The United States lays a trap, and the European Union falls into the sky!
The Russia-Ukraine war is essentially the United States wants to use Eastern Europe as a breakthrough in its global strategy, by letting the EU and Russia consume each other, so as to achieve the goal of plunging Russia into the quagmire of war while achieving the goal of controlling the EU. According to the US script, once Russia is dragged down, the United States will pull its European allies to jointly deal with China, pull NATO into the Asia-Pacific region, and carry out a military blockade of China in all aspects, including political, military, and economic, and even split China. The United States has clear intentions and clear purposes, so the Russian-Ukrainian war is essentially a huge trap, and the United States wants to use this trap to put the whole world in, first the European Union and Russia, and then China. Of course, if China can finally be included, the United States will fish out its European allies. Some people may say, what if you can't fit Russia and China? Then, of course, the EU can only be put into it, and in the end the worst is the EU.
Now, it seems that the situation is moving in the direction that is most unfavorable for the EU. Because, something has just happened, and this is putting the EU in the most unfavorable strategic trap for Europe. According to a report on the Russia Today website on May 11, the 27 countries of the European Union have reached a consensus on a draft security commitment to Ukraine, which is intended to provide long-term military and financial support to Kyiv. The report quoted the German newspaper "Die Welt" as saying that there are confidential documents saying that the draft has been approved by representatives of EU countries, and the EU and Ukraine are currently discussing specific details.
So what does it mean if this draft does pass in the EU? It means that the EU will provide security support for Ukraine, including military and financial support. Financial support is well understood, that is, giving money. Military support can be more substantial, including aid weapons, and even direct dispatch of troops.
So, what will be the consequences of this draft once it is passed?
In fact, once this draft is passed, the most direct consequence will be a bottomless pit. On the one hand, as long as the Russian-Ukrainian war is fought, the EU will have to continue to transfuse blood to Ukraine, which is a continuous attrition. Obviously, Ukraine's combat effectiveness is far inferior to that of the Russian army, plus a large amount of resources are embezzled or wasted by the Ukrainian government, and the manufacturing and transportation costs of resources are higher than those of Russia, so the consumption of the Russian-Ukrainian war on Russia and the EU is not a concept at all, and the consumption of the EU is much greater, so it is a bottomless pit. On the other hand, if the war continues to advance westward, what if Russia ends up occupying Ukraine? Do you want to be directly involved in the war? That would be a greater systemic risk and investment. You can imagine the consequences and risks involved.
So, what role does the United States play in this?
In fact, this matter is what the United States is fooling behind its back. First of all, the United States wants to disentangle itself from the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, otherwise it will be a bottomless pit for the United States and the consumption will be too great. The United States has already aided or approved more than $140 billion in aid to Ukraine, which will be all the aid during Biden's tenure. What if Trump is elected this year? The United States will definitely not do it. Therefore, the current United States has been pushing Europe to take over in an all-round way. As long as Europe fully takes over, the United States can be relaxed. So, how does the U.S. do this?
The United States mainly relies on two important means: one is promoted by the President of the European Commission, von der Leyen, who has always stood on the side of American interests, so many EU bills are promoted around American interests; The second is to be promoted by the Eastern European countries, which of course side with the United States, because they are close to Russia and they are extremely dependent on the United States for national security, so they can only cooperate with the United States in everything.
However, the consequence of this incident is that the EU is in the ascendancy, and it is likely that it will have to bear the huge investment in the Russian-Ukrainian war alone. Once this happens, the EU will have to continue to fight with Russia, and this attrition will be too great for Europe. However, Russia, which is fighting with the EU, is not necessarily attrition. Why? Because Russia's economy has been transferred to a wartime economy, its military industry has developed tremendously because of the war. As long as someone is willing to buy a large amount of its resources and can export a large number of high-quality and low-cost products to it, then the sustainable development of the Russian economy will be very strong! The more fiercely the war is fought, the more it is consumed in all aspects, and the greater the production capacity, the deeper his various cooperation with China. In this way, Russia's economy has been activated, and the EU cannot consume Russia at all.
For the EU, the bigger risk is that once Russia is exhausted, the Russian army will continue to advance, and when Russia occupies all of Ukraine, it will be the EU's nightmare. Because, after Russia's military strength and industrial capacity have been improved, the EU will not be able to stop Russia, and at that time not only will it have to completely obey the United States, but Russia's appetite will also grow, how should the EU respond?
The big trap of the United States has affected China, and Putin has to prepare for a big war!
The United States, the big trap that the EU wants to trap, will inevitably affect China. How will it affect China? Quite simply, the United States wants to withdraw from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and in the end it wants to deal with China with all its might. Therefore, when the EU is trapped, the United States will turn around and unite with other allies to deal with China, and will do everything possible to pull NATO into the Asia-Pacific region. Of course, before NATO is formally drawn into the Asia-Pacific region, the United States will certainly continue to draw its allies into NATO's "Okus" alliance in the East.
So, will this insidious plan of the United States succeed? All indications show that, at least prima facie, there is a possibility of success, and it seems that the EU countries, with the exception of France, have basically lost their political and diplomatic independence capabilities. In this case, the above-mentioned EU is likely to pass a document on Ukraine. Once passed, the EU's hard days will come.
Against this backdrop, what should China do? I am afraid that there is no other option but to adjust the geopolitical balance by strengthening economic cooperation with Russia. Just imagine, China and Russia have cold lips and teeth, and China cannot watch Russia lose. Therefore, from the perspective of the situation, the prospects for the EU are very unoptimistic, and the next war of attrition with Russia will not only put the EU in a difficult situation, the problem is that the situation will become more and more dangerous.
For Putin, if the EU does pass such a bill, it will undoubtedly be a challenge. In any case, the EU's economic strength is still okay, and if he continues to aid Ukraine, it will put pressure on Russia's front-line situation. So, for Putin, what will inevitably follow is a tough military dialogue. If Russia wants to get a better strategic position, the only way is to move forward, then the stronger the EU's support for Ukraine, of course, the greater the resistance Russia will encounter. Putin has no choice but to bite the bullet and move forward. For Putin, it will undoubtedly be a huge challenge to have military assistance from the United States and the European Union to provide it vigorously, and Putin has no choice but to accept the challenge.
So, is there a better alternative for the EU? In fact, the EU's best option is to communicate with China, let China become the mediator between Russia and the EU, and then China will vouch for both sides, so as to provide the basic conditions for reaching an agreement. Once the two sides reach talks, then the Russian-Ukrainian conflict can be completely ended. So, let's wait, wait for the EU's change of mind, otherwise if you really want to bring down Russia, Zhan Hao will make an assertion here, it will be impossible!
As long as the United States has some reason in the face of China, then everyone will be able to understand it in the Middle East, and when the global political and economic order is settled, the whole world will be stable.
Source: Zhanhao WeChat public account