Since Chen Shui-bian was elected leader of the Taiwan region in 2000, that is, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was in power in Taiwan for the first time, it meant that the simple trend of "anti-communism, not anti-China" during the Chiang family's administration was gone forever and was replaced by the rising concept of "Taiwan independence." This culture of Taiwan independence, which has gradually taken root and runs counter to the original intentions of the compatriots on both sides of the strait, is precisely the main culprit that has caused Taiwan's delay in being reunified by China.
Not only that, since 1996, when the United States was intervened at the best time to recover Taiwan, the situation of "using Taiwan to contain China" by third-party forces has intensified, causing the situation in the Taiwan Strait to become more and more tense.
Today, looking at the mainland's denial strategy and comprehensive strength, it seems that it is easy to recover Taiwan, but why has the mainland been slow to take action? What the hell are you waiting for? Perhaps it is waiting for the three major problems to be effectively solved!
Economic development is still in transition
Looking at the mainland's unrivaled coastal combat strength and its anti-access strategy, which is a headache for the United States, even if it is decided to reunify Taiwan by force at this time, it will be very difficult for a third-party force to dare to interfere in its internal affairs, but the mainland has been slow to make up its mind mainly because of three considerations: The mainland's economic development is still in a period of transition from a traditional manufacturing industry to a high-tech industry, there is still a gap between it and the United States in terms of military strength, and there is a huge force for Taiwan independence.
Although the mainland has become the world's second largest economy since 2010, it is still lagging behind the United States, which has long dominated the world and has developed economies, especially in the field of high and new technology.
Since the Trump administration took office, it has launched a trade war and a technology war against China because of its fear of China's economic strength, intending to suppress the mainland's development momentum through economic sanctions.
In fact, in recent years, the mainland has developed rapidly in the field of scientific research with its strong talent market, which once made the United States feel an unprecedented threat, so it first launched a trade war against China in March 2018, using the excuse that "China infringes intellectual property rights in trade and is unfavorable to American companies" and directly imposed tariffs on Chinese trade products.
This was followed by a scientific and technological war against China, and it is important to know that the mainland has always been in a weak position in the field of high and new technology, and many important parts need to be imported from other countries. In 2019, the United States ordered that high-end chip products should not be exported to China, and also instructed the Netherlands to ban the sale of EUV series lithography machines to China.
Indeed, the repeated economic warfare waged by the United States has really caused the mainland to suffer, and although the mainland has also fought back with trade, it has still been hit hard. Due to the serious obstruction of the export road, the mainland's manufacturing and automobile industries were once sluggish, and at the same time, foreign investment in China fell by more than 30%, which seriously affected the mainland's GDP.
The most important thing is that the U.S. science and technology war stifles China's development from the source, resulting in the stagnation of the mainland's high-end mobile phone industry, and this sanction on chips has made the mainland struggle for four years before it independently developed a 7-nanometer chip, no, the United States is anxious again, and in 2023, it will once again instruct the Netherlands to increase its efforts to block China's pace towards the high-end technology field: ban the sale of 1980Di series DUV lithography products to China.
As we all know, although the mainland has advanced in terms of comprehensive national strength in recent years, its main economy still relies on low- and medium-end labor industries, such as exporting clothing, commodities, electronic products, etc., and many of these manufacturing raw materials need to be imported from abroad. In contrast, the mainland's high-tech sector is still in the window of shortage.
In addition, the mainland's strategic reserves, such as grain, need to be imported from outside the economy to meet supply and demand, and even heavy industrial raw materials such as oil, natural gas, and iron ore have to rely on the Strait of Malacca and other important ports for transportation.
Therefore, if the United States continues to intensify its efforts to wage a trade war and a science and technology war against the mainland, the mainland's economic development will inevitably be affected as a result; in this way, China's future economic transformation still has a long way to go, and only by making a steady transition as soon as possible, breaking through the bottleneck of development in the high-tech field, and completely getting rid of its dependence on imported high-end products, can the mainland not be afraid of the economic war launched by the United States and its allies and complete the great cause of reunification with peace of mind!
Military operations are subject to interference by third forces
Compared with the dilemma of being pinned down by US aircraft carriers when it recovered Taiwan in 1996, the mainland has made a qualitative leap in military strength in recent years, and it already has an anti-access strategy against third-party forces that interfere with the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
As a matter of fact, as the main force interfering in the situation in the Taiwan Strait, the United States' intentions against Taiwan are a book of history, and the United States revealed its wolf ambitions as early as Chiang Kai-shek's escape to Taiwan, intending to occupy Taiwan as soon as possible while the Kuomintang forces had not yet gained a firm foothold in Taiwan.
In 1996, it was precisely because of the "Taiwan independence" tendencies undoubtedly exposed by Lee Teng-hui of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) that the crisis in the Taiwan Strait was triggered, and the United States sent troops to intervene in the Taiwan Strait issue and trample on the red line of China's internal affairs. Since 2008, China, which has risen rapidly in the midst of Taoguang Yangyang, has become a thorn in the side of the United States, and in order to suppress China's development, Taiwan has naturally become a pawn of the United States to contain China, and the strategic deployment made by the United States in response to the situation in the Taiwan Strait can be described as very close.
