As the Chinese and Philippine forces approach Sembin Reef, the biggest risk arises, and what new provocative moves does the Philippines have in the South China Sea? China's countermeasures came immediately after that, and the MSA announced a no-sail zone, what does this mean?
After Ren'ai Jiao and Scarborough Shoal, the biggest risk for China and the Philippines seems to have emerged, and Xianbin Jiao may become a new flashpoint for maritime confrontation between China and the Philippines. Because the recent Chinese and Philippine forces are constantly approaching the Senbin Reef, the reason is that the Philippine Coast Guard has previously taken a low-key action and sent a patrol ship named "Teresa Magbanua" to the waters of the Senbin Reef, which is a Japanese-made 97-meter patrol ship and the largest patrol ship of the Philippine Coast Guard. The standoff with the Chinese Coast Guard has been going on for several days, and the standoff is still going on. On our side, the Chinese Coast Guard ships 3303 and 4202, as well as a number of civilian vessels such as fishing boats, were dispatched. It is understood that Xianbin Reef is located between Ren'ai Reef and Palawan Island in the Philippines, about 160 kilometers away from Palawan Island, about 60 kilometers away from Ren'ai Reef, and about 100 kilometers away from Mischief Reef, where China has completed land reclamation. It is not yet clear the details of the confrontation between the two sides, and it is not known whether there have been similar naval encounters at Ren'ai Jiao and other places. However, it is not difficult to see from the above-mentioned actions of the Philippines that the Marcos administration's ambition to disrupt the South China Sea is still undying.
Ironically, not long ago, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos also claimed that "the last thing the Philippines wants is to escalate tensions in the South China Sea, and the mission of the Philippine Navy and Coast Guard is not to trigger or escalate tensions." At first glance, I really thought that the Marcos government was going to "change the evil and return to the right", but now that I look at it, Marcos is purely deceiving himself. The reason why he said so well is that he wants to take the opportunity to use public opinion to portray the Philippines as a "righteous person" who "maintains peace and stability in the South China Sea", and at the same time portray China as a "great power in the South China Sea" in a vain attempt to smear China's legitimate and lawful rights protection actions. In addition, Marcos's change of "retreating into advancing" can only show that the Philippine side's provocative moves at sea cannot get the slightest advantage here on the mainland, and they have no choice but to change to "public opinion warfare" in a vain attempt to put pressure on our side.
The most obvious manifestation of this is that in the past few days, many Philippine officials, including Philippine Defense Secretary Teodoro, have been vigorously denying the existence of the "gentlemen's agreement" and the "new model". Teodoro claimed that he denied discussing or hearing anything about a "gentlemen's agreement" or a "new model" with the Chinese side. It is understood that the "new model" refers to the fact that in early January this year, Vice Admiral Carlos, commander of the Philippine Western Command in charge of South China Sea affairs, agreed to adopt a "new model" agreed with China to handle the issue of resupply to Ren'ai Jiao, that is, in the future, the Philippine side must notify the Chinese side two days in advance before sending supplies to the old warship "beached" at Ren'ai Jiao, and only deliver food, water, and humanitarian supplies. As for the "gentlemen's agreement", it refers to the commitment reached between China and the Philippines on the Ren'ai Jiao issue, and the "agreement" is not in the form of a text, but a kind of "tacit understanding" between China and the Philippines. According to the agreement, the Philippine side promised not to send construction materials to the old warship, and at the same time, the Chinese side also gave the "green light" for the Philippine side to regularly deliver daily necessities to the broken ship. To put it bluntly, the "gentlemen's agreement" and the "new model" are basically similar in content, with the difference that one was reached during the Duterte administration and the other was reached between China and the current Marcos government.
It's just that what they didn't expect was that when they denied it in every possible way, a recording of the call appeared, which directly exposed the lies of Philippine politicians, and they were so angry that they even threatened to expel Chinese diplomats in recent days. In response to the Philippine side's brazen behavior, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lin Jian reminded the Philippine side with four "stop" and three "don't", stressing that if the Philippines really wants to ease the situation in the South China Sea, it should immediately stop intruding into the waters adjacent to China's Nansha Islands and Scarborough Shoal. cease the delivery of construction supplies to warships illegally beached at Second Thomas Shoal, and build permanent facilities; cease illegal landing activities on the uninhabited islands and reefs; Stop forming cliques and flexing force; Stop spreading disinformation and misleading the international community. The Philippine side should not deny the facts, act rashly, and shoot itself in the foot. In addition, the mainland maritime safety bureau announced a no-sail zone to warn the Philippine side with practical actions, after the Guangdong Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning, from May 6 to 12 from 6 a.m. to 21 p.m. every day, shooting training in some waters of the South China Sea was prohibited.