We are looking forward to a "chicken blood".
There is heat, there is popularity, there is brilliance.
It is important that people gather together and undo their masks with peace of mind.
In another 10 hours, it came.
Annual.
92nd Oscars.
Don't think that only China suffers from the epidemic in China.
Starting at $1 billion.
That's the Hollywood Reporter's estimate of global box office losses in 2020.
Of course, Chinese films are the hardest hit areas, the Spring Festival stalls are in vain, the first half of the year may be stagnant, and what is within reach is that the crisis of the chain, from front-end production, filming to terminal distribution and marketing, has not been spared.
Today, we still say Oscars, what is the significance?
Probably hope.
Compared to last year's "desolation", this year is definitely the "big year" of the Oscars.
For the first time in history.
Cannes Palme d'Or "Parasite" and Venice Golden Lion "Joker" were shortlisted at the same time;
"Joker", "1917", "The Irishman", "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" received 10 or more Oscar nominations;
In addition to "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" (7.3 points), the remaining Oscar Best Movie finalists are Douban 8 points+.
Among them, "Joker" (11 items) surpassed "The Dark Knight" (8 items), becoming the most comic book adaptation film in the history of the number of awards;
Such a "fairy fight" also made Sir fall into an unprecedented entanglement.
Almost every award cannot be directly chosen;
Almost every award has regrets.
So.
Here's a list of predictions about the final winner.
But our applause should also be dedicated to his opponents.
Best Picture
The Irishman
Choosing "The Irishman" is Sir's willfulness.
According to the awards results, the number one seed for best picture is "1917".
Since "Upset" won the Golden Globe Award for Best Picture, the most important Oscar weathervane, the Producers Guild of America Award, has also been included.
Leaving aside 1917, the second choice is Parasite.
The latter is the first time a Korean film has been nominated for an Oscar, and it is also the one with the most awards for best picture in the awards season (16 in total, only 5 in "1917").
Sir risked 99% of the face-punching choices For The Irishman for no other reason than that.
It's like a dying old man.
The exclamation of "it's all going to die" is for the gangster killer Frank Sheeran in the play, for the "old guys" of Martin Scorsese, Robert De Niro, Al Pacino and Joe Percy outside the play, and for us in front of the screen.
You may never see a movie like this again.
Lengthy and dignified.
Sad and restrained.
Lonely and noble.
The preciousness of "The Irishman" lies in this "no-come" nature.
Remember the last shot of the film.
Frank, played by Robert De Niro, has just finished confessing to the priest.
The pastor got up to leave.
Frank asked:
Is Christmas coming?
father:
yes.
……
I'll always be here (waiting for you).
The priest nodded.
frank:
Can you do me a favor, don't close the door, I don't like that, leave a slit.
This action has two meanings -
One, inadvertently continuing the habit of his friend Jimmy Hoffa, whom he personally killed.
Second, inadvertently speaking through the tragedy of a generation's fate.
Those who believe in loyalty are betrayed by loyalty; those who protect their families are abandoned by their families; and those who have been chasing power all their lives will not be able to escape when death comes.
The problem is --
Is this just a tragedy of a generation?
"The Irishman" is more than a gangster elegy.
Best Director
Sam Mendes, 1917
After two consecutive 007 films, Sam Mendes spent four years and entered the room again.
Based on his grandfather's memories, Sam Mendes and Roger Deakins worked together to create one of the best war-themed films of recent years.
Admittedly, the immersion of the shot to the end is attributed to photographer Roger Deakins.
But behind this scene, the rhythm that makes the audience follow the protagonist's breathing and undulating is definitely the credit of Sam Mendez.
"1917" was a top-notch "technical victory."
Under the dispatch of Sam Mendes —
Those coherent trivialities have a sense of ritual of life.
Long shots are not showmanship, but in addition to long shots, you can't imagine that it can shoot better.
Well, let's talk about "technical".
Sam Mendes won 10 Best Director Awards, including the Golden Globes and the BAFTA Awards.
- The most important directors' guild award is also his.
From the perspective of historical probability, in the past 71 years, 64 of the best directors of the directors guild have won oscars.
Trust Sir.
Sam Mendes wasn't that unexpected.
Best Actor
Joaquin Phoenix, "Joker"
Movie Emperor can only be produced in these two.
Joker's Joaquin Phoenix vs Adam Dreifer of Marriage Story.
The former is fascinating because of madness, and the latter is heart-wrenching by reality.
But Sir is more bullish on the former.
As a character research film, Joaquin Phoenix wins, and his interpretation gives the character another meaning.
He successfully broke and reorganized the comic book character of "Joker".
