Biden's statement hints at military intervention in the Taiwan Strait? At this time, the US think tank suddenly put forward a conjecture that if the Taiwan Strait is to be fought, as many as nine countries may intervene, is it possible?
A few days ago, U.S. President Joe Biden said at the White House that he would reinvigorate the partnership to "defend peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait", indicating that he intends to prevent China from taking Taiwan by force on the eve of 520.
Hitler's invasion of the Sudetenland or for the sake of so-called "national equality", who wouldn't say nice things? The question is what is done like words? Former Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai once asked the United States in person, do you dare to say that you support the peaceful reunification of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait? The result is a collective mute of the US Government, which has always been "eloquent and eloquent," and it is obvious that the United States does not want peace in the Taiwan Strait, it just does not want cross-strait reunification. Forcing China to pursue so-called "peace" at the expense of sovereignty is nothing more than a moral kidnapping and a manifestation of extreme hypocrisy.
So the question is, if China really uses force to take over Taiwan, will the United States really rally its allies to take action? In this regard, the "Quincy Institute," an American think tank, put forward its own views.
The Quincy Institute has expanded its focus to the South China Sea, pointing out that because the United States, Japan, and the Philippines are jointly encircling China in the South China Sea, the DPP authorities may misjudge the situation and try to continue to promote the wishful thinking of "Taiwan independence," which will lead to a conflict in the Taiwan Strait, and nine countries may be involved in a war at that time.
Because when the U.S. military intervenes, Japan and South Korea will be the first to join the U.S. military, followed by Australia, which also has close ties with the United States, India, which has always been jealous of China, the Philippines and Vietnam, two countries that covet China's sovereignty in the South China Sea, will also provoke the situation in the South China Sea, and finally Russia and North Korea, which will be affected.
The United States, India, Russia, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, the Philippines, Vietnam and Australia, 9 countries will intervene in the conflict in the Taiwan Strait? At the moment, this prediction is somewhat taken for granted. Although Japan pays lip service to how much attention it attaches to the Taiwan Strait, it will be exposed by the US media in 2023 that Japan does not cooperate with the United States at all in specific actions, and has been warned by US Secretary of Defense Austin for this.
Both the DPRK and the ROK are already struggling to deal with each other, and neither of them will easily intervene in an external war out of the intention of guarding against the other. Vietnam certainly covets China's sovereignty in the South China Sea, but it shares a direct border with China, and it is easy for China to counter it, and it will not act rashly. Although the Philippines has ambitions, its strength is too weak, even the United States admits that China can easily blockade the Philippines, and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos has always refused to have anything to do with the Taiwan Strait.
In the end, the ones that are really likely to make a move, that is, Australia and India, in contrast, the United Kingdom, which was not mentioned by the US think tank, is the country most likely to follow the United States to intervene in the Taiwan Strait, because Britain has always played the role of the biggest "follower" of the United States.
Therefore, the actual credibility of this US think tank's disclosure is not particularly high. Therefore, Biden's attempt to rally allies to threaten China is also unlikely. In fact, as soon as Biden's threatening words fell, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) came on the scene, dispatching 45 military aircraft and 6 warships to operate around the Taiwan Strait. Obviously, Biden's attempt to threaten China with no way to take over Taiwan will not succeed after all.