The stock market is unpredictable, and no investor can guarantee that they will always be invincible in the stock market. There are many excellent investors in the market, and investment strategies and methods can be used as references, but it is important to understand that even the essence of other people's ideas will always be someone else's, and the most important thing is how to find the most suitable for yourself in the vast sea of theories and transform them into your own investment style, which requires a long time of practice and accumulation. Therefore, after investors enter the actual combat, they must pay attention to the accumulation and integration of knowledge, constantly adjust the investment strategy according to their own preferences, and will definitely form their own investment style over time.
The opening 30 minutes of each trading day is the most intense stage of the battle between buyers and sellers, and each other will use some means to achieve their own goals, so it is of great significance to analyze the stock price trend in the opening 30 minutes.
(1) 9:30~9:40: This is the time period that both bulls and bears are extremely concerned about, and of course, it is also the time when investors should pay the most attention. The reason why these 10 minutes are important is that the number of investors participating in the transaction at this time is not large, and the intraday trading volume is not very large, so the purpose can be achieved with a small amount of funds, less money, and greater benefits. The market performance in the first 10 minutes of the market helps to correctly judge the strength of the market movement.
(1) Strong market: In order to fully absorb chips, the bulls will be eager to buy after the opening; In order to complete the distribution, the bears will also deliberately pull up, resulting in a sharp rise after the opening.
(2) Weak market: In order to get a bargain, the bulls will press downward at the opening, and the bears will also sell desperately, resulting in a sharp decline after the opening.
(2) 9:41~9:50: After the first 10 minutes of fighting, the second 10 minutes after the opening of the long and short sides will enter the rest stage. This period is a turning point for investors to buy or sell, and generally corrects the original trend.
(1) If the bears force too hard, many parties will organize counterattacks, and the chassis will intervene in a big way.
(2) If the bulls attack too hard, the bears will also counterattack, and the profit-taking will be actively reversed.
(3) 9:51~10:00: With the gradual increase of traders, the long and short sides have gone through the previous contest and explored each other, and the third 10-minute order has become more realistic, so the credibility is greater. The movement during this period can basically be the basis for the direction of the whole day. Investors should pay full attention to the changes in volume and price during this period and be prepared for their own decisions.
So, how to quickly lock in the dark horse of the day within 30 minutes of opening? Here's how:
1. Before the opening of the market, the stocks that may rise through various channels are entered into the computer's self-selected stocks for close monitoring;
2. After the opening price comes out, judge the trend of the market on the day, if there is no problem, you can choose individual stocks;
3. Quickly browse individual stocks, select the first stock with a large volume and a large volume ratio (the bigger the better), and write down the code;
4. Quickly browse the daily (weekly) K-line and other technical indicators of these stocks, make an evaluation, and then re-select the stocks that technically support the rise;
5. When the opening transaction is opened, keep an eye on the above potential stocks, if the trading volume is continuously enlarged, the volume ratio is also large, and observe whether the orders listed by selling one, selling two, and selling three are all three- or four-digit orders;
6. If the stock continues to rise with large orders, it should immediately enter a higher purchase price than the selling price (there is a right of first refusal, and it is usually lower than the price you offer and the transaction is traded);
7. Under normal circumstances, when the stock price opens for more than 10 minutes and there is a pullback, at this time, the stock is expected to be bought;
8. If you are inexperienced, then 10-15 minutes after the opening of the market, it is safer to buy stocks with the above conditions based on various factors.
Use the simplest method to make the most money, and immediately know the rise and fall within three minutes of opening
First, the opening N-shaped trend
The N-shaped trend is an important time-sharing pattern, which mainly includes two types: the N-shaped trend with a high opening and the N-shaped trend with a low opening.
(1) High open N-shaped trend: The high open N-shaped trend refers to the rapid upward rush of the stock price after the high opening, and then quickly fall back soon, and then quickly upward again, breaking through the high point of the first high opening, showing the trend of the letter "N" on the entire tick chart.
(2) Low open N-shaped trend: The low open N-shaped trend refers to the stock price after the low opening, quickly rushed up to near the gap, and then fell back, but finally rushed up quickly, filled the gap, and showed the trend of the letter "N" on the entire tick chart.
Figure 1-1 is the Ningbo United (600051) time-sharing chart, the stock price rushed up quickly after opening low in the morning, and then there was a slight decline, and then the stock price was supported near the average price line, and continued to rush up quickly after the reversal, and rushed past the high point of the previous upward rush, forming an N-shape, and this time is a good buying point.
After the N-shaped trend of opening low, the stock price of Ningbo United rose rapidly, as shown in Figure 1-2, and investors who bought on the day can make a profit by selling at the subsequent high.
Note: Not all low openings signal a decline in stock prices, and sometimes a low opening is a good buy signal. Because a low opening can make the purchase price lower and the cost of entering the market lower, as long as investors can judge in time that the stock price is low but the market is rising, they can enter the market early to find a low.
Second, the opening W-shaped trend
The W-shaped trend is a more commonly presented time-sharing trend pattern, which represents that the market is gradually changing direction, mainly including two patterns: the high-opening W-shaped trend and the high-opening inverted W-shaped trend.
(1) High open W-shaped trend: high open W-shaped trend is a sign of a strong rise in stock prices, it is a drop in stock prices after the high opening, then upward, then back again, and then up again, so that two up, two back to form a W-shaped trend.
(2) High opening inverted W-shaped trend: high opening inverted W-shaped trend is a typical main shipping pattern, which refers to the stock price in the high open slightly upward, then fall rapidly, and soon rush up again, but the height of the upward rush will not exceed the previous high, in the chart to form an inverted W-shaped (can also be called M-shaped) trend.
