Given that the U.S.-Philippines Shoulder to Shoulder 2024 military exercise is not over yet, we need to continue to observe what will happen near the end of the U.S.-Philippine military exercise, and what bigger moves the U.S. and the Philippines will make in May, after all, Samuel Paparo has just taken office, and the probability of something happening will increase a little.
Producer: Chuantuo Think Tank (Issue 5136 Exclusive Debut)
The new commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific appeared, Chinese is Samuel Paparo, I have been following him for several years, before he was the commander of the Pacific Fleet of the U.S. military, why did I follow him for several years, because you remember that in 2020, when the COVID19 was a pandemic, the U.S. Navy aircraft carrier Roosevelt was recruited after docking in Vietnam.
Image interpretation: Samuel Paparo, the new commander of Indo-Pacific Command
Photo interpretation: U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin delivers a speech at the scene
Then the commander of the U.S. Pacific Fleet at that time was Aquilino, and the following year, Aquilino was transferred to the Indo-Pacific Command and was succeeded by Samuel Paparo. Now, four years later, Aquilino has retired from Indo-Pacific Command, and Samuel Paparo has taken over as commander of Indo-Pacific Command. It can be said that the two commanders of the Indo-Pacific Command in recent years have both come from the Pacific Fleet. It can be seen that the degree of importance that the U.S. military attaches to the Indo-Pacific Command and has been presiding over the work in the Indo-Pacific region for a long time is an important assessment criterion for the post of commander of the Indo-Pacific Command.
In fact, the Indo-Pacific Command has a very close relationship with us, and in the event of any confrontation or conflict between China and the United States in the Western Pacific, the Indo-Pacific Command will be responsible. That's why you hear the "Davidson window."
Picture interpretation: The isolation of the USS Roosevelt aircraft carrier is one of the embarrassing things that have happened in the Pacific Fleet in recent years
Picture interpretation: The incident on the USS Roosevelt also led to a quarrel between the US Navy, the Department of Defense, and Congress
This statement first came from Philip Davidson, commander of the Indo-Pacific Command, so the last time the "Davidson window" was mentioned in March, when John Aquilino, commander of the Indo-Pacific Command, testified on the spot in Congress, he mentioned the 2027 "Davidson window" This time node, he believes that the possibility of conflict will increase at this time, so he proposed to increase the funding of this year's Pacific Deterrence Program, as well as the defense budget for the 2025 fiscal year next year.
So today, Aquilino has officially retired and his successor, Samuel Paparo, has continued the line, looking at 2027 as a decision year, believing that conflict could happen, with only three years left at the moment.
Picture interpretation: Samuel Paparo takes over as commander of Indo-Pacific Command
On May 3, Samuel Paparo delivered his first speech since taking office, in which he made it clear that the idea of the nine-dash line is expansive and intrusive, and that it is necessary to further join forces with the Philippines to implement a containment strategy against us in the South China Sea and try to establish an order in line with US interests in the South China Sea.
Photo interpretation: The U.S.-Philippine military exercise is still ongoing
Picture interpretation: The scene of the military exercise between the United States and the Philippines last year
Based on the speech on May 3, it is not difficult to judge that the US military, and even other allies such as the Philippines, will inevitably intensify their provocations in the South China Sea, and more things may happen in the South China Sea.
As the saying goes, there are three fires when a new officer takes office, and now that Samuel Paparo has just taken over as commander of the Indo-Pacific Command, the first fire is aimed at the South China Sea. Given that the U.S.-Philippines Shoulder to Shoulder 2024 military exercise is not over yet, we need to continue to observe what will happen near the end of the U.S.-Philippine military exercise, and what bigger moves the U.S. and the Philippines will make in May, after all, Samuel Paparo has just taken office, and the probability of something happening will increase a little. This article was first published exclusively by @川陀智库 and is not reproduced in any form. #文章首发挑战赛#