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Text丨Clouds are not clouds
Edit丨Clouds are not clouds
Recently, a bombshell news in United States politics shocked the world - United States President Joe Biden announced that he would withdraw from the 2024 presidential race and instead focus on completing the rest of his term, and publicly expressed his support for Vice President Harris as the Democratic presidential candidate.
This decision not only marks a major turning point in the United States political ecology, but also triggers a ripple effect on a global scale, especially for countries and regions that have long relied on United States support.
Biden's withdrawal: a new chapter in United States politics
Biden's decision to withdraw from the race did not come out of nowhere.
Poor performance in many televised debates, combined with intense pressure within the Democratic Party, led the aging president to make this difficult choice.
In a statement on social media, Biden emphasized his sense of responsibility to the country and the Democratic Party, arguing that it is in the best interest of the country to focus on work for the remainder of his term.
This decision not only kicked off a new round of power struggles within the Democratic Party, but also brought uncertainty to the political landscape of United States and the world.
Policy Adjustments: The Shadow of the Trump Era
Biden's withdrawal from the race has made Trump once again the favorite for the Republican presidential nomination.
Once Trump takes office, United States' foreign policy will inevitably usher in a major adjustment.
Trump's "United States First" policy, his lukewarm attitude toward allies, and his contempt for international multilateral institutions may once again become the leitmotif of United States diplomacy.
Such a policy shift will undoubtedly pose a huge challenge to countries and regions that have long relied on United States support.
The situation in Ukraine: a crossroads of conflict and reconciliation
Ukraine is the most sensitive link in this chain reaction.
Zelenskyy's government has postponed elections due to wartime conditions, but if Trump comes to power and promises to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, then the political situation in Ukraine will face great turmoil.
Zelensky may face the risk of stepping down and liquidation, and the conflict between Ukraine and Russia may also take a new turn or plunge into a deeper crisis.
For Ukraine, how to find a balance between the United States and Russia will be a major issue that it must face in the future.
Japan Political Bureau: Fumio Kishida
Biden's withdrawal from the election has also had a profound impact on Japan's political situation.
The presidential election of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan is about to be held, while Kishida's approval ratings continue to be sluggish.
Some Kishida lawmakers have even begun urging him to withdraw from the election to save his reputation.
Biden's withdrawal from the election has undoubtedly added more variables to Fumio Kishida's path to re-election.
Faced with pressure from inside and outside the party, Fumio Kishida has a difficult choice to make: Should he insist on re-election or choose to back down in line with popular opinion?
This decision will not only affect his personal political future, but will also affect the future political direction of Japan.
Philippine Politics: The Cost of Pro-American Policy
The Philippines is also feeling the brunt of Biden's withdrawal.
The Marcos administration has sparked discontent with the population due to its poor domestic affairs and failure to deliver on its campaign promises.
Its pro-American policy has faced a severe test after Biden withdrew from the election.
If Trump comes to power and changes his support for the Philippines, the Marcos administration will face an even more difficult political environment.
The cost of pro-American policies is particularly heavy at this time, and the Philippine government needs to re-examine its foreign policy and find a more independent and diversified diplomatic path.
Situation in Taiwan: Pro-US risks highlighted
Taiwan has not been spared from this political storm.
Lai's government is faced with multiple difficulties, including a split within the DPP, rigid relations with opposition forces, tense cross-strait relations, and a heavy cost of pro-US policies.
Biden's withdrawal from the election has made the political ecology of Taiwan more complex and changeable.
Lai's government needs to seriously reflect on the gains and losses of its pro-US policy and seek a more pragmatic and prudent foreign policy path.
After all, over-reliance on United States does not bring real security and stability to the Taiwan region.
Pro-American Risks: Reflection and Vigilance
The global ripple effects triggered by Biden's withdrawal from the election have once again highlighted the risks of being excessively pro-American.
Countries and regions that have long relied on United States support are often shaken to varying degrees after changes in United States politics.
This shock is not only political, but also likely to affect many other fields such as economy, society and culture.
Therefore, it is particularly important for these countries and regions to reflect on their foreign policies and seek more independent and diversified paths for international cooperation.
Summary: Where is the road?
In the face of the global ripple effects brought about by Biden's withdrawal from the election and the pro-US risks highlighted, we can't help but ask: what is the future path for these countries and regions?
Will we continue to blindly follow in the footsteps of United States, or will we seek a more autonomous and independent development path?
For every country and region, this is a question worth pondering.
After all, only by finding a development path that suits us can we be invincible in a complex and ever-changing international environment.
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