Previously, Blinken said that he wanted to meet and talk with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, and now after meeting with Foreign Minister Wang Yi, he went straight to Mongolia.
Before going to Mongolia, according to Blinken's itinerary, he almost traveled around China's neighboring countries, but did not stop in China, which is very curious.
If you don't come to China and want to meet and talk with the Chinese foreign minister, what does Blinken want?
Dignity and dignity
With the United States election going on, under the dual pressure of Trump's absolute advantage and the Democratic Party, Biden announced that he would withdraw from the election and said that he would support Harris to participate in the United States total of the election.
This decision can be said to surprise everyone, but it makes sense to think about it carefully, after all, Biden's physical condition is indeed very obvious.
According to United States usual custom, no matter who the next United States president is, the position of secretary of state Blinken is unlikely to be re-elected, and he will inevitably end his term as secretary of state as Biden's term ends.
Then, with Biden's withdrawal from the election, Biden's policies may also end with the street, and before Biden ended his term, Blinken, as secretary of state, began to visit China's neighboring countries, obviously trying to pave public opinion and leave a good reputation for this administration.
After all, there are many problems in the United States now, and it can be expected that the evaluation after that will be largely worse, and at this time, Blinken's visit will at least be able to block it in the name of focusing on Asia-Pacific affairs in the future.
What's more, even if after Biden withdraws from the election, Harris will be able to take over the baton campaign, but whether he can finally win the position of president of United States is actually uncertain, so there will be such advance preparations.
To put it bluntly, he doesn't want to have a bad reputation in the future, and he is ready to find a decent statement for himself, so Blinken's next schedule has become very tight.
Over the next 10 days, Blinken will need to visit several countries.
Visits to China's neighboring countries
And the first country Blinken went to was Viet Nam, and participated in Nguyen Phu Trong's funeral, which is also one of Blinken's intentions to come to Viet Nam first, after Biden took office, he attached great importance to Viet Nam, and even pulled Viet Nam down to the level of equality with Russia, in order to win over Viet Nam.
However, what is surprising is that Nguyen Phu Trong has left this world, and as an object that can be wooed, Blinken naturally wants to go and visit it, and it is human nature to express condolences on behalf of Biden.
In addition, and more importantly, Blinken needs to deal with Viet Nam new senior state to see if Viet Nam is willing to cooperate with United States in the new leadership team, and whether the two sides can engage more at the top level.
Because the ASEAN Ministerial Meeting is about to begin, Blinken's second country is also in Laos, where Blinken also wants to meet with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and summarize Sino-US relations.
However, there is no need to expect this, and Sino-US relations will probably remain unchanged until the end of the United States election, after all, both sides are watching and seeing, which can be regarded as tacit.
After the trip to Laos, Blinken is likely to go to Japan, and he basically has two purposes, the first is to discuss bilateral security issues with Japan, and the second is to host the ministerial meeting of the security dialogue between the United States, Japan, India and Australia.
But in this meeting, the United States, as the dominant party, will basically not change the general policy until the results of the United States election, so the ministerial meeting will basically not change, but only the appearance of false prosperity.
After the Japan trip, Blinken and Defense Secretary Austin will go to the Philippines for talks, and the biggest problem in the Philippines at present is still the South China Sea issue, which shows that it is inevitable that the South China Sea issue will be used as a fuss at that time, which is not uncommon for United States to have always done.
However, the United States and the Philippines are at most a face-saving project, in this case, the US military will not give much support to the Philippines, let alone strong assistance, and China and the Philippines have recently reached a temporary agreement on the issue of Ren'ai Jiao, although the Philippines will not give up, but there is nothing to be done.
After that, Blinken will go to Singapore and said that he will meet with Singapore's Prime Minister and Senior Minister Li Xian, Foreign Minister Vivian and others, mainly to look forward to the future development of bilateral cooperation between the United States and New Zealand, and win over Singapore.
After the trip to Singapore, Blinken's trip to Southeast Asia will also end, and Blinken will go to Mongolia through China, after all, Mongolia only borders China and Russia, and the United States and Russia have tense relations, and China is a more suitable choice.
And Blinken's intention to go to Mongolia is still the same old-fashioned, that is, to continue to set a diplomatic line close to the "third neighbor".
Blinken can be said to have circled all of China's periphery, but he did not come to China, and his intention is also very obvious, for allies who have already cooperated with United States, to talk to the two sides, to show friendly relations, and for more neutral countries, he is to show a friendly attitude, hoping that these countries will be willing to become United States allies.
Blinken's intentions
From the perspective of Blinken's arrangement, the ten-day action can be said to be very intensive, but the arrangement that can have an effect can basically be said to be no, after all, the dust has not yet settled in the United States election, and it is useless to say anything now.
It can be said that Blinken's visit at this time, even if these United States allies are interested, will not be easily shown, but with Blinken Zhou Xuan.
But from Blinken's personal point of view, there is still something to gain, if his term ends, according to what he said before about China, basically the same fate as former United States Secretary of State Pompeo, will not escape the end of sanctions.
Blinken actively asked to meet with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, most likely for his own future, hoping to find a new way out for himself.
This coincides with the idea of the United States sending him to visit, but because the United States and its allies have always been "United States first" and "drawing a big pie", in this case, United States' allies will naturally not easily believe that the current president has made a commitment, but take a wait-and-see attitude and wait for the new president to take office before making a decision.
Resources:
Blinken: Plans to meet with Wang Yi in Laos next week-Lianhe Zaobao.com2024-07-20 09:30
Blinken's visit to six Asian countries to win over allies, Chinese experts interpret - Huanqiu.com2024-07-24 06:41
Chinese Foreign Ministry 2024-07-19 23:16 Wang Yi talks with Canada Foreign Minister Joly
Huanqiu.com 2024-07-22"Senior US officials frequently talk about the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait! Expert: The United States creates division and confrontation while not wanting to risk a direct conflict with China.
Observer.com 2024-07-20 "The Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff hyped up the Taiwan Strait issue and clamored that he was "confident to defeat China"
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