He endowed the clown with a cold and hard realistic style.
He said:
The Joker is not a lunatic.
Only fate is cruel, you and I are clowns.
This is the reason why the "Joker" is really dangerous.
Best Actress
Renee Zellweger "Judy"
Renee Zellweger, who had been floating for many years, finally "killed" back.
"Judy" is her own epic.
She saved the lackluster script with her acting skills, she said and did it: "The peak of success is not important, the process is more important, the hard work you put in for it is more important." 」 ”
This character is easy to perform gossip dog blood.
But Renee Zellweger performed the "ripples" of life's undercurrents:
At the end of the London concert, the band's pianist and receptionist order a cream cake to send Off Judy Garland (Renee Zellweger).
She watched the cake hesitate, but kept turning the cake plate, and her face was ugly.
I dug a small corner without cream and chewed it for a while before swallowing, as if I was eating something indigestible...
Then, trembling, say a word "delicious."
Behind this hesitant action, unveil the prototype Judy Garland's "native environment".
Dieting and taking medicine at MGM in order to shoot "The Wizard of Oz" led to drug dependence and mental depression.
What we see is a "normal" successful person.
But for her, the cause, the illness, the epidemic that a person has repeatedly lost, is the brilliance of life.
Best Supporting Actor
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
It's an open secret that Oscar "hates" handsome guys.
If you want to win the prize, you must "self-harm".
Leonardo DiCaprio, Matthew McConaughey, Jared Leto...
Too much is too much.
Brad Pitt tried, no.
"Twelve Monkeys" nominated the male partner to lose to Kevin Spacey, "Benjamin Barton Wonder" nominated the male lead to lose to Sean Pan, and "Penalty To Gold" lost to Jean Duyardin.
Strength and luck, he is a little bit worse.
Therefore, in this year's most intense "death group", he is the youngest and the only one who has not been favored by the little golden man.
Even though he said, "If Oscar were your only pursuit in life, it would be the end of it," Sir thought.
The time has come.
So far in the awards season, he has won almost all the best supporting actors very "aggressively".
Is it because this time is really particularly prominent?
not necessarily.
But there is something new:
Take the male charm of hollywood's golden age male stars to the extreme, sit still in the face of temptation, and never be soft when it is time to shoot.
Giving him an award is not so much an encouragement and "respect for the elderly" as it is a release of feelings.
Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dunn's Marriage Story
To say that the most suspenseful one in the award is the best supporting actress.
Laura Dunn swept down all the supporting actresses she could.
Radiant.
The confidence with which she raised her hands, the dialogue she had with a machine gun, the tenderness that flowed from her strong elegance, every minute was like this comment said—
Sister invincible.
Sir couldn't help but re-read her line again and again:
Let's face it, the concept of a good father only emerged about 30 years ago, when people were expected to be silent, absent, unreliable, and selfish. We can all say we want them to be different. They are prone to mistakes, and we love them for that. But on some basic level, we accept them, but people will never accept that the mother feels the same way, both physically and mentally. For the foundation of Judeo-Christianity is Mary, the mother of Jesus. She was flawless, she was a virgin but had a baby, unwavering in her support for her child. When he died, hold his body. Father wasn't there, he hadn't even her. God is in heaven, God is the Father, and God is not present, so you have to be perfect.
Best Original Screenplay
Bong Joon-ho and Han Jin-won, "Parasite"
It's too easy to pick the faults of Parasite.
The rich are functionalized and the poor are dramatized.
Logic gives way to theme rendering.
Design, design, it's all about design.
But Sir still insisted on choosing it.
The reason is that, judging from today's increasingly magical reality, "Parasite" is nothing more than a wake-up call to tighten the trigger.
"People who take the subway have a special smell."
"People who live well are more likely to be good people."
"The best plan is no plan. Because once a plan is made, life will never go according to the plan. Therefore, to be a person, you have to have no plan, and without a plan, you will not go wrong. ”
Sleeping in the social room, we woke up one after another.
See cracks in the floor, see blood stains on brocade, see the "discriminating heart" that treats people as worms.
The gears are exquisite and the operation is orderly.
The hooks of each character are closely related, and the development and twists of the story are layered, and there are even "fengshi reversals" embellished.
You call it "chicken thief".
If you are not careful, you will fall into the trap set by Bong Joon-ho.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Taiga Viditti, Jojo's Whimsical World
After winning the British Academy Film Award and the American Writers Guild Award for best adapted screenplay, two important "weather vanes", "Jojo's Whimsical World" seems to be in the hands of victory.
Win in the choice of angles and the transformation of authorship.
