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How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

author:Sports Forum

The annual CBA finals have finally kicked off. The two giant teams of Liaoning and Xinjiang will stage another peak showdown on this stage. For these two teams, this is undoubtedly the long-awaited "decisive moment".

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

The history of the two sides in the playoffs in the past has undoubtedly added a lot of suspense and drama to this series. Although Liaoning has an advantage in the regular season, it is often difficult to defeat Xinjiang's strong squad in the playoffs. This is certainly a lot of antiquity and adds a touch of uncertainty to the outcome of the opening game.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Judging from the analysis of the media, the result of the first match is crucial to the final probability of winning the championship. Historical data shows that in 28 CBA finals, the team that won the first game ended up winning the championship trophy 22 times, with a 78.6% probability. It can be seen that how to dominate the first game has undoubtedly become a key problem for the two teams to solve.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Judging from the playoff records, the past history of the Liaoning men's basketball team and Xinjiang is not too optimistic. In 21 encounters, Liaoning only won 7 games, and they fell behind significantly. This undoubtedly cast a shadow on their battle for the finals.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

However, it is worth noting that Liaoning performed well in the semi-finals against Guangdong, and finally managed to advance after five fierce battles. This has undoubtedly boosted their confidence and fighting spirit in this finals.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

The main advantage of the Liaoning men's basketball team is the inside line. They have excellent interior players such as Moreland and Han Dejun, and they performed very well in the game against Guangdong. Coupled with the advantage of playing at home, I believe they can occupy a more obvious advantage on the inside end.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

In addition, Liaoning's core rotation players are also very good, such as Fu Hao, Zhang Zhenlin, Zhao Jiwei and others, all of whom have won championships in the past few seasons. They can stand up at different times and solve problems for the team, which is also a big advantage for Liaoning.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

But at the same time, Liaoning is also facing some potential uncertainties. For example, there are doubts about whether Li Xiaoxu can play, and after the fierce Liaoyue battle, the physical recovery of the players has also become a major hidden danger. In addition, it is also unknown whether Moreland and Han Dejun will be able to continue to play well in the face of Xinjiang's strong interior line.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Therefore, although the overall strength of the Liaoning men's basketball team is superior, in order to win the championship, they first need to overcome the physical difficulties and ensure that the core players are in good condition. At the same time, they also need to give full play to their internal advantages and take the initiative in the confrontation with Xinjiang. Only in this way can the Liaoning men's basketball team be expected to have the last laugh in this finals.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

The performance of the Xinjiang men's basketball team this season is also very good. They made it all the way to the finals in the playoffs, proving that they are not to be underestimated.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

In contrast, Xinjiang does occupy a certain advantage in the historical confrontation with Liaoning. They have won 14 of their 21 meetings, which certainly adds to their confidence in this grand final.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Xinjiang's main strength lies in physical fitness. Due to the relatively short period of time experienced in the semi-finals, and the ample time for head coach Qiu Biao and the players to study their opponents' tactics, they undoubtedly had an advantage in terms of fitness. This is undoubtedly a huge advantage for a time-consuming and physically demanding event like the finals.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

In addition, the Xinjiang men's basketball team also has an extremely strong interior lineup. Inside giants like Zhu Xuhang and Zhao Rui will undoubtedly pose a great threat to Liaoning's inside. If they can dominate the inside in the first game, the chances of winning the first game will be greatly improved.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

But at the same time, the Xinjiang men's basketball team is also facing some hidden worries. For example, the injuries of Zhu Xuhang and Zhao Rui, as well as the psychological pressure of the team when playing away. After all, Liaoning has rich experience in the finals, and it is undoubtedly more confident in dealing with big scenes.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Therefore, if the Xinjiang men's basketball team wants to win back a city in this finals, it first needs to ensure that its physical condition is in the best condition, and at the same time, it must also be psychologically prepared and not suppressed by the momentum of Liaoning's home court. Only then will they be able to pull back a game in the opening game and add uncertainty to the eventual victory.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

On the whole, the first game of this CBA finals is undoubtedly full of suspense and variables. With its strong strength and rich experience in the finals, the Liaoning men's basketball team should be the favorite to win the championship. But Xinjiang's physical superiority, as well as their past experience of defeating Liaoning in the playoffs, also make them quite optimistic about this finals.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

From the perspective of overall strength, the Liaoning men's basketball team has more advantages. Their advantage on the inside is very obvious, and with the strong support of the rotation players, we believe that they can provide the team with key excellent performances in key moments. But at the same time, they also need to find ways to overcome their fitness woes and make sure their core players are in good shape.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

The advantage of the Xinjiang men's basketball team lies in physical fitness. They have plenty of time to adjust and study their opponents, which is undoubtedly a big advantage in a physically demanding event like the Grand Finals. But at the same time, they also need to be mentally prepared and not be suppressed by the momentum of Liaoning's home stadium.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Therefore, the victory or defeat of this first battle will undoubtedly be the key to determining the final direction. Historical data shows that the team that wins the first game is often more likely to win the championship. This also means that both sides will grasp this decisive moment and go all out to compete for this extraordinarily important match.

How important it is to win the first battle! Media: 78.6% chance of winning the CBA Finals

Whether it is the Liaoning men's basketball team or the Xinjiang men's basketball team, they are facing a key choice at this moment.