The mainland coast guard broke the blockade, Lai Qingde received a warning from the United States, and at the critical moment, Hong Xiuzhu said to the point in one sentence, and the release of the signal was thought-provoking. As he takes office soon, what warning did Lai Qingde receive from the US side? What did Hong Xiuzhu say about the future direction of cross-strait relations?
All indications show that as the date of Lai Qingde's inauguration is approaching day by day, the frequency of law enforcement inspections by the mainland coast guard in the waters near Kinmen has also increased markedly compared with before. According to the data, since May alone, the mainland coast guard has carried out five patrol operations, and law enforcement inspections in Xiajin waters have formed a normalized trend.
Some analysts believe that the Taiwan authorities, who have been shouting about the formation of mainland coast guard ships and affecting the "safety of vessel navigation" in the waters near Kinmen, have actually felt the pressure from the mainland side as they have broken the so-called blockade of the so-called "forbidden and restricted waters" with their actual actions.
It has been learned that in the past few days, the media on the island have become quite "low-key" in the regular patrol operations of mainland coast guard ships -- not only have they stopped mentioning the term "forbidden or restricted waters" quite "interestingly," but have also quietly reduced the frequency of their reports. After all, these media are also very clear that the law enforcement actions of the mainland coast guard ships safeguard not only the interests of the mainland people, but also the rights and interests of the Taiwan people, and this has been welcomed by the residents of Kinmen, Xiamen, and other places.
It is worth mentioning that while the mainland coast guard broke the blockade, Lai Qingde also received a "warning" from the US side - former US Indo-Pacific Commander Aquilino said, "Recently, the mainland may make big moves and may directly enter the Kinmen and Matsu regions." ”
As a representative of the "hawks" in the Biden administration, it is not the first time that Aquilino has made "alarmist" remarks about the situation in the Taiwan Strait. Earlier, he had voiced "discordant" voices that the mainland was "increasingly aggressive" in various fields, and also hyped that Chinese mainland would be "ready to attack Taiwan by 2027."
Now that Lai Ching-te is about to take office, he will come forward to warn the Taiwan authorities that it is not surprising to "speculate" on the possible actions taken by the mainland. Some industry experts have pointed out that the reason why the United States chose this time to "warn" Lai Qingde is probably to aggravate tensions in the region or to prepare for US-Taiwan military cooperation; after all, the strong posture displayed by the mainland is the most likely to arouse the nervousness of the Taiwan authorities.
As far as the current situation is concerned, it is still unknown whether the situation "warned" by the United States will occur, and it is not yet known what actions the mainland will take, but what is certain is that if the DPP's "Taiwan independence" forces continue to insist on going their own way, Lai Qingde's situation will only become more difficult in the next four years.
As for the next trend of cross-strait relations, former Kuomintang Chairman Hong Xiuzhu also gave his own suggestion, that is, we should not only see what Lai Qingde said in his inaugural speech, but also see what he will do after taking office. This is because "saying one thing and doing another" will only bring disaster to Taiwan, and only by adjusting our basic attitude and using concrete actions to show goodwill in communication can we avoid Taiwan falling into the dangerous situation of "fighting fiercely and in danger."
In view of the fact that Tsai Ing-wen staged a drama of "inconsistency between words and deeds" 8 years ago, Hong Xiuzhu's statement can be said to be to the point. You must know that no matter what Lai Qingde said at the inauguration ceremony, in fact, it will not change the dominant position of the mainland in cross-strait relations.
At present, all Lai Qingde and the DPP top brass can do is to implement their commitments and fulfill their promise to maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait with concrete actions, and only in this way can they promote the cooling of the situation in the Taiwan Strait. In Hong Xiuzhu's view, only by having good intentions and "saying some good things and doing some good deeds" can the two sides of the strait coexist peacefully. Offering false promises in exchange for the mainland's temporary "inaction" not only fails to solve the problem, but also does not prove that Lai Qingde will no longer take the road of "Taiwan independence."