In recent years, the United States has increasingly strengthened its deployment in the Asia-Pacific region and the Indo-Pacific region, first of all, Japan, a pawn pinned down by it, has shown its strength, not only taking the initiative to make friends with important allies of the United States, Britain, France, Germany, Canada, etc., but also building military cooperation. In order to strengthen the strength of the military bases deployed in Japan, the weapons and equipment have been upgraded to the F-35, the strongest fighter in the American fighter series, which can be said to be able to compete head-to-head with the J-20, which the mainland is proud of.
The United States has deployed 60 percent of its naval strength in the Asia-Pacific region in order to deter China.
Second, Marcos Jr. has pursued a completely pro-US strategy since taking office, cooperating with the US strategy of containing China, constantly provoking incidents in the South China Sea and intensifying tensions in the South China Sea. Last month, the United States deployed an intermediate-range ballistic missile system aimed at China in the Philippines and opened nine military bases to the United States, fearing that the South China Sea region would be too stable.
This medium-range system is enough to cover the southeast and south of China, whether it is the South China Sea or the Taiwan Strait.
Following the deployment of THAAD missiles in South Korea, the United States has deployed intermediate-range ballistic missile systems in the Philippines to deter China. In addition, the United States has also deployed 6% of its naval forces in the Western Pacific, also to contain China.
Looking at the fact that the United States has established the first and second island chains of maritime strategic defense in order to suppress China and consolidate its hegemony, it can be said that it is becoming more and more impregnable; even if the mainland is now invincible in coastal operations, once it decides to reunify Taiwan by force, we may not be able to withstand the strong and rapid intervention of the United States and other third-party forces.
In addition to the increasingly powerful external forces, Taiwan's military equipment is also different from the past, since the United States sanctioned China in 2018, its strategic relationship with Taiwan has become more and more clear, arms sales to Taiwan, in the past sold are traditional weapons, in recent years the sale of extremely advanced fighters, missiles, main battle tanks and other heavy wartime equipment, once the situation is in crisis, the island's military strength needs to be measured.
Therefore, under the face of internal and external troubles, it is difficult for the mainland to guarantee a complete retreat with its current military strength, and only by strengthening the anti-access system as soon as possible and making up for the shortcomings of operations in the open sea can we defy a strong enemy and recover Taiwan!
The Taiwan independence forces are deeply rooted
The main reason why the United States suddenly decided to meddle in the mainland's Taiwan Strait affairs in 1996, despite the weakness of the mainland's naval and air combat system at that time, was the gradual rise of Taiwan independence forces. Since then, the deep-rooted Taiwan independence forces have become a stumbling block to resolving the Taiwan Strait issue, and have also caused dislike among the people on both sides of the strait, who are also members of the same family.
Chen Shui-bian came to power in 2000 in a low-key manner, and on the surface he appeared to have made contributions to promoting cross-strait economic and trade exchanges, but in fact he was not much different from Lee Teng-hui's concept of Taiwan independence.
In the eight years she was in power, Tsai Ing-wen pushed the "Taiwan independence" forces to a new height, not only resolutely refusing to recognize "one China," but also sneering at the "consensus of '92" reached between the two sides of the strait in 1992; as the leader of Taiwan, she often openly made remarks that prompted the split between the two sides of the strait, and also colluded with external anti-China forces to meddle in China's internal affairs, colluded with the United States and Japan to purchase a large number of military weapons and equipment, and frequently organized military exercises on the Taiwan island, causing unprecedented tension in the Taiwan Strait. In addition, it maliciously smeared the image of the mainland, causing Taiwan compatriots to misunderstand the mainland again and again.
In January this year, Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was elected as Taiwan's new leader, and he is a real "golden grandson of Taiwan independence," because he visited New York last year, and this wave of operation of leaning on the United States to seek independence is almost an iron hammer; even though he frequently changes his face in order to canvass votes and does not recognize his Taiwan independence identity, the eyes of the masses are clear, and the public opinion against him and all kinds of ridicule banners are enough to explain.
Yes, the frequent rise to power of the leaders of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has made the deep-rooted Taiwan independence forces more and more rampant on the island, and this kind of cultural Taiwan independence has a long history, such as including the inclusion in education to plant a poisonous seed far away from the mainland for the children of Taiwan from an early age, or exaggerating the huge differences between the local culture of the Taiwan region and the 5,000-year-old culture of China, in an attempt to replace Chinese culture with Taiwan culture. This kind of "de-Sinicization" of Taiwan compatriots who have been kept in the dark has undoubtedly caused serious damage to cross-strait exchanges.
Therefore, the fact that the mainland has not yet made up its mind to recover Taiwan is based on mature considerations in the economic, military, and political aspects, and the revolution has not yet succeeded, and comrades still need to work hard. Only when you are truly strong will you not be afraid of strong enemies and be invincible! But the reason why the mainland has been slow to decide to recover Taiwan is not only that, and perhaps seeking the best solution to the third party is another meaning.