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The first U.S. presidential election in 2024 has come to an end, and it is not so much an election as a "scolding war" between the two aunts, at which Trump not only mocked Biden's "soft" body, but also his policy towards China was too "weak". Once it returns to power, it will strike harder at China than it did four years ago.
After a few remarks, Trump's rambling speech turned out to be even more popular with the people, and it is expected to squeeze Biden back into the White House. So who is more likely to be elected president, Biden or Trump? If Trump takes office, what tests will the U.S.-China relationship face?
The U.S. presidential election turned into a farce
The quadrennial U.S. election has begun. Before the start of the election, the Biden faction was full of confidence, because their probability of public opinion was higher than that of Trump, and Biden also pulled more than $25 million in campaign funds, and the situation on Trump's side was not optimistic under all kinds of blows.
On June 27, the first debate of the U.S. presidential election officially began, and the most eye-catching of them were, of course, Trump and Biden, the first time the two have shared the stage after four years. The American masses also paid close attention to this debate, but this 90-minute debate suddenly changed from the beginning of the US economy and policy to two old men in their 70s scolding each other.
Biden and Trump came up to focus on who was more suitable to be president and who played the "golf" better, and then the two sides "tacitly" made unreserved personal attacks and moral condemnations of each other. Trump ridiculed Biden as the worst president in U.S. history, and Biden cursed Trump as the worst previous president.
From the initial scolding battle, the two sides gradually escalated to personal attacks, and greeted each other's families "cordially". As the two sides said more and more outrageous rhetoric, Chinese netizens fell into deep thought, knowing that it was the "US election", and those who didn't know thought it was in the vegetable market. The more the two talked, the more excited they became, and Trump even wanted to do it. Fortunately, the guards stopped the act in time.
Trump indicts Biden
After the two sides calmed down, they officially began their speeches. According to Trump, under the leadership of Biden, the American people are miserable, and the American economy has not been improved, Trump has belittled Biden to nothing, and he believes that under Biden's leadership, the United States is regressing! For example, the concessions on bilateral trade between China and the United States, many Chinese products have crowded the American market, causing many Americans to lose their jobs.
Biden's laissez-faire policy is cultivating a new enemy for himself. In addition to this, there is also the unsparing support for Ukraine, which Trump considers to be charity! Wasting taxpayers' money! The United States should not engage in such a loss-making transaction, which is not in line with the consistent policy of the United States.
Finally, he also questioned Biden's health, because he had to be supported by his wife when he appeared, and said that a person who was not in good health was not suitable to be president. Biden was dumbfounded by Trump's almost rambling speech, and he could only save face and save his heart by repeating meaningless words. I have to say that the outcome of this debate was something that no one expected.
Because Biden was well prepared before the debate began, Trump repeatedly fell to the back of the wind. Unexpectedly, in Congress, he issued a speech on the economy, abortion rights, immigration, health care and other livelihood issues, although the 78-year-old Trump maintained the usual boastful speech style, but he keenly pointed out the many predicaments of the United States today. Biden, 81, on the other hand, has rarely been able to give a clear and complete statement.
Trump won the first battle
Before the debate began, Biden's approval rating was 47 percent, while Trump's was 49 percent. After the debate, Biden dropped to 33 percent, while Trump went up to 67 percent. It can be seen that Trump won the first battle by a big loss. According to American practice, Biden has only half a year to turn the situation around. But Trump is very popular right now, and it's really hard for him to do that.
Because Biden's assistance to various countries over the years has continued to provoke wars in other countries, and the domestic anti-war sentiment has become more and more serious, Biden's approval rating alone is very worrying. What's more, of all the candidates now, only Trump has the highest voice. If Trump is re-elected president of the United States, how will the relationship between China and the United States change? Is Trump really going to hit China as hard as he says?
If Trump takes office, the trend of Sino-US relations
Before the debate, Trump said something very interesting: "If the White House is led by a sane politician, China and Russia will not be enemies of the United States." America's worst enemy is not on the outside, but on the inside. This sentence actually shows that the biggest enemy for Trump is Biden, as well as the most high-profile Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Under Biden, Russia has suffered the most sanctions in the world, and thanks to China's covert help, they have been able to weather the storm. The consistent method of the United States is to refuse the emergence of any great power, and Biden's idea is to drag Russia down first and then target China. But Trump has a different view.
Trump originally felt that Biden's behavior was a waste of American resources, and if he was elected president of the United States, the first thing he would do would be to stop all aid to Ukraine, which could also be regarded as a gesture of goodwill to Russia, and then draw Russia together against China, and then Russia could weaken its national strength when dealing with China, and then win it in one fell swoop.
These words are indeed like coming out of Trump's mouth, everything is taken for granted, and the relationship between countries and good and bad is as simple as 1+1 in his mouth.
Let's not talk about whether Russia can be grateful to the United States after the end of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, so many people have died on the battlefield and invested so many resources over the years.
If the United States had not been in the way, Russia would have taken Kyiv in one fell swoop, and it would still be grateful to the United States?! Secondly, in terms of the relationship between China and the Soviet Union in the history of being like brothers, no matter how bad the relationship between the two countries is, can it be worse than the period when China and the Soviet Union were hostile? It can only be said that Trump has not changed his habit of "daydreaming" after 4 years.
Article information sources:
Red Star News 2024-06-28 "The First Debate Between the Former President and the Current President of the United States Concludes, Trump's "Micro Expressions" Continue, and Biden Has a Serious Face for a Long Time"
Reference News 2024-06-28 "Trump Biden Debate Over! "China mentioned many times"
Huanqiu.com 2024-06-28 "US media poll: After watching Biden Trump's first TV debate, most voters think Trump is doing better"
Shangguan News 2024-06-29 "The debate is comparable to the scene of a car accident! Obama strongly supports, Biden says he will not quit"
Time Weekly 2024-06-28 "Behind the First Debate of the U.S. Election: 78-year-old Trump vs 81-year-old Biden Who has a better "report card"? 》