There is a saying in the stock market that "the long term is gold, the short term is silver, and the swing band is diamond".
This sentence is to tell investors that it is better to be able to do long-term than short-term, but to be able to do swing bands, it is more profitable than long-term and short-term. Is it better to be short-term, long-term, or swing? Everyone's cognition is different, and there are differences in understanding, but in A-shares, there are very few people who can do a good job in the short-term, and there are many people who can do a good job in the long-term and swing bands.
It's like the three major stock indexes at the moment, the short-term risk is too high, maybe you buy in the front, and you will lose money in the back. Because of the downward trend, every rally is for the sake of falling.
But if you are in this position, you plan to do long-term, you won't care about the short-term, hold it for half a year, hold it for one year, two years, won't A-shares rise? Even if it doesn't go up, there will always be several waves of the band.
There is a detail in the trend in July, which seems to be the rise of blue chip weight and the fall of the theme track. This kind of trend, the first half of the year has been rotated several times, in the second half of the year, if the market is still up, down the market, to the three major stock indexes, to be able to reproduce the general rise in February, it is a little difficult.
All kinds of signs indicate that the "big change" in the stock market is coming?
Speaking of 1 news, the trend in recent days, some plates have reached new highs, and some sectors have reached new lows. The banking sector has reached a new high in July, but the pharmaceutical sector has reached a new low. What is the situation of this trend, one in the sky and the other on the ground? This year, many people talk about a structural bull market.
If it is a structural bull market, will the banking sector begin to fall sharply, and the pharmaceutical sector, which has been falling for a long time, will begin to rise sharply? Peony thinks that the structural bull market is the plate that is already rising, and it will only rise more and more, and the falling plate will fall more and more bearish. If the high-level sectors fall and the low-level sectors rise, it will not be this year, only the Shanghai Index has risen, and many individual stocks are falling non-stop.
Peony predicts that the trend of A-shares has become clear, and the follow-up market, if the banking sector does not fall, this kind of place will be a structural bull market. The high-level plates dare not chase, the low-level plates, the new low and new low market, even in July, there will be no change.
Think about it, the A-share market has not changed, only a few sectors have risen, and a large wave of plates has fallen, why is the "big change" in the stock market coming? Change, up or down? Peony thinks that the Shanghai Composite Index will change and rise, and 2,900 points, whether there is a sharp fall or not, the bottom is almost here. Peony said 2 reasons.
First, the current A-shares are not popular, there is no incremental funds, and big finance is rising, and next, the Shanghai Composite Index will break through 3,000 points, and then break through 3,100 points in one breath, and each 100-point integer will begin to rise slowly. You know, now that the European and American stock markets are rising, and A-shares are not big negative, at least the Shanghai Composite Index should perform better.
Second, at the moment disclosed in the semi-annual report, the main force will not miss the moment to pick up high-quality chips. Northbound funds will also report semi-annually to investors companies with good performance, which will make the market of A-shares still rise structurally, and if the GEM does not rise, the Shanghai Index will rise.
Therefore, there are all kinds of signs that in July, the Shanghai Composite Index will rise, but it will still be a structural bull market. At present, there is no way to change this law, the market of A-shares, the opportunity is still in the blue chip weight, and the divergence of the theme track is estimated to be a while.
The content does not constitute investment advice, peony investment ideas for reference, thank you for lighting up your little thumb!