The second round of 3 groups of Tennoyama! After G4, the U.S. media announced the latest probability of winning the championship: the Nuggets are only 4.3%, and the top of the list is more than 5 percent

Pot basketball

2024-05-14 23:26Posted in Liaoning Sports Creators

Another NBA playoff game day, the G4 competition for the two divisional semifinals in the East and West ended, and the Eastern side watched the game with James, and the Cavaliers who lacked Mitchell still lost to the Celtics 102-109 and became the first team to fall behind 1-3 in the second round, while in the West, the Mavericks once led by 14 points, and they swallowed the reversal at home, and the Thunder pulled the score to a 2-2 draw.

With the end of the two games, all 4 groups of series G4 in the East and West have been played, and 3 of the series have been tied 2-2 to usher in the battle for Tianwang Mountain, and only the Celtics have a 3-1 lead over the Cavaliers.

After the end of G4, the American media "theanalyst" calculated the latest probability of winning the championship through big data, among which the Nuggets, who won two games in a row, are still underestimated, with the probability of winning the championship being only 4.3%, and the probability of winning the championship at the top of the list is more than 5%.

Knight: 0.4%

After G2 stole a win from the Celtics, the Cavaliers failed to seize the opportunity to go further after G3 and G4 returned to their home court, instead losing back-to-back games to become the only team to fall behind 1-3 in the second round.

Coupled with Mitchell's calf strain, it will be difficult for the Cavaliers to turn the tables in terms of roster experience, depth and health, as well as from the same type of situation in history.

Lone Ranger: 2.2%

After G2 and G3 won consecutive games, the Mavericks G4 overturned at their home court, and with the performance of all players, the Mavericks established a 14-point lead early in the first quarter, but in the case of suppressing the Thunder in the whole court, the Mavericks collapsed in the final quarter and were completed by the Thunder.

Even so, judging from the performance of the series, the Mavericks are still the side that controls the initiative, as long as Irving and Doncic return to normal, even if G5 is played on the road, the Mavericks are still the more likely side to advance in this series, and the 2.2% probability is obviously underestimated.

Walkers: 2.9%

After losing back-to-back games in G1 and G2, the Pacers managed to tie the score after G3 and G4 returned to their home courts, and won a 32-point victory in G4.

Considering the Knicks' serious injury concerns, the Pacers are gradually establishing a series advantage, and the Pacers are a team with a terrifying offensive ceiling, if Haliburton can continue their form, then they are very likely to be the biggest dark horse, with a 2.9% probability of underestimating.

Nuggets: 4.3%

Due to the back-to-back losses of G1 and G2, the defending champion Nuggets are underestimated by big data, because there have been a total of 454 0-2 playoff games in NBA history, and only 33 of them have been reversed.

And after the introduction of 7 games and 4 wins, only 5 teams can complete the comeback with "0-2 down at home".

Fortunately, the Nuggets won consecutive away games in G3 and G4, if the league still tightens the penalty scale, then the Nuggets are likely to become the 6th team to turn the tables, if the penalty is relaxed, the Nuggets will have to fight hard with the Timberwolves, in either case, the probability of 4.3% is too low.

Nix: 6.3%

Like all Thibodeau's teams, the Knicks have a terrifying defensive execution and team integrity, but the core rotation has also had to accept a serious overdraft rotation time and method, resulting in the high-flying Knicks suffering from injuries in the playoffs, which have become a key factor in determining whether the Knicks can continue to move forward.

Timberwolves: 13.1%

After consecutive away wins in G1 and G2, the Timberwolves lost consecutive home games in G3 and G4, but fortunately, Edwards' performance has been stable and he has always been able to deliver a stable output on the offensive end.

If the referee relaxes the penalty after that, and the Timberwolves role players find their form, then even if G5 goes to play away, the Timberwolves still have a huge chance to turn the game around.

Thunder: 18.8%

The Thunder were cornered in G4 for a while, but Alexander saved the team in the final quarter.

However, the Thunder team still exposed many problems such as youth, lack of experience, and lack of teamwork in the series, and the probability of winning the championship is not high, and the probability of 18.8% is obviously overestimated.

Celtic: 52%

The Celtics were the only team to lead 3-1 in the second round, which gave the Celtics more than 50% of the probability of winning the championship, but the Celtics have not shown absolute dominance in the playoffs so far, especially in the key moments of the game, the team still lacks the top scoring points to finish the game.

If teams like the Nuggets and Timberwolves make it out of the West, the Celtics will be in big trouble, and the 52% probability is obviously overrated.

The big data probabilities are as follows

View original image 806K

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

• 

•