As early as January 2023, Mike Minihan, a four-star general in the United States, instructed his subordinates that in 2025, China and the United States would go to war, and asked his subordinates to prepare for all parties as soon as possible.
[Washington Post report on Admiral Mike Minihan's remarks]
However, in the urgent international situation in recent years, the atmosphere between China and the United States is indeed not harmonious, and many people in the US military hold the same views as Mike Minihan, and the competition between the two countries is almost on the surface.
This has led many netizens to discuss the development trend of Sino-US relations, and Zhang Zhaozhong, who is called the "bureau seat" by netizens, has also predicted: Once China and the United States go to war, the United States may attack China in five steps.
【Zhang Zhaozhong】
First, the United States will quickly impose a naval blockade on China
With more than 18,000 kilometers of coastline, China is a real maritime power, and at the same time, China is also a well-deserved industrial power, and maritime transportation and shipping routes have always been the arteries of the mainland.
The United States has been the hegemon of the seas for decades, and even if it has not yet reached the point of saber rattling with China, it has continued to be.
In mid-April 2024, the United States launched a new "Section 301 investigation" against China, constantly looking for opportunities to interfere with and restrict the mainland's maritime and logistics shipbuilding industry.
[The United States restarts the "Section 301 investigation"]
Therefore, if there is really a war with China, the United States will definitely blockade the Indian Ocean and the Pacific Ocean as soon as possible, especially the Strait of Malacca, which connects the two oceans, so as to achieve the goal of blocking all China's import channels and drawing wages from the bottom of the kettle.
Second, the United States will threaten China by holding China's Taiwan hostage
A large part of the reason for the tension between China and the United States comes from the issue of China's Taiwan, which is well known to all, and China's Taiwan has a special geographical location that has a direct bearing on the coastal defense issue in the southeastern region of the mainland.
[The location of Taiwan, China is very important]
The United States has always used China's Taiwan as a bargaining chip to threaten the mainland.
Earlier, US Representative Jake Sullivan also said that "we will use all measures to ensure Taiwan's stability and peace" and will "continue to provide Taiwan with 'self-defense' means" to prevent "Taiwan from having trouble."
[U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan]
As a matter of fact, anyone with a discerning eye can see that the ultimate goal of the United States is to interfere in the mainland's internal affairs and suppress the mainland under the banner of "peace."
Moreover, Taiwan has been China's territory since ancient times, and if China and the United States go to war, then protecting China's Taiwan and the people on the island is also the most important task.
In addition, more people also believe that if war really breaks out between China and the United States, then the Taiwan issue of China may be the biggest reason.
Third, the United States will work with its allies to strike at China
In the Gulf War, the United States did just that, and the United States has a total of 65 allies around the world, and the mainland alone is surrounded by five US military allies: Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Thailand, and Australia.
["Encirclement" China's five major U.S. military allies]
is not uncommon on Earth.
The most recent example is Russia, since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, from a small cat to a large national industry, almost all people, things, and things in Russia have been sanctioned by the United States.
On May 1, 2024, the United States added nearly 300 more companies and individuals to the list of sanctions against Russia.
[Statement of the U.S. Treasury Department on sanctions against Russia]
If China and the United States go to war, then there is no need to think about it to know that the United States will definitely make every effort to call on all "small partners" to impose "super sanctions" on China.
Fourth, the United States will use a large number of the latest high-tech weapons
Information warfare is the main form of warfare in the 21 st century, and the US military, as the world's leading military force, has long possessed the capability of conducting mechanized combat with the support of information systems.
As early as 1991, when the United States launched an air raid on Iraq, it had already been carried out, and after electromagnetic interference, the US allied forces quickly seized air supremacy and defeated Iraq.
[U.S. warships shelled Iraq in the Gulf War]
Therefore, the United States, which has long tasted the sweetness of information warfare, will certainly throw all kinds of high-tech weapons developed in the 21 st century at China once it goes to war, and will do whatever it takes to cut off China's intelligence system and paralyze China's command system.
Fifth, the United States will strike at China's heavy industry
The importance of heavy industry to a country is self-evident, and the RAND think tank in the United States has put forward the strategy of "northern noose" in the study of war.
As the name suggests, it is to target energy stations and heavy industrial facilities in the north of the continent as the primary target.
【Heavy Industry Base in Northeast China】
Moreover, the United States already set such a precedent in the Kosovo War, and striking at key strategic targets such as electricity, transportation, and telecommunications, cutting off the enemy's material supply, and rapidly weakening the enemy's will to fight is the most convenient strategic means for the United States.
Therefore, once China and the United States fight, China's oil depots, energy bases, and heavy industry bases will inevitably bear the brunt.
In addition, according to the strategic analysis of the think tank, when the time comes, it will also be listed as the primary target of the United States, and its strategic purpose is the same as that of the "northern noose."
【Three Gorges Dam】
However, whether it is the conjecture of a four-star general in the United States or a series of simulation analysis by think tanks, the speed at which China's development of modern weapons and the cultivation of modern talents in the past 20 years has been very astonishing.
The mainland's defense system ranks first in the world, and the mainland's perfect anti-missile mechanism can effectively defend against threats from the sea or in the air.
In addition, in addition to the development of maritime transportation, the mainland also attaches great importance to land transportation, and if it is really blocked by sea, then trade and transportation can also be carried out from Russia, Myanmar, Uzbekistan and other countries.
Although a real conflict between China and the United States may have incalculable consequences for the whole world, we have been prepared for a long time.
Resources:
[1] New Comic Commentary: 301 Investigation Launched on China, American Piracy Exposed!
[2] U.S. officials said they would ensure that "something happens in Taiwan" will never happen, and the Ministry of Defense responded to the Ministry of Defense website
[3] What is real information warfare: Cold thinking on the form of future warfare · People's Liberation Army Daily
[4] "Black hand" again! The U.S. side announced a new round of Russia-related sanctions
[5] "The World's Greatest Source of Chaos" - A Brief History of U.S. Foreign Wars, China Youth Network