The knockout rounds of the European Championship continue, with the Desi clash playing out tonight.
After reading a lot of analysis articles, more than 80% of industry experts may predict that this is a close game.
But the author disagrees.
The two sides have played each other a lot in history, taking the last 6 times, 3 were draws, and the score was 1-1, one was the World Cup group stage, one was the UEFA Nations League, and one was a warm-up match. Overall, the Matadors have a strong track record.
Many analysts believe that from the perspective of the strength and state of both sides, no one can eat the other, Germany won 2 wins and 1 draw in the group stage, and qualified for the first place; Spain won all 3 games and also qualified first in the group. In the knockout stage, Germany defeated Denmark 2-0 to advance, and Spain defeated Georgia 4-1 to advance, and they were both in very good shape.
However, it would be too narrow to think that this game was a draw and extra time was needed.
I won't analyze the team's lineup and style of play too much here, I will only talk about 2 factors, and everyone will understand.
The first factor is the quality of the opponents in the previous four games, with hosts Germany facing a clearly stronger opponent than Spain. Scotland, Hungary, Switzerland and Denmark are far stronger than Spain's opponents--- Croatia, Italy, Albania and Georgia.
Croatia is young, the older generation is too old, and the younger generation can't take the lead, so it is reasonable to be beaten 3-0; Italy has declined, the coach has a lineup at a time, no one is available, how can a goalkeeper keep it? Albania, this one is even worse, so Spain only went on the bench and won; Georgia seems to be a dark horse, and Spain is not at all on the same level.
Scotland's strength is average, and there is no surprise in Germany's big victory; But Hungary is actually good, playing Switzerland and narrowly equalizing; Switzerland is even more difficult to play, not only is it fast, but the midfield lineup is quite luxurious, and Germany almost overturned; Denmark, but the top 20 teams in the world, England can't do anything about him.
After combing through it like this, you will find that in fact, the first few games of Spain were games without suspense, and it was too easy compared to several opponents in Germany.
The second factor is the home factor. Fans who have watched the live broadcast think of the attitude of the referees towards Germany in this European Cup? The host's home advantage cannot be underestimated, not only is the domestic fans stronger in every game, but the referee team is also specially taken care of.
The first opening game gave Scotland a red card, which was already weak, and there was one less person, so how could it be played; In the second game against Hungary, the opposing coach angrily criticized the referee for being biased after the game; There was no news of a referee in the third game against Switzerland. When it came to the knockout round against Denmark, everyone should know this very well, blowing Denmark's goal, and then awarding Germany's penalty, just within a few minutes. Think about the secret behind it.
If it is excusable to say that there are two occasional cares in one game, but there are three incidents about referees in four games, whether such a European Cup is really absolutely fair, everyone should ask themselves.
These four matches in Germany reminded me of the news of the referee against the host Qatar in the Asian Cup.
Football is not pure football, and there are many off-field factors that can affect the final result.
To sum up, this game favors the hosts to advance and beat the Matadors in regular time.