May 10th
The third tranche of savings treasury bonds during the year
It is officially on sale
Multiple bank outlets on the day of issuance
The rush is very hot
Source: China-Singapore Jingwei
Previously
Phase 1 and Phase 2 in 2024
(Click on the underlined section for details)
On the day of sale
It was also sold out in almost a second
Why are national bonds so hot
According to the Securities Times, a number of industry insiders analyzed that the popularity of treasury bonds has a certain relationship with the decline in deposit interest rates. After combing, it is found that after several cuts in deposit interest rates, the yield of savings treasury bonds has been higher than that of time deposit products of the same maturity of many large banks.
Taking ICBC as an example, the bank's 3-year lump sum deposit and lump sum withdrawal interest rate is currently 1.95%, and the maximum can be floated to 2.35%; The 5-year lump sum deposit and lump sum listing rate is 2.0%. The three-year and five-year interest rates of savings treasury bonds issued on May 10 were 2.38% and 2.5% respectively.
"At this stage, market interest rates are declining, and stable assets are too scarce, and the issuance of treasury bonds at this time is actually in line with the expectations of investors with low risk appetite." Economist Pan and Lin said.
Coupled with the recent announcement by a number of banks to suspend the sale of large-denomination certificates of deposit, savings treasury bonds are naturally favored by investors in this context. Chen Xu, president of the Quyang Business Center Branch of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, said that because there are fewer and fewer large-value certificates of deposit on the market, the interest rate advantage of treasury bonds is more reflected.
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The ultra-long-term special treasury bond issuance arrangement is here!
The General Office of the Ministry of Finance recently issued a notice
Clear
Ultra-long-term special treasury bond issuance in 2024
Arrangement
The picture shows the 2024 ultra-long-term special treasury bond issuance schedule (according to the official website of the Ministry of Finance)
This year's government work report proposes that starting from this year, it is planned to issue ultra-long-term special treasury bonds for several consecutive years, which will be used for the implementation of major national strategies and security capacity building in key areas, and 1 trillion yuan will be issued this year.
According to the notice, the maturity of ultra-long-term special treasury bonds to be issued this year is 20 years, 30 years, and 50 years respectively, and the first issuance time is May 17, and the issuance will be completed in mid-November.
What are ultra-long-term special government bonds?
What's so special about it?
Where to invest?
How to manage and use it well?
Let's take a look
What are ultra-long-term special government bonds?
Ultra-long-term special treasury bonds can be broken down into three key words: treasury bonds, special and ultra-long-term bonds.
National debt: A type of government bond issued by the central government to raise financial funds. Since the issuer of treasury bonds is the state, it has the highest creditworthiness and is recognized as the safest investment vehicle.
Special: The issuance of special treasury bonds refers to the treasury bonds issued in stages for a specific purpose in a specific period, and are not included in the deficit and do not increase the deficit rate.
Ultra-long-term: In terms of issuance period, ultra-long-term generally means that the issuance period is not less than 10 years, and the maturity of ultra-long-term special treasury bonds to be issued this year is divided into three varieties: 20 years, 30 years and 50 years.
In addition, according to the relevant deployment, it is planned to issue ultra-long-term special treasury bonds for several consecutive years this year, which also releases the tone of the implementation of a proactive fiscal policy in the next few years, which will help stabilize expectations and boost confidence.
What is the impact of the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds?
Judging from historical experience, the issuance of special treasury bonds has had a positive impact on the stable and positive development of the economy and society, and the mainland has issued special treasury bonds in 1998, 2007 and 2020.
Based on the views of experts, the issuance of ultra-long-term special treasury bonds is beneficial to both the present and the long-term, which will help stimulate investment and consumption, promote the transformation of economic momentum, build a modern industrial system, and develop new quality productivity.
At the same time, it also helps to optimize the debt structure. Compared with local governments, the central government's issuance of bonds has a lower cost and longer cycle, and ultra-long-term special treasury bonds have formed high-quality assets, which have also avoided the risks caused by excessive local leverage, making room for local finances.
When will the ultra-long-term special government bonds be activated?
What areas will be supported?
According to the issuance arrangement, 7 20-year ultra-long-term special treasury bonds will be issued this year, of which 2 will be issued for the first time and 5 will be renewed, which will be issued as early as May 24; 12 30-year ultra-long-term special treasury bonds will be issued, of which 3 will be issued for the first time and 9 will be renewed, and the earliest will be issued on May 17; It is planned to issue 3 50-year ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, of which 1 will be issued for the first time and 2 for the renewal, which will be issued as early as June 14.
In terms of the preparatory work for ultra-long-term special treasury bonds, Liu Sushe, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, said at the press conference of the State Council Information Office that in accordance with the deployment of the Party Central Committee and the State Council, the National Development and Reform Commission and relevant departments have studied and drafted an action plan to support the country's major strategies and security capacity building in key areas, and will begin to organize and implement it after approval and consent.
In terms of support areas, we will focus on key tasks such as accelerating the realization of high-level scientific and technological self-reliance and self-reliance, promoting urban-rural integrated development, promoting coordinated regional development, improving the security capacity of food and energy resources, promoting high-quality population development, and comprehensively promoting the construction of a beautiful China.
How to manage it well and use it well
Ultra-long-term special treasury bond funds?
In terms of the organization and implementation of the action plan, Liu Sushe introduced that it will adhere to the principle of "the project follows the plan, the funds follow the project, and the supervision follows the funds", and the National Development and Reform Commission will take the lead in conjunction with relevant departments to effectively strengthen overall coordination, do a good job in financial guarantees, optimize investment methods, and increase supervision, especially to approve and build a number of projects with more mature and qualified preliminary work as soon as possible. Form a synergy with the construction of major projects to ensure that the tasks specified in the action plan are implemented with high quality and effective.
Wang Jianfan, director of the Budget Department of the Ministry of Finance, said that he would study the establishment of a regulatory mechanism in light of the actual situation of ultra-long-term special treasury bond funds, strengthen the supervision of the whole process of fund allocation, issuance and use, and ensure standardized, safe and efficient use.
How will it affect market liquidity?
Judging from the signals released by all relevant parties, the issuance and use of special bonds will be accelerated at the same time as the ultra-long-term special treasury bonds are launched in a timely manner.
Experts believe that the increase in the supply of government bonds will lead to a corresponding increase in medium and long-term liquidity demand, and the implementation of RRR cuts at this stage can create a suitable liquidity environment. "In the second quarter, the issuance of government bonds and policy bank bonds is likely to accelerate, and in the third quarter, the issuance may usher in a peak, and the central bank may consider reducing the reserve requirement ratio to provide liquidity, and coordinate with fiscal policy to iron out capital fluctuations." Zhang Jun, chief economist and dean of the research institute of China Galaxy, said.
In addition, the market expects that the PBOC will also flexibly grasp the operation of policy tools such as reverse repo in the open market, accurately hedge the short-term impact of fiscal bond issuance, and maintain the stable operation of market interest rates. In order to enrich the liquidity management toolbox, the central bank may include the purchase and sale of treasury bonds in the policy tool reserve in the future.
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Edit | Mo Xiangjun
Proofreading | Zheng Fang, Wei Ding, and Wang established diplomatic relations
Proofreading | Yang Sha
Executive Producer | Zheng Yongtao
Source of information | Xinhua News Agency, Securities Times, 21st Century Business Herald, China Securities Journal, News Square