrast, although the KMT is not very good, because it has been used as a chip by the United States several times, it has behaved more maturely than the DPP.
Today's DPP is like a hairy child, and the United States will shine with a little sunshine. It is an obvious fact that the United States is instigating the DPP authorities to make trouble and depleting the mainland's patience; once the United States stimulates the mainland and the DPP provokes the mainland once, it will speed up the pace of the mainland's recovery of Taiwan.
In short, the footsteps of Taiwan's return are becoming clearer and clearer.