#头条首发大赛#
Contest & Time:
Euro 2024, final
2024.07.15 03:00, Spain vs England
Score prediction: Spain ??? England (TBC)
As is customary, look at the odds first - Spain are the clear favourites, while England have become the underdogs
According to the predictions of football media "SCORE 90" and sports data provider Opta and other foreign media, Spain is currently the favorite team in this European Championship final, because their probability of winning the championship has reached about 60%, while the average probability of England winning the championship is only about 40%, and the average difference between the two sides is 17.19%.
Then, if you only rely on this prediction data, the selection of Spain as the final winner in the final will be expected to become a high probability winner.
However, in the history of the past three European Championships, there seems to be a pattern that pushes England to win the championship, and the theme of this "law" is Germany!
The runners-up of the three European Championships since 2012, all of which have eliminated Germany in the final?
In the semi-finals of Euro 2012, Balotelli's god of heaven blocked Germany's hope of qualifying for consecutive European Championship finals and revenge on Spain.
However, what people did not expect was that Balotelli, who was like a god in the semi-finals, actually began to think about life in the final, and the final score was indeed unexpected - Spain defeated Italy 4-0 to win the championship;
In the semi-finals of Euro 2016, Germany came with the aura of the 2014 World Cup and the confidence that they eliminated Italy in the quarter-finals, but after all, they consumed too much in the game against Italy and finally failed to beat France to advance to the final.
Of course, it is also surprising that the France team, as the host, failed to win the cup at home, and was blocked by Portugal, which lacked Ronaldo, in extra time;
In the Euro 2020 1/8 final, Germany met old friend England. After Muller missed a great opportunity, England finally retained their lead and advanced to the knockout stage with a score of 2-0.
And in the final, in fact, the result must be remembered by all fans, England, who scored first, failed to maintain the advantage, and finally fell to the penalty shootout!
In the quarterfinals of Euro 2024, Spain eliminated Germany in extra time and advanced to the final after winning over France.
So, the question is, can Spain break the curse of "defeat Germany in the knockout round and lose the title"?!
I'm looking forward to it - Kane, the first title of his career
With 642 games in his career and 5 finals without a title, and losing the Germany Super Cup and the Bundesliga at Bayern in a year, it is impossible to lose 3 titles in Germany in less than 365 days, right?!
How would you describe Kane's first season at Bayern? It is estimated that I can only use the word depression!
In the Germany Super Cup debut, Bayern lost 3-0 to Leipzig, and in the match, substitute Kane failed to save the team, and the man who could defeat the Bundesliga squad was the Spain hero who eliminated Germany in the European Championship - Olmo;
The next league must be known to everyone. Bayern, who have been on the salad plate for 11 consecutive years, have undoubtedly experienced their worst performance in the 2024 season. And the end result is that Bayern watched the championship be lifted by Bayer Leverkusen.
Of course, if Bayern and Kane are not happy, they are actually reflected in the Champions League. They were killed by Real Madrid, and they also missed the opportunity to reunite with Dort at Wembley!
From the 2015 English League Cup final, to the 2019 Champions League final, to the 2021 League Cup final, and then to the Euro 2021 final and the 2023 German Super Cup final. Kane's team failed to win the final of the tournament;
From the age of 22 to 30, Kane has grown from a fringe player at the time to a top center forward in football today, but what has not changed is still the empty room of honor.
Therefore, Kane, who has led the team to the semi-finals three times in the four international competitions from 2018 to the present, has undoubtedly accumulated too many lessons in this past moment that can be used on the stage of the final of the 2024 European Championship.
So, Kane, who is about to turn 31 on July 28, will be able to receive one of the best and most valuable birthday gifts of his life in Germany?
European Cup final - Kane, please lead the football home, take LinkedIn Gran to win the European Cup for the first time, and please rely on this achievement to become the first post-90s player to win the Ballon d'Or!