At the end of July, the domestic egg market, recently, many netizens feedback, egg prices have fallen significantly, previously, the retail price of eggs in many places rose into the "5 yuan era", some urban supermarkets ordinary brown shell eggs are quoted at 5.5 yuan / catty, in the author's hometown of southwest Lu, the price of eggs in rural markets has risen to about 5.05 yuan / catty, however, recently, egg prices have shown a downward trend, and the center of gravity has moved down significantly, the retail price of local eggs has fallen to 4.4 yuan / catty, and the price has fallen by nearly 0.6 ~0.7 yuan/catty!
It is understood that at present, the mainstream areas in China, among them, the mainstream eggs in Jinan, Shandong Province are quoted at 4.1~4.2 yuan/jin, and Qingdao eggs are quoted at 4.25~4.7 yuan/jin; In Hebei, the mainstream egg price in Shijiazhuang is 3.93 yuan / catty, and the price of eggs in Zhangjiakou is 4.0~4.02 yuan; In Henan, the price of Kaifeng eggs is 4.2~4.27 yuan; Xinxiang price is 4.2~4.4 yuan; In Beijing, a mainstream consumer city, the wholesale market price is 4.16 yuan/jin, and the mainstream egg price in Shanghai is 4.47 yuan/jin!
At present, domestic egg prices are showing a downward trend, the market is under pressure to rise in stages, and the price may continue to be weak!
On the one hand, due to the high number of domestic laying hens, although, the egg production rate has declined, but, due to the reduction of old chicken elimination, the level of laying hens remains high, and the supply of eggs is relatively sufficient, in particular, the young chicken inventory is more, and there is a certain pressure on the supply of small and medium-sized eggs!
On the other hand, recently, due to the volcanic sky and precipitation, the demand for egg purchase and sales is sluggish, the enthusiasm of traders in the downstream market is weakened, the market is not good, the mainstream food enterprises lack the operation of warehousing, production and marketing, by the production capacity to maintain a high level, the inventory pressure increases, the risk of storage mildew, the subscription mentality is stronger!
Therefore, under the interweaving of long and short, egg prices show a situation of volatility and decline, but with the price falling sharply, the market bottom-buying mentality or will become stronger, in particular, food companies may have the operation of bargain storage, and the egg production rate will decline or will have a certain support for the market, the short-term market or will have a trend of stopping the fall and rising, and the market will pay attention to the changes in demand follow-up!
At the same time, in terms of domestic refined oil, last week, gasoline and diesel prices fell slightly, 92/95 gasoline fell 0.11 ~ 0.13 yuan, oil prices in the second half of the year began to fall mode, and it is understood that a new round of pricing cycle started, domestic oil prices still have the opportunity to fall!
It is understood that recently, the international crude oil market has fluctuated and fallen, slowed down by the global economy, the pressure of geopolitical tensions has been reduced, in particular, the fuel demand of Asian economies is less than expected, although the United States economy is strong and strong, and the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September has increased significantly, but by the demand follow-up, international oil prices maintain a volatile downward trend!
According to data analysis, referring to last Friday, WTI crude oil was quoted at $77.16 per barrel, down 1.43%, and Brent crude oil was quoted at $81.13 per barrel, down 1.5%!
From this analysis, the oil price decline support is strong, but the market is still facing certain pressure, in particular, the crude oil market still has strong support, this week, the United States consumer confidence index is about to be released, the United States manufacturing ISM data is about to be released, if the data is good, the probability of the Fed rate cut or will be further improved, which may have a certain benefit to crude oil consumption, international oil prices or will rebound trend, which will also suppress the downward performance of domestic oil prices!
Therefore, based on various factors in the market, in this cycle, whether the oil price reduction can be realized is still facing certain pressure, and the author will continue to pay attention to the development of the market and update the performance of the latest adjustment of refined oil products in a timely manner!
Attached: On July 30, the price of 92/95 gasoline at gas stations in all provinces and cities across the country!
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