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Today, the stock market is smashing again, the situation is not quite right, what will happen next?

author:Spark Capital

It can be said that today's stock market is still a weak market, unlike yesterday's situation, yesterday's index fell, but individual stocks are generally rising, and today, the index and individual stocks are basically in a state of decline, there is no differentiation.

Obviously, today's market is dominated by smashing, especially at the end of the market, the index is still in a kind of accelerated decline in the market, the situation is indeed not ideal, at least, today's stock market bearish atmosphere is still relatively strong, and stocks have fallen a lot.

The data shows that the number of stocks that rose today is only about 1,300, most of the stocks are in a state of decline, and most of the industry sectors are also falling, so it can be said that today's market is an overall adjustment of the market.

Today, the stock market is smashing again, the situation is not quite right, what will happen next?

By the end of the day, it can be seen that the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.82% today to close at 3119 points, while the ChiNext Index fell 0.9% today to close at 1838 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.88% today to close at 9583 points.

The three major indexes of A-share are all falling today, and the phenomenon of intraday smashing is also obvious, in fact, today's decline is normal, the author has said before, this week's market is likely to be adjusted, mainly for two reasons.

On the one hand, the gap below is still there and has not been filled, on the other hand, as the index rises, the momentum indicator cannot keep up, forming a daily divergence.

Today, the stock market is smashing again, the situation is not quite right, what will happen next?

In particular, the phenomenon of shrinking the stock market today is very obvious, and it can be seen that the total turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets today is only 761.1 billion, which is considered a shrinkage, and the turnover in the recent period is in a downward trend.

Today it is even more obvious.

Because, compared with the previous trading day, today's turnover has fallen by 63.5 billion, yesterday's turnover is more than 800 billion, and today there is more than 700 billion.

Therefore, today's situation is not quite right, the turnover is so down, and the decline is so large, indicating that the market is not high, and the overall atmosphere is not strong, which is also an obvious drawback in the stock market today, and it is also an important factor.

Today, the stock market is smashing again, the situation is not quite right, what will happen next?

If the turnover does not go up, the divergence cannot be repaired, and the index will naturally repair in a downward trend, especially the divergence in the daily trend of the Shanghai Composite Index is more serious, so this is one of the reasons why the author will maintain a cautious state in the stock market this week.

So, what's next?

Or that sentence, this wave of the GEM market is obviously rushing to fill the gap below, although today's GEM has fallen a lot, but, unfortunately, today's GEM has not made up for the gap below.

Therefore, the author believes that tomorrow's GEM is likely to be less than ideal, at least to fill the gap below to end the current situation, in fact, there is no need to worry too much about the gap, so, why does the author say so?

Today, the stock market is smashing again, the situation is not quite right, what will happen next?

Because the gap is above the dense bonding point of the moving average, the line below it is very dense, including the semi-annual line, the quarterly line, etc., and the gap is above these lines, then, the GEM index can not fall below the dense point of the line after filling the gap.

Therefore, based on this, as long as the gap is filled, the index stops falling at the glue of the line, then there is an opportunity for the follow-up market, once it falls below this bonding point, then it is the moment of complete deterioration.

Therefore, it is too early to talk about the market getting worse, and the trend reversal, and the next, that is, tomorrow, the trend of the day after tomorrow is the most critical, at least today is not a large decline, indicating that the funds have not left the market on a large scale, therefore, we still need to wait, and wait for the gap to be filled.

Today, the stock market is smashing again, the situation is not quite right, what will happen next?

To be honest, the author is more inclined to one point, that is, the gap will be filled in the next two days, and the GEM will stop falling online bonding point, of course, this is just the author's personal speculation, and the specific situation still depends on tomorrow.

In fact, the market has reached this stage, there are still certain variables, the amount is not a big problem, the amount is not up, then the market variables are even greater.