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The first battle is a decisive battle! Media: The probability of winning the first game of the CBA finals is 78.6%

author:Uncle Wolf commented

On May 15, Beijing time, the CBA finals officially began, and the Liaoning men's basketball team faced the Xinjiang men's basketball team at home. The playoff lineups of both sides are not particularly complete, Liaoning is likely to lack Guo Allen, Xinjiang is Zhu Xuhang and Zhao Rui are likely to be unable to play, Yang Ming and Qiu Biao led the team to meet in the finals for the first time in history, who can get a good start to the finals, it is very worthy of the expectations of the outside world.

The first battle is a decisive battle! Media: The probability of winning the first game of the CBA finals is 78.6%

Before the game, the media person Trisomy with thorns posted: Starting from October 21 last year, after 207 days, it finally came to the day of the finals. Jiang Liao met the finals for the first time, and met at the top for the first time, and do you remember the pictures of the two teams in the past playoffs? The Liaoning men's basketball team and Xinjiang have played each other five times in the playoffs in the past, losing the first four series of Liaoning and not winning until the semifinals of the 19-20 season.

The first battle is a decisive battle! Media: The probability of winning the first game of the CBA finals is 78.6%

The two teams have played each other in a total of 21 playoff games, with Liao Basket trailing 7-14. Now that we're in the finals, the two teams have played two best-of-seven games in the past, Xinjiang won G1 and won the series, and when it comes to the finals, G1 is even more important.

The first battle is a decisive battle! Media: The probability of winning the first game of the CBA finals is 78.6%

In the past 28 finals, the team that won the first game finally won the championship 22 times, with a probability of 78.6%, which shows the importance of G1. Of course, the last exception was not friendly to Liao Basket, that was in the 15-16 season, Sichuan lost the first game, but finally turned over Liao Basket 4-1 to win the championship. G1 Liao Basket sits at home, and all aspects are also dominant, in the first game, who do you like to win?

Specific playoff records

12-13 season 1/4 finals: Liaoning 2-3 Xinjiang

13-14 season 1/4 finals: Liaoning 1-3 Xinjiang

16-17 semifinals: Liaoning 1-4 Xinjiang

18-19 semifinals: Liaoning 1-4 Xinjiang

19-20 semifinals: Liaoning 2-0 Xinjiang

From the statistics, we can see that the first game is basically a decisive battle, who can get the first game The probability of winning the championship is as high as 78.6%, although the Liaoning men's basketball team and Guangdong played to G5 to separate the winners and losers, but their advantages are very obvious, the core players remain stable, Fu Hao, Han Dejun, Zhang Zhenlin, Zhao Jiwei, Fogg, Moreland The core is the champion members of the past few seasons, they can stand up to solve the problem in different time periods, with the blessing of the home team, Yang Ming has no reason to lose.

However, there are uncertain factors about whether Li Xiaoxu will play, and after the tragic Liaoyue War, whether Liaoning's core players can be effectively alleviated in terms of physical fitness, whether Moreland and Han Dejun can continue to create advantages in the face of Xinjiang's interior line, and whether Zhao Jiwei and Fogg can continue to play a strong performance will directly affect the fluency of the offensive end of the Liaoning men's basketball team.

The first battle is a decisive battle! Media: The probability of winning the first game of the CBA finals is 78.6%

The advantage of the Xinjiang men's basketball team is that after a long period of rest, head coach Qiu Biao and Xinjiang's core players have plenty of time to study the opponent, and they also have an advantage in terms of physical fitness.