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Peking University professor revealed: the future trend of housing prices and the psychology of ordinary people
In the streets and alleys of the city, buying a house is always a hot topic. But in recent years, a phenomenon has attracted widespread attention: although people are eager to own their own homes, they have chosen to wait and see when faced with the off-plan market. What is the reason behind this? A recent remark by a professor at Peking University has revealed a corner of this mystery for us. He bluntly pointed out that house prices may rise significantly in the next few years, but the pressure on house prices to fall in the short term does exist. How will these contradictions and changes affect our home purchase decisions? Let's find out.
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First, the short-term dilemma and long-term potential of housing prices
In the current real estate market, it is not difficult to find that house prices are indeed facing considerable downward pressure in the short term. This is mainly due to oversupply and insufficient demand. However, the professor of Peking University gave a surprising prediction: in the next few years, housing prices may rise significantly. This point of view seems to contradict the current market phenomenon, but the professor gives his explanation.
The professor believes that what we are experiencing now is the largest supply contraction since the establishment of the new Chinese real estate market. Due to a variety of factors, property developers have reduced the supply of new homes in recent years. This contraction of supply will persist for some time to come, but demand growth will not stagnate. Therefore, it will not take long for the contradiction between supply and demand to be reversed, and the pressure on housing prices will increase.
Second, the risks of the off-plan housing market and the concerns of the people
Why are people so cautious in the face of the off-plan market? This is mainly due to the risk and uncertainty of the off-plan market. In the past, some off-plan projects have been delayed, substandard or even unfinished due to various reasons. These events have taken a heavy toll on home buyers and have also created doubts and worries about the off-plan housing market for many people.
The professor pointed out that this concern of ordinary people is not unreasonable. In the off-plan market, due to information asymmetry and the profit-seeking behavior of developers, it is often difficult for buyers to understand the real situation of the project. Therefore, when buying a house, they tend to choose a more secure way, such as buying an existing house or a second-hand house. To a certain extent, this psychology has also exacerbated the predicament of the off-the-plan market.
3. How to deal with the changes in housing prices and the confusion of buying a house
In the face of changes in housing prices and the confusion of buying a house, how should we respond? The professor gave his advice.
We need to recognize that fluctuations in house prices are a normal reflection of the laws of the market. In the short term, house prices can fluctuate due to a variety of factors. But in the long run, the trend of house prices still depends on supply and demand and economic fundamentals. Therefore, when buying a house, we need to keep thinking rationally and not be confused by short-term market fluctuations.
We need to pay attention to the policy direction and regulatory strength of the real estate market. The government's regulation and supervision of the real estate market will directly affect the trend of housing prices and the stability of the market. Therefore, we need to pay close attention to policy changes and market dynamics in order to make timely adjustments.
We need to make a home purchase plan according to our actual situation and needs. Everyone's financial situation and home buying needs are different, so we need to make a home purchase plan according to our actual situation. When buying a house, we need to consider many factors such as house price, location, quality, and supporting facilities in order to choose the most suitable property for us.
4. Conclusion: The future of housing prices and our choices
At the beginning of the article, we ask the question: why do ordinary people appear so cautious in the face of the off-plan market? Through the above analysis and discussion, we can draw a conclusion: this is mainly due to the risk and uncertainty of the off-plan housing market and the people's concern about the change in housing prices.
We should also note that there is still a great deal of uncertainty about the future direction of house prices. Although the Peking University professor predicts that housing prices may rise significantly in the next few years, this does not mean that we can be blindly optimistic. When buying a house, we need to keep rational thinking and make a home purchase plan according to our actual situation and needs. Only in this way can we maintain a steady pace in the fluctuation of house prices and realize our dream of buying a house.
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