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With 63% in favor of the polls, can the constitutional amendment be Fumio Kishida's trump card to save the decline?

author:Ink reads spring and autumn

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, although he broke up the various forces in the Liberal Democratic Party and caused many bigwigs to be robbed, but he himself killed 1,000 enemies and lost 800 of his own money, and if he wants to win the presidential election in September, it is almost impossible to leave the support of the last faction, the Aso faction. And Taro Aso, the leader of the Aso faction, was completely ignored when Kishida dissolved the faction, and he was angry and released a rumor that he would not support Kishida's re-election. For a time, Foreign Minister Yoko Kamikawa was put on the altar, and of course, it can be said that he was put on the fire and was half-baked, and when the US government reached out and received Kishida as a state guest. When Kishida returned, Taro Aso suddenly changed his tone, saying that Kishida was still good, and went to the United States to meet Trump instead of Kishida, saying that it was for the arrival of Trump's new era and expanding his network.

With 63% in favor of the polls, can the constitutional amendment be Fumio Kishida's trump card to save the decline?

I have always suspected that the change in Aso's attitude is related to a certain promise made by Kishida, and this promise is the revision of the peace constitution. Because in addition to amending the constitution, Kishida no longer has a bargaining chip for Aso Taro to choose to support his re-election, after all, Aso Taro was born in 1940 is 84 years old, and his political life will not be too long, if he can realize the revision of Japan's pacifist constitution before leaving politics and serving as vice president of the Liberal Democratic Party, it will be the most beautiful touch of color in Aso's political career, not only Kishida Fumio himself will become an outstanding prime minister in Japanese history, but Aso Taro will also become one of the most outstanding politicians.

With 63% in favor of the polls, can the constitutional amendment be Fumio Kishida's trump card to save the decline?

Although there are too many people in the Liberal Democratic Party who do not want to give Kishida this achievement, Kishida is after all in the high position of prime minister and has the advantage of being close to the water, and if Kishida forcibly breaks through, just like the forced dissolution of the faction in January, it seems that it is not impossible for the Kishida cabinet to achieve constitutional amendment. Kishida's approach to the situation is incomprehensible to Kishida's political enemies and allies, who looks like a gentle sheep, but in fact is a ruthless wolf, not only very stubborn but also extremely ruthless, in order to govern, he can sacrifice anyone, even the faction has been disbanded, and countless people have been offended, and it is even very likely that his own son's succession has been cut off.

With 63% in favor of the polls, can the constitutional amendment be Fumio Kishida's trump card to save the decline?

Therefore, if Kishida, a truly ruthless person, amends the constitution in order to govern regardless of everyone's opposition, and buys Aso with the historical achievement of revising the constitution, Aso will definitely agree happily and continue to support Kishida in the presidential election. Looking at the recent introduction of Asa Sheng by the Japanese media, it seems that Kishida has released his previous suspicions, and Kishida's vision has regained warmth, so the author has reason to suspect that Kishida has already agreed with Aso that he will use the amendment of the constitution as an important bargaining chip to seek victory in the presidential election.

Of course, it has been 69 years since the LDP was founded in 1955 and 70 years since the LDP was founded, during which the Shinzo Abe government approved the "exercise of the right of group self-defense" and the Fumio Kishida government approved the "possession of the ability to counterattack enemy bases" Japan's pacifist constitution has long been left with only Airbus, and the constitution has not been amended for a long time, not only because of the opposition parties and the opposition of the people in Japan, but also because the constitution was formulated by the United States after all, and overturning the content set by the Americans always has some significance for challenging the outcome of World War II.

With 63% in favor of the polls, can the constitutional amendment be Fumio Kishida's trump card to save the decline?

At present, the United States and European countries are constantly challenging the principles formulated by the post-war order against Russia, and the whole of Japan feels the opportunity to get rid of its post-war status, so if Kishida consults with the United States and makes some adjustments in his name, and puts it in a more pleasant way, he may be able to achieve the goal of giving the United States face and amending the constitution. As for how to change the original constitution, it will require a certain amount of wisdom from the Japanese political and academic circles, and perhaps the corresponding wisdom from the Americans. It's just that I don't know what price the Biden administration will ask Japan to pay before it is willing to let the wolf of Japan out of the mountain.

On May 3, Japan's Constitution Memorial Day, the Yomiuri Shimbun conducted a nationwide poll of public opinion on revising the Constitution, and found that 63% of people were in favor of amending the Constitution, the highest since the survey began in 2015, and 35% were against it. It is said that the percentage of people in favor of the clause has exceeded 60 percent for three consecutive years, and although 75 percent of the people still oppose the "renunciation of war" clause, 53 percent of the people are in favor of amending the clause "no military force." In other words, although the Japanese people still do not want to start a war, they are mostly in favor of improving their military capabilities.

With 63% in favor of the polls, can the constitutional amendment be Fumio Kishida's trump card to save the decline?

Prime Minister Kishida himself is said to have directly put forward the goal of revising the constitution by September, but whether Kishida is just saying something or simply propaganda depends on the direction of Japan's political struggle in the future. In short, Japan, which had been held back by the pacifist constitution for 80 years after the war, may rejoin the ranks of the colonizers it was in the near future.