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The Biden administration is running out of time, and neighboring Mongolia, from president to prime minister, still gives Blinken enough face
Blinken's visit to Mongolia, how far can the United States's "third neighbor" strategy go?
In the big chess game of international politics, sometimes small countries become sweethearts. Recently, the news of United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to Mongolia has attracted a lot of attention. This landlocked country, sandwiched between the two major powers of China and Russia, has become an important part of United States' Asia-Pacific strategy.
As soon as Blinken arrived in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia did everything it could to entertain him. The president and the prime minister met in turn, and the foreign minister held a formal meeting. This battle is even more grand than welcoming a superstar. It seems that Mongolia really attaches great importance to this guest who has come from afar.
However, if you think about it carefully, the content of this diplomatic show is a cliché. It is nothing more than the old tune of "third neighbor", coupled with some exchanges on international and regional issues. To put it bluntly, the United States wants to use Mongolia, a country with a unique geographical location, to balance the influence of China and Russia.
Don't say it, it really works. Mongolia's ability to balance between major powers has become more and more sophisticated in recent years. Like a shrewd little trader, holding China and Russia with his left hand and United States with his right hand, for fear of losing the line on either side. This kind of diplomatic skill is really admirable.
Speaking of which, the identity of the "third neighbor" of United States is not picked up for nothing. From Trump to Biden, the U.S.-Mongolia relationship is getting closer. During the Trump era, the relationship was upgraded to a "strategic third neighbor partner", which sounds very high-end. When Biden arrived, he achieved a breakthrough in the Mongolia Prime Minister's visit to the United States.
However, just talk about it and don't practice fake tricks. If the United States really wants to gain a foothold in Mongolia, it can't just talk about it. Gotta come up with real money. Now the United States and its allies are eyeing Mongolia's mineral resources, and this is the real interest.
Mongolia is also smart on its part. Politically, it has kept its distance from China and Russia, but economically it has strengthened cooperation. This trick of "separating politics and economy" can be described as perfect. Take the SCO Mongolia as an observer for more than 20 years, but it is stunned and refuses to "join". This kind of attitude of imminent departure really makes the big countries play around.
To be honest, Mongolia's left-right diplomatic strategy is really a bit like dancing between major powers. Today it is close to China and Russia, and tomorrow it is eye-to-eye with United States. This kind of balancing technique, I'm afraid that even tightrope walkers are not as good as themselves.
However, no matter how much balance can be played, Mongolia cannot do without the two big neighbors of China and Russia. Take the economyMongolia is now enthusiastic about the China-Russia-Mongolia Economic Corridor, especially the transit gas pipeline. The Mongolia government was eager to be a bride for China and Russia, urging them to quickly settle this family affair.
Although the United States has been shouting about helping Mongolia "diversify" its economy, there is not much that can be done. After all, Mongolia is a landlocked country, if you want to do business, without transiting through China or Russia, can you still fly over? Even Blinken's special plane had to pass through China's airspace during his visit to Mongolia. Isn't this a geography lesson that reality has taught United States?
After all, the term "third neighbor" is a good political concept. In Mongolia's diplomatic priorities, China and Russia, two solid neighbors, are the real "thighs".
But then again, United States' enthusiasm for Mongolia is estimated to be unstoppable. As long as China and Russia remain there, the United States will always regard Mongolia as an important pawn to balance China and Russia. This strategy, whether the Democratic Party or the Republican Party comes to power, is expected to not change.
It's a pity that the Biden administration has now entered the countdown. No matter how good Blinken can speak, he can't write any long-term empty promises to Mongolia. Only small projects can be used to coax the Mongolians.
It seems that the "Mongolia dance" in this great power game will continue to dance. How long will Mongolia be able to balance in this complex diplomatic dance? How far can United States's "third neighbor" strategy go? This geopolitical drama is really dizzying.
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