#你认为小麦价格多少钱一斤合适呢? #
Ladies and gentlemen, the wheat market in July can be described as "stable". The rainy weather has hindered the circulation of wheat, and the demand side is also the "off-season", and the purchasing mentality of flour companies is more cautious than that of blind dates. The result? The price of wheat is like being immobilized, unable to move, and can only fluctuate in a small area.
At the end of last week, 37 storage points in Jiangsu, Beijing, Shandong and other places announced a new round of wheat reserves. Don't worry, we must first figure out the real purpose of increasing reserves - to stabilize prices, not to let prices "fly to the sky".
Back in May and June, when the new season of wheat was on the market, the price once fell so much that I didn't know my mother. Fortunately, the first round of storage increase was made in time, and the price was stabilized in the range of 1.2-1.25 yuan / catty. Now, the second round of reserve increases is here, and the country's determination to stabilize wheat prices is obvious.
So, will wheat prices rise sharply in August? We have to start with the market itself. The weather will improve in August, and the demand for flour is expected to pick up, and the stocking before the school season, Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day will also drive a wave of demand. But don't forget, when the price was low in July, dealers had already stocked up in advance, and this demand had already been "advanced".
Let's talk about feed substitution. In July, the price of corn fell, the substitution advantage of wheat weakened, and the demand for wheat from feed companies also declined. This trend is expected to continue in August, and the alternative market for wheat is not optimistic.
On the whole, wheat prices in August may rise under the dual impact of increasing reserves and recovering demand, but a sharp rise is unlikely. After all, both the upfront inventory and the profitability of the flour mill limit the upside of prices.
Entering September, the operating load of flour enterprises may be lowered, and the demand of traders to open the warehouse will also put pressure on wheat prices. In October, the autumn harvest and autumn sowing will reduce the circulation of wheat in the market, and the price may stop falling and rebound, but the increase will be limited.
Finally, the editor would like to say that the rise and fall of wheat prices must be cherished by our farmers and friends. The price high at the end of August may be around 2525 yuan/ton, and the low point at the end of September may be around 2455 yuan/ton. The market is ever-changing, and we have to seize the opportunity and plan reasonably.
Well, about the August market of wheat prices, the editor will analyze it here. If you have any ideas or questions, please leave a message to discuss. See you next time!