Since the beginning of this year, the main theme on the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield has become the Russian army's attack, and the Ukrainian army retreats. There are many reasons, such as the fact that the Russian army is better prepared than the Ukrainian army, and the amount of ammunition is more than that of the Ukrainian army. The Russian army has used new heavy guided bombs, as well as Western guided weapons that use GPS jammers to interfere with the Ukrainian army, etc. As a result, everyone has seen it anyway, the Ukrainian army is now retreating on all fronts and is completely on the defensive.
According to a report by CNN, the Russian army recently suddenly launched two waves of cross-border raids on the northern regions of Ukraine, which caught the Ukrainian army by surprise. You must know that the main forces of the Ukrainian army are on the eastern front, and the main ones deployed on the northern front are some old, weak, sick and disabled territorial defense brigades. A statement from the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine said that in the first wave of the offensive, Russian forces launched an offensive towards the small town of Vovchansk in Kharkiv. The second wave launched an attack on the village of Krasne. The Russian army used a total of 4 brigades to launch the attack, and more troops may be added in the future. Now the troops of Russia and Ukraine are fighting in this area, and the fighting is very fierce.
CNN commented that this is the most serious cross-border attack launched by Russia on Ukraine since the Ukrainian army recaptured the northeastern Ukrainian town of Kharkiv in late summer 2022. Many people are worried that the Ukrainian army has been at a disadvantage recently, and will the Russian army have another full-scale attack on Ukraine like it did at the beginning of 2022? Previously, the Russian media did create a momentum, saying that Russia had gathered another 800,000 troops and was ready to completely take Ukraine. At the moment, almost all the main forces of the Ukrainian army are in the eastern part of the country, and the situation with ammunition supply is also very bad. If the Russian army makes another surprise attack on Kharkiv or Kyiv, will the Ukrainian army still be able to stop it? By that time, Ukraine may lose even more territory.
The words of the propaganda organization, of course, may not be credible, we still have to see whether the Russian army still has this ability. So how many troops does Russia have in the north? According to the assessment of NATO intelligence agencies, the Russian army now has about 40,000 troops deployed in the northern border of Ukraine, but the distribution is relatively scattered. The main purpose of these forces was previously to defend against cross-border attacks by the Free Russian Army. But now it is highly likely that these forces will continue to attack Ukraine.
With a strength of 40,000 troops, it is still a bit reluctant to say that it can fight a big battle again. But if the Russian army concentrates these forces to attack a certain point, it is still very powerful. For no other reason, the Ukrainian army is now more nervous than the Russian army. After several rounds of conscription, the Russian army is more fully replenished than the Ukrainian army, and the replenishment of weapons and equipment is also better. Even the troops deployed by the Russian army on the northern front are a newly formed new force. And the Ukrainian army has already been defeated by some remnants of the army. Previously, Poland and France both threatened to send troops into Ukraine because they saw the emptiness in the rear of Ukraine and wanted to take over these areas. It's not that NATO countries are in a hurry to come to war, but they are really afraid, afraid that the situation in Ukraine will continue to deteriorate. Because it is true that judging from the current situation, the Ukrainian army is really very difficult.