Both Christine Renance's original Caging Skies and the real Hitler Youth in history are far more brutal than the film creates.
Is the script deliberately silly white sweetened and deliberately toothless?
A Hitler who had never been seen before could refute it.
He is the anthropomorphic "tumor" in the mind of the little boy Jojo:
Tapping the audience, the devil's brainwashing began with the dolls.
Best Cinematography
Roger Deakins, 1917
Two words.
Expectations are high.
Ride the dust.
After 13 years of running, Roger Deakins achieved a breakthrough of zero in 2018 with Blade Runner 2049.
But when you think that's his limit, the sword is not old, and he carries a shot to the end of "1917".
Full location + natural light shooting, seamless long shots, each shot design, positioning, scheduling and shooting are rehearsed and adjusted for a long time.
The prize does not give him a natural reason.
Best Clip
Yang Jinmo "Parasite"
Sir, let's talk about a detail.
A parallel clip of "The Dove Occupies the Magpie's Nest" in "Parasite".
On the one hand, it is the driver and his son at home practicing dialogue.
On the one hand, it is the driver's performance of the president's wife.
Interspersed in the middle is the quick cut of the president's wife when she comes home to see the servant vomiting blood.
In the fast and precise shots, the drama is so explicitly illuminated into reality.
We love this kind of drama, not because it is dramatic, but because it borrows drama to outline the reality that we dare not say or cannot say.
Best visuals
Reunion 4
Choosing it is something that has to be admitted.
10 years on, glittering, breathtaking special effects soaked in.
The universe we speak of today is no longer the universe in the physical sense.
It is a huge, profitable giant theme park for humans.
"Special effects start in the movie, as high as Marvel"
"Reunion 4" has a total of 2496 special effects shots, and only 4 shots in the whole film have no special effects.
Best Art Direction
Nancy Hague and Barbara Ling, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
At the Oscar Vane American Art Directors Guild Awards, "Parasite" and "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" won best art direction for contemporary and historical films, respectively.
The design of the former, the main scene of the Park family mansion and the Kim family house, is really stunning.
But the difficulty of "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" is not only to build a space for the development of the film, but also to restore everything in Hollywood in the 60s and 70s.
Quentin, the old naughty boy, is actually riding Lego.
It is both restored and deformed, and it hides jokes.
Hollywood's Golden Age?
Everyone will never forget, a bloody case of extermination under the chaos of social thought.
Best Original Soundtrack
Hildi Guznadotir "Joker"
A comment under the soundtrack:
Hans Zimmer pulls out the crazy clown with the violin, and Hildy uses the cello to saw out the dark bottom depressed clown @mileven1
Best Original Song
“(I'm Gonna)Love Me Again”《火箭人》
Chorus by the film's archetype Elton John and starring Taren Egerton, the lyrics are catchy.
More importantly, the song is a "dialogue" between him and his strange inner self.
Best Animated Feature
Toy Story 4
Despite the Golden Globes " upset " loss to "The Lost Link "Sir is still determined to choose it."
Toys grow with the audience.
In this episode, the dilemma is still chicken flying dog jump, but Woody is like a helpless, mature middle-aged man.
The trade-off of identity, the adjustment of value order.
Lingering, a flurry of parting.
Best Animated Short Film
"Don't Forget Me"
This year is the first time in seven years that no CG animation has appeared in the Oscar nominations for Best Animated Short Film.
What does this mean?
Back to authenticity.
Is it the story of old man Alzheimer again?
It has chosen a stunning, artistic form of expression.
Will be missing to cause dreams.
Van Gogh's abstract painting style makes sensationalism so elegant and decent.
Best Documentary Feature
"For Samar"
The Times gives a concise but sharp five-star suffice to illustrate —
"Simply put, it's a movie that has never been made before."
Sir has commented before.
Most importantly, it does not shy away from "moral blind spots."
Best International Film
《Parasite》
This year's Oscars are the only ones who know the answer without having to guess at all.
The Internet Age.
Some people achieve fully automatic control in the mansion, and some people are still in the basement, crouching on the toilet to find signals.
There is also a hierarchy of internet speeds.
At last.
Pull down and get a complete prediction of all the awards.
Agree, like and forward the collection of one dragon.
Different opinions?
Sir is waiting for you in the comments section to punch you in the face.
