The stock market is unpredictable, and no investor can guarantee that they will always be invincible in the stock market. There are many excellent investors in the market, and investment strategies and methods can be used as references, but it is important to understand that even the essence of other people's ideas will always be someone else's, and the most important thing is how to find the most suitable for yourself in the vast sea of theories and transform them into your own investment style, which requires a long time of practice and accumulation. Therefore, after investors enter the actual combat, they must pay attention to the accumulation and integration of knowledge, constantly adjust the investment strategy according to their own preferences, and will definitely form their own investment style over time.
This method is suitable for moderate investors, first of all, we must do a good job in the fundamental research of listed companies, make the first wave of screening of individual stocks, and then the technical analysis and judgment, we need to find a regular trend that meets our goals again in many selected medium and long-term stocks. Specifically, the trend must come out of the bottom and then pick up. The main points are as follows:
(1) Make sure to stand above the 60-day moving average, and do not fall back below the 60-day moving average after a second confirmation.
(2) If the volume can increase every time it rises, its turnover rate will be higher (the specific quantitative circulating market value is less than 3 billion yuan, and the daily turnover rate is at least 5% or more), and the reverse volume can be greatly reduced if it decreases once.
(3) Any retracement can not fall below the 60-day moving average, if it falls below the 60-day moving average for a special and important reason, it also needs to return to the 60-day moving average within 3 days, of course, if the trend is getting stronger and stronger, the information of its support position may be above the 60-day moving average and the 60-day moving average is getting higher and farther away.
(4) The trend is very regular and independent, the control traces are obvious, and the time-sharing chart is also very active.
Next, an example is used to explain the buying and selling points in a comprehensive way.
As shown in Figure 1-1, the daily line first stood above the 60-day moving average and then retraced, the low point of the pullback has returned to below the 60-day moving average, and then the closing time returned to above the 60-day moving average. As you can see in Figure 1-1, after standing back to the 60-day moving average, it began to rise steadily, and the rise was accompanied by the amplification of the amount of energy, while the negative line of the pullback was a significant contraction. As the center of gravity began to move upward, the third retracement was supported at the 30-day moving average, and then a large-scale up-limit board broke out, opening a wave of continuous volume. The stock price rose from a low of $6.61 to $9.01 in a week, an increase of more than 30%. At this time, the center of gravity moved up again with the soaring stock price, and the next two volume pulls up are both pullbacks to the 20-day moving average, which is not only farther and farther away from the 60-day moving average, but also distances from the 30-day moving average. The moving averages of both the large and small levels are scattered upwards, forming a standard ascending channel trending bull stock.
It should be noted that as long as it is not in the main upward wave stage, it is difficult for medium-term white horse stocks to run above the 20-day moving average for a long time (those that can run above the 20-day moving average for a long time are in the rapid upward stage or the outbreak stage of dark horse stocks). Finally, in two consecutive trading days, Guoguang Electric stepped back to the 30-day moving average, and it was also a safe buying point at this time (we bought at this time based on the 30-day moving average, and when it fell below the 30-day moving average, we had to make a stop loss).
As shown in Figure 1-2, the time-sharing chart of China Optoelectronics can be seen from the figure, which is very active, fluctuating up and down every minute, indicating that there are funds in the game at every moment, only one day's time-sharing chart is listed here, interested readers can review the time-sharing chart of any day at this stage. The obvious feature is that both the daily line and the time-sharing can be released when the price rises, that is, there is real money and silver to promote its rise. Combined with the daily timeframe, the bulls generally have the absolute initiative. Comparing the trend of the market over the same period will be more clear.
Comparing the daily line of Guoguang Electric with the daily line of the Shanghai Stock Exchange in the same period, it can be found that Guoguang Electric has stepped out of the standard upward trend, while the long and short sides of the Shanghai Composite Index have been competing back and forth around 3000 points, and have maintained a shock pattern that cannot go up and down. This is also in line with the stock selection requirements we talked about earlier and independent of the broader market trend. Guoguang Electric's daily line is even more aggressive, because the stock price is still relatively low, it is a white horse stock with excellent performance below 15 yuan, and the circulation is less than 500 million shares.
Summary: Guoguang Electric meets the following requirements:
(1) After breaking through the 60-day moving average, the 60-day moving average retraced twice and retracted the shock upward on the 3rd.
(2) When breaking through a new high, it will be accompanied by a large volume, the turnover rate will become high, and the volume will shrink when the pullback.
(3) The retracement low does not break above the 60-day moving average and is getting farther and farther above the 60-day moving average.
(4) The trend is independent, there are traces of main control, and the capital activity is high.
From the above four points, it can be judged that Guoguang Electric meets the operational requirements of the medium-line stock. There are many more examples of this type in the stock market, which can be picked by reviewing them daily. Next, let's talk about the buying point, selling point and stop loss point of swing stocks.