Russia will inevitably be defeated! This viewpoint is valid from the essence of civilization, the logic of history, the military strategic preparations for the first 20 years of the war, and the tactical performance in the Russian-Ukrainian war.
The Russian-Ukrainian war is a continuation of the violent collision between the two major plates of Russian civilization and Western European civilization, and it is time to divide the final victory.
1. History: Russia's feud with Western Europe
1. The source of the division
The source of Russian civilization is the Eastern Roman Empire, which believes in Christianity and Orthodoxy, and the source of Western European civilization is based on the Western Roman Empire, which believes in Christianity and Catholicism.
The two civilizations are identical in origin. The core turning point was the fact that Muscovy was ruled by the Mongol Golden Horde for more than 200 years from 1237 to 1482, which was the source of the split between the two major civilizations:
During the more than two hundred years of rule, the Mongols' belief in the land became the political value of Russian civilization.
2. The history of the war
Tsarist Russia, with the same religion as Western Europe, inherited from the peak combat power of the Mongols in the cold weapon era, and the centralized system with the tsar as the core mobilized the power of the country and launched almost endless wars against its neighbors. With the war, its territory expanded from more than 1,000 square kilometers at the beginning to 22 million square kilometers in more than 300 years.
During this period, Russia fought numerous wars with the countries of western Europe, including the war between Russia and Sweden, which lasted for more than 200 years, and seized the mouth of the Gulf of Finland and a large area of land around the Baltic Sea: (including the three Baltic states).
Russia fought a war with Ottoman Turkey for more than two hundred years, eventually seizing the Black Sea coast. Russia has carved up Poland three times in history, making the state of Poland in its modern form only a few decades old. And others such as the Russo-French war, the Soviet-Finnish war, the Soviet-German war...... The list goes on and on, so to speak. The history of Russia is a history of war.
3. The continuation of history
Two great civilizations, with the Great Plain of Eastern Europe as the battlefield: countless corpses are piled up like mountains and rivers of blood. I don't know how much bad luck has fallen in the countries of Western Europe. Western Europeans could not defeat Russia, so they called the Russians "Oriental barbarians".
Such historical grievances have continued, such as the Russian-Swedish war for more than 200 years during the Tsarist period, and the Soviet-Finnish war during the Soviet Russian period: Sweden continues to the present, Finland gave up its neutrality, joined NATO, aided Ukraine, and wanted Russia to lose......
The first opponent behind the Russian-Ukrainian war is not Russia and the United States, but Russia and Western Europe are confronting each other, and it is just a continuation of history.
2. History: A torrent has been formed
Based on the fact that the Russian-European confrontation is the first essence of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Russian-Ukrainian war is a continuation of the history of Russian-European confrontation. Then the following choices are inevitable, and it is also inevitable to choose to form a historical torrent:
1. Europe's choice: Russia must lose
Now everyone should understand that even if Europe does not use gas, even if it is "frozen to death", even if the economy declines, even if the euro depreciates, France, Germany, Poland, Great Britain, the Netherlands, Finland...... A large group of European countries, armed themselves, are also going to defeat Russia.
Chancellor Sulz said: Russia must lose; President Macron said: Russia cannot win;
Britain and France jointly issued a statement: the defeat of Ukraine is the defeat of the entire West.
This is not just rhetoric, because the West has historically referred to the western part of Europe: the western part of Russia.
2. The United States: the choice of being "forced".
It is precisely on the basis of the centuries-old hatred between Russia and Europe that when Russian President Vladimir Putin sent a compromise signal to the United States in February this year, and the pro-Russian Trump faction in the United States also responded positively, Europe immediately jumped up: and then threatened to dissolve NATO and arm itself; the 21 countries of the European Union wrote letters to the US House of Representatives, and European leaders continued to make speeches or go to the United States in person to persuade and coax, coax, and frighten the United States to force the pro-Russian faction in the United States to choose.
French President Emmanuel Macron even said: The United States will either lead the resistance to Russia, or it will not point fingers at the EU.
Under such strong pressure, on April 19, "Understanding the King" Trump finally changed his words: Ukraine's survival is very important to the United States. However, it is even more important for Europe...... Europe has an effort to make.
On February 10, Trump also stated that if allies do not pay protection money, he will encourage Russia to do so.
Why are the pro-Russian factions in the United States so pro-Russian? Because based on Kissinger's theory, the existence of Russia can suppress the rise of Europe, so that Europe cannot do without the United States in terms of security. The United States can balance the Eurasian continent and firmly control the world's dominance – which is really the core interest of Trump's "American interests first".
However, this time Europe forced the United States to choose, and the United States did not have a choice. On April 23, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to aid Ukraine.
The Yankees, who always force others to take sides, were viciously persecuted by Europe this time.
3. Select, has formed a torrent of history
Other countries are siding with Europe.
Such as those who have hatred with Russia: Japan, South Korea......
Such as fear of being next: such as all the republicans of the former Soviet Union except Belarus.
Such as the 53 Commonwealth countries that owe allegiance to the British king: India, Canada, Australia, Pakistan......
Such as turning in the conflict: Serbia, Hungary, Argentina, Arab countries......
For example, there are advantages to following in line: such as Vietnam......
Such as those who turned against each other in the Russian-Ukrainian war: such as Israel......
History is based on choice, and choice makes history. When history has formed a torrent, who can stand in the torrent? Not even the United States.
III. Final Words
Leo Tolstoy's magnificent masterpiece "War and Peace" is the most brilliant movement of human reflection under the violent collision between Russian civilization and Western European civilization: this is the most brilliant melody of Russian civilization at the peak of the empire under the enlightened monarchy.
If Russian civilization is really to rise again, there must be such people as Tolstoy, Chekov, Mendeleev, Tchaikovsky, Repin......
However, judging from the current state of Russian civilization, it should not have such an opportunity
Based on historical logic, the views of Strelkov, the Russian god of war, General Ivashov, chairman of the All-Russian Military Officers' Conference, Narvani, the leader of the Russian opposition, and Prigozhin, the head of Wagner, are also valid: In the Russian-Ukrainian war, Russia will inevitably be defeated, collapsed and even destroyed.
I understand Strelkov's tears, what a pain it is for an ultra-patriotic leader to see the final terrible outcome for the Motherland, but nothing can be done about it!
But history is history, and the grievances between Russia and Europe have come to the time to divide the final victory:
I have the heart to watch the wind and rain, and I have no intention of writing poetry books.
Who sighs for tonight's dream, it is difficult to fly to Russia and Ukraine.
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