【Best Film】
Speed King
Jojo's Whimsical World
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
《1917》
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
【Best Director】
Bong Joon-ho "Parasite"
Todd Phillips, "Joker"
Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
【Best Actor】
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Dreifer's Marriage Story
Jonathan Pressy," The Succession of the Pope
【Best Actress】
Cynthia Erivo, "Harriet"
Scarlett Johansson, The Marriage Story
Silsa Ronan, "Little Women"
Charlize Theron's "Breaking News"
【Best Supporting Actor】
Anthony Hopkins, The Succession of the Pope
Tom Hanks, "A Good Day in the Neighborhood"
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pescie, The Irishman
【Best Supporting Actress】
Kathy Bates, "The Lamentations of Richard Jewell"
Florence Poe,"Little Women"
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo's Whimsical World
Margot Robbie, "Breaking News"
【Best Original Screenplay】
Ryan Johnson, "Sharp Blade Out of the Sheath"
Noah Baumbach's Marriage Story
Sam Mendes and Christie Wilson-Keynes, 1917
【Best Adapted Screenplay】
Steven Zerian, The Irishman
Todd Phillips and Scott Sliver, "Joker"
Greta Gerweger's Little Women
Anthony McCarten,"Succession of the Pope"
【Best Cinematography】
Rodrigo Prieto, The Irishman
Lawrence Schell, "Joker"
Jarin Braszeko,"The Lighthouse"
Robert Richardson, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
【Best Editing】
Michael McCarsk and Andrew Buckland, "King of speed"
Selma Skunmec in The Irishman
Tom Eagles, Jojo's Whimsical World
Jeff Gross, "Joker"
【Best Sound Effects Editing】
Donald Sylvester, "The King of Speed"
Alain Robert Murray, "Joker"
Oliver Tarney and Rachael Tate, 1917
Wally Steven, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Matthew Wood, David Act, Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
【Best Acoustic Effects】
Kerry Ridstrom, Tom Johnson, Mark Urano, Interstellar Quest
Paul Massey, David Giammarco, Steven Morrow, "The King of Speed"
Tom Ozzanić, Dean M. A. Zupansic and Tod Maitland, "Joker"
Mark Taylor, Stuart Wilson, 1917
Michael Minkler, Kristen M. P. Minkler and Mark Urano, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
【Best Visual Effects】
Dan Drivu, Russell Earl, Matt Aitken, Daniel Sadik, Avengers: Endgame
Pablo Herman, Leandro Estebe Kona, Stephen Lake, Nelson Sepvida, The Irishman
Robert Legato, Adam Vaderz, Andrew R. Jones, Elliot Newman, The Lion King
Guillaume Roshlon, Greg Butler, Dominique Doe, 1917
Neil Scanlon, Patrick Tubbach, Roger Gayette, Dominique Doe, Star Wars Episode IX: Rise of Skywalker
【Best Makeup & Hairstyle Design】
Kazu Hiro, Anne Morgan, Vivian Baker, "Breaking News"
Nicky Lederman and Kay Giorgio, "Joker"
Jeremy Woodhead "Judy"
Paul Gooch, Ain Totem, David White, Sleeping Curse 2
Naomi Donne、Tristan Versluis、Rebecca Cole《1917》
【Best Costume Design】
Sandy Powell and Christopher Peterson, The Irishman
Mayes C. Rubeo, "Jojo's Whimsical World"
Mark Bridges, "Joker"
Jacqueline Duran, "Little Women"
Aryane Philips, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
【Best Art Direction】
Bob Shaw and Regina Graves, The Irishman
La Vincent, Nora Sopková, Jojo's Whimsical World
Dennis Geisner and Lee Sandales, "1917"
Lee Ha Joon and Cho Won Woo "Parasite"
【Best Original Score】
Alexander Displatt,"Little Women"
Randy Newman's Marriage Story
Thomas Newman, 1917
John Williams, Star Wars: Rise of Skywalker
【Best Original Song】
"I'm Standing With You"
"Into The Unknown" Frozen 2
"Stand Up" "Harriet"
"I Can't Let You Throw Yourself Away"
【Best Animated Feature】
How to Train Your Dragon 3
"I Lost My Body"
Klaus: The Secret of Christmas
The Lost Link
【Best Animated Short Film】
"Daughter"
"Hair Love"
The Little Wildcat and the Bulldog
"Sister"
【Best Live Action Short Film】
"Brotherhood"
Football Club
"The Neighbor's Window"
"Serena"
"Sister"
【Best Documentary Feature】
American Factory
The Hospital in the Cave
The Edge of Democracy
Land of Honey
【Best Documentary Film】
"Justice Is Still Absent"
Girls' Field Skateboarding Lesson
"Giving Up survival"
Superman of St. Louis
"Run to Dance a Cha-Cha Dance"
【Best International Film】
Parasite (Korea)
The Eucharist (Poland)
Land of Honey (North Macedonia)
Les Misérables (France)
Pain and Glory (Spain)
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