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India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

On the international energy map, India is quietly drawing a new strategic blueprint. According to the latest news, India steel companies decided to import coking coal from Mongolia, but surprisingly, they would rather bear the high cost of transportation and bypass China and choose to transship through Russia. Behind this decision, India's complex strategic calculations and subtle game of international relations are hidden, and people can't help but wonder about the underlying motives behind it.

India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

In recent years, the Sino-Indian border issue has been like an insurmountable boulder between the two countries. India's distrust and defensive psychology towards China has reached an unprecedented height. This sentiment has not only affected the political mutual trust between the two countries, but has also quietly permeated every corner of economic cooperation. The choice of transportation routes for coal mines in Mongolia is a direct manifestation of this mentality. India prefers to take a longer and more expensive route and ensure that there is no intersection with China throughout the journey, which is a deep wariness of Chinese influence.

India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

As an emerging economy, India has a growing demand for energy. As one of the pillars of the country's economy, the steel industry has a particularly huge demand for coking coal. However, India's coking coal self-sufficiency rate is only 15% of domestic demand, and the remaining 85% depends on imports. Although Australia is a major supplier of coking coal to India, India understands that "eggs cannot be put in one basket", so it actively seeks to diversify energy supply channels around the world.

India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

The exploration of coking coal resources in Mongolia provides a new option for India. Mongolia's coking coal is an attractive option for India due to its low cost and high quality. However, how to safely and efficiently transport these resources back home has become a major challenge for India. Given the tensions in Sino-Indian relations, the India government decided to take an extreme and cautious approach – bypassing China.

India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

Russia has become an indispensable link in the transportation route of coking coal in Mongolia. Whether it is to the east through the Far Eastern Railway of Russia to the port of Vladivostok, or to the west through Siberia to the port on the Black Sea coast, Russia is the way to go. This choice not only reflects India's shrewd diplomatic strategy on the international political stage, but also reflects Russia's important position in the global energy map. Russia and India have always maintained close cooperation. From military equipment to energy supplies, cooperation between the two countries is deepening. In the context of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the United States and Western countries imposed comprehensive economic sanctions on Russia, while India took the opportunity to expand energy cooperation with Russia and became a "second-hand energy businessman" and made a lot of money. This cooperation in the transportation of coking coal in Mongolia will undoubtedly further consolidate the energy ties between Russia and India.

India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

India's decision to bypass China to transport Mongolia's coking coal is ostensibly motivated by concerns about Sino-Indian relations and the pursuit of diversification of energy supplies, but in fact there are deeper strategic considerations behind it. India has struggled to balance its diplomatic relations with United States, Russia and China to ensure its best interests on the international stage. By bypassing China to transport coking coal, India is not only expressing its dissatisfaction and defense against China, but also demonstrating its foreign policy flexibility and autonomy to the outside world. In addition, India may also be preparing for future imports of rare earth resources. As an indispensable strategic resource for modern industry, rare earths are crucial to India's high-tech industry. Mongolia is rich in rare earth resources, and India is undoubtedly paving the way for possible rare earth imports in the future by strengthening energy cooperation with Mongolia.

India's energy strategy shift: the logic behind Mongolia's coal mines bypassing China

India's decision to transport Mongolia's coal mines around China is not economically viable, but strategically significant. It is not only an important step in India's energy diversification strategy, but also a manifestation of India's skillful balance of forces and safeguarding its own interests in international relations. Behind this seemingly simple choice of transportation routes, in fact, there are complex international relations and far-reaching strategic considerations. For the global energy market, India's decision will undoubtedly trigger new waves and thinking.

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