A shares are still the same A shares,
As long as the fundamentals are not strong and foreign capital is not strong, it almost depends on small essays to continue its life......
Originally, according to the state of Big A in the morning, it was no surprise that it was going to dive across the board today.
I didn't expect all kinds of small compositions to go out collectively in the afternoon,
First of all, it was rumored that interest rates would be cut next week, and the real estate dying sat up in shock, rising 1.79% in a single day.
Then it was rumored that the brokerage was going to merge, and a leading brokerage once rose to the limit, and the brokerage sector rose 2.36%.
Then it was rumored that Moutai was going to raise the guide price, and Moutai went all the way from -2% to +0.3% in the afternoon, and finally closed flat.
……
The whole market has entered a state of madness of extreme game,
Maybe it's because the short-term real estate market is very explosive after the last wave of policy stimulus.
As soon as the small composition came out, the real estate rose, and a friend asked the questioner:
The policy seems to be coming again! Can you give it a fight?!
On the issue of real estate, Taoists have said many times,
Taoists also know that if you really want to fight, you can't stop it.
But before you fight, be sure to ask yourself a few questions:
(1) Can the so-called policies and small essays, even if they are really introduced, reverse the downward cycle of the industry?
(2) As the lowest level of retail investors, can you play with the "harvesters" such as institutions and floating capital?
(3) If you lose a big loss in the game, will it affect your normal life, and can you bear it?
The above questions are not only applicable to real estate.
Any sector that is in a downward cycle and has a strong gaming atmosphere is applicable.
Especially in the stage of crazy game with no incremental funds and stocks, you must ask yourself these three questions!
01
The tide of interest rate cuts is getting closer!
After the CPI in May fell short of expectations in the United States two days ago, the PPI fell short of expectations last night.
PPI rose 2.2% year-on-year in May, below expectations of 2.5%; Month-on-month, it fell by 0.2% and was expected to rise by 0.1%. Excluding food and energy, core PPI rose 2.3% year-on-year in May, below expectations of 2.4%; Core PPI was zero month-on-month and was also below expectations of 0.3%.
CPI stands for consumption and PPI stands for production.
Both of them have fallen, indicating that the economic heat of Laos and the United States is gradually declining, and the inflationary pressure is getting smaller and smaller.
In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States reached 242,000 in the week of June 8, significantly higher than the expected 225,000 and a record high since August last year.
This also further confirms that inflationary pressures in the United States are indeed falling.
All signs indicate that the United States is getting closer and closer to cutting interest rates.
Once the United States starts the interest rate cut cycle,
It will be good for all assets denominated in US dollars, such as gold, US bonds, Hong Kong stocks, oil, etc.
(PS: The interest rate of the Hong Kong dollar is directly linked to the US dollar, and the proportion of foreign capital in Hong Kong stocks is also relatively high)
As soon as the data came out last night, the U.S. Treasury ETF soared 0.7% in a single day, and the spot gold soared 1% in a single day.
Hong Kong stocks may have been dragged down by A-shares today, and did not rise with them.
Regarding the investment opportunities in gold, U.S. bonds, and Hong Kong stocks, Daoist has been reminded countless times.
The Golden Daoist began to remind from November last year, and sent gold stocks.
Even though there has been a lot of correction recently, the cumulative yield is still as high as 23%.
U.S. bond Taoists have been reminding since the end of March this year, and they began to take the lead in buying on April 16.
Since the first launch on April 16, U.S. bonds have risen by nearly 4 points, catching up with the one-year increase of many bond bases.
Hong Kong stocks have been reminded since the end of last year, especially on the eve of the sharp rise in April this year.
02
Stand on the cusp of big logic and big cycle, and wait for the wind to rise.
Recently, A-shares have entered garbage time again
All kinds of small essays continue, and the funds in the field are crazy games,
Every day, a random track is selected to skyrocket, and then the other sectors are down.
The most common problems in the background of the Taoist people every day are:
**The news/policy is out again, can I buy/sell?
**It's up again/down, do you want to hold/buy?
To be honest, seeing these problems, the Taoist was quite speechless,
Ordinary Xiaosan thinks about all kinds of poor information and poor expectations every day, and delusionally wants to make money by gambling, which is whimsical.
All kinds of top institutions, investment bigwigs, super tour capital, will the information they can get lag behind you?
As for playing emotional games, no matter how powerful you are, you can play hundreds of millions or even billions of super money in your hands?
Even if they are buried, they can pull up the stock price and run again.
And even if it is a tour capital, it is common to lose money and cut it in half.
Whether it is compared to the amount of capital, or worse than the information, or compared to the investment discipline, ordinary retail investors are lambs waiting to be slaughtered.
The biggest advantage of ordinary retail investors is time.
How can we make the most of our strengths?
In a word:
Identify the medium and long-term logic and cycle, insist on buying high-quality assets at a low level, and then wait for the cycle to return and the logic to be cashed in.
For example, buy Hong Kong stocks and U.S. bonds before the start of the interest rate cut cycle in the United States......
Of course, the cyclical regression and logic will not be smooth sailing.
There may be various accidents in the middle, resulting in the postponement of logical fulfillment and increased market volatility.
Therefore, it is very important to do adequate risk control.
Finally, share a question from a reader friend:
Roughly speaking:
If you want to diversify your allocation, hedge risks, and invest in overseas markets,
However, in the past two years, major overseas stock markets such as Europe, the United States, Japan, South Korea, and India have all risen, and they have all hit new highs this year, and I feel that the valuation is a bit high.
And those markets are not at a high level, and the fundamentals and big cycle are good, and there is a chance to "pick up the leak"?
The Taoist pulled around the wind and really found one - Saudi Arabia.
The corresponding index is the FTSE Saudi Arabia Index.
The index covers more than 50 large and medium-sized Saudi listed companies in Saudi Arabia, including Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil company.
In the past year or so, this index is one of the few in the world except for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, and the valuation is still not high.
And the Taoist also said earlier that the United States cut interest rates, which is good for oil.
In the future, once the United States starts to cut interest rates, what will it mean for Saudi Arabia, the "oil economy"?
The answer is self-explanatory.
In terms of the index specifically, you can consider the Huatai Pineapple CSOP Saudi Arabia ETF (QDII), which is one of the few ETFs in the market that can invest in Saudi Arabia, which was just approved today.
The product adopts the form of Shanghai-Hong Kong cross-listing, and closely tracks the FTSE Saudi Arabia Index by investing in CSOP Saudi Arabia ETF.
Here I have to mention Huatai Barry, this fund company has a lot of experience in investing in QDII, not only half and half of China and South Korea, Hengke, Southeast Asia such as each other, but also Nasdaq, Hong Kong stock dividends such direct investment, I believe that this Saudi Arabian Huatai Barry should also be good.