Figure 2-1 is the Huangshan Tourism (600054) time-sharing chart, after the stock price opened high, it rushed up twice and fell back twice, forming an inverted W-shaped trend on the time-sharing chart.
As shown in Figure 2-2, it is the most common top reversal pattern, which generally appears at the end of the uptrend, and is a reversal signal after the market rises to the top. Investors can sell stocks decisively as long as they see that the stock price rebounds and is suppressed by the average price line, and does not exceed the previous high.
Note: If an investor does not get out in time when the second top is formed, then they should be out when the stock price rebounds and pulls back, regardless of whether the stock price breaks through the neckline or not. However, in the real operation, many times the stock price does not reverse after falling below the neckline, but falls directly, which will make investors suffer greater losses.
At the same time, in the process of trading, we will also encounter a question, that is, is it better to buy only one or more?
We should know that the subjective judgment of probability has hundreds or even thousands of various forces that form a joint force to promote changes in the price of investment products. All of these forces are in constant motion, each of which has a huge impact on the price, and no one force can make predictions with absolute certainty. Investors identify and abandon investment projects that they do not know about, and concentrate on investing in what they understand, which is the practice of probability.
For example, if we toss a coin 100,000 times, we estimate that the number of heads is 50,000. The law of large numbers says that relative frequencies and probabilities are only necessarily equal when repeated countless times. Theoretically, we all know that the probability of getting heads in the process of tossing a coin is 1/2, but we can't say that the probability is necessarily equal to 1/2 unless there have been countless tosses.
In any uncertain issue, we cannot make definitive statements. However, if the problem has been limited, we can list all possible outcomes. If an uncertain problem is repeated enough, the probabilities of the various outcomes should reflect the probabilities of the different outcomes.
Many great securities analysts have very keen judgment skills, and they are always calculating the probability of winning. In the same way, they all make decisions about something elusive. As an ordinary investor, it is necessary to constantly learn this kind of judgment and calculation ability.
"Concentrated investment" is based on a full understanding of the market and is carefully considered. As Warren Buffett said, "It's always good to be cautious, because no one can see exactly where the stock market is going all at once." It is not uncommon for stocks that rose sharply 5 minutes ago to fall sharply immediately 5 minutes later, and you simply cannot accurately judge the turning point of this change. Therefore, before making any large-scale investment, it is necessary to test it first, and then gradually increase the investment after having a good idea. "Only after rational analysis and a clear idea of the investments you have made can you invest a large amount of money in one fell swoop, otherwise it will be very dangerous.
Many ordinary investors often do not know much about stocks, listen to some gossip, think that the opportunity to make a lot of money is coming, so they will invest their hard-earned money, or even borrowed money, in stocks, this kind of blind risk often brings crisis and misfortune to themselves and their families, which is extremely undesirable. When we decide on an investment strategy, we must first understand the prerequisites of the matter and "know what to expect".
In addition, it's worth noting that as a concentrated investor, you won't have a lot of stocks in your hands, and each one is carefully selected. However, among these selected stocks, some stocks outperform others, which requires investors not to distribute assets equally, but to allocate more money to the best stocks.
Finally, how far can the market go? I don't know. How long does it take for the market to pull back? I don't know! Just wait. That way, you'll make fewer mistakes. If you start to predict the price distance or the length of time again, or you lose patience and worry about losing profits, and leave the market prematurely, then you will fall into the trap of the roadside, and at this time or the next moment, you will definitely make a mistake, and you will make a big mistake.
Holding a position, regardless of time; There is also little correlation with the length of the distance from the price movement, if there is, it is to see whether the boundary of the price movement has been reached or is ready to be crossed, and the boundary of the price movement is actually very easy to identify. In the fifteen-minute graph, yesterday's high and low, the previous few days' highs and lows, the boundaries of the large moving average, etc., have almost been marked, do your own to draw the line at a glance, do not let you make yourself smart thinking and doubts, K-line movement is so simple, and you make it complicated, but also make yourself dizzy, how can there be no loss?
Holding a position has nothing to do with your patience, personal emotions, including your mental activities such as expectations or doubts! If it's coherent, you've already started to lose money.
Think about how you drive or walk. If you don't know how to think, then hit the road, thinking about the relationship between your legs, the road and the destination as you go. Stretching your legs is your trading behavior; The road is the path and direction of the price movement; The destination is the boundary of the price movement, and it is also the end point of your trading profit (the destination in life is always known in advance, but the destination of the price movement is best not to be explored in advance, just follow). Take a walk and slowly imagine who comes first and who comes last, and who prescribes whose behavior.
Don't be in a hurry and take a step too early, and don't worry about the wolf and the tiger. Price movements have a path process – a trend. The trend itself is a combination of distance and time extension, but this is a dynamic process, and the size of the trend cannot be predefined or prematurely analyzed and judged by time and spread, at least, the vast majority of the market is so. Moreover, traders do not need to make preconceived notions. In fact, the trade that follows is the right trade. Moreover, holding a position has nothing to do with the spread or time difference.
Aren't you profitable if you are in tune with the market, do you still have to make a profit, and you have to clarify the exact data of how long you hold the position before you are willing? That's simply not possible or necessary. Don't care about the trend and the size of the profit, just follow the market.
The simplicity of making a profit is to simply follow the price movement and not fight against it. The direction of the market has nothing to do with you at all, does he ignore you when you fight against him? Therefore, if you follow wrongly, you should get used to making a simple U-turn. But at this time, most people have a lot of worries in their hearts, and they can't turn around, so that they lose their feet and drink hatred. Therefore, give up your ideas, simplify your behavior, take a proportional light position, do a few actions to follow the price trend, and the process of holding the position is large and small with the price movement, this is the transaction.