To say that the Western media's ability to fan the flames is really world-class! Here, a new round of military aid to Ukraine from the United States and European countries has just been confirmed, and the analysis of the Russian-Ukrainian war situation that has begun to be written on the premise of "Russia's advantage in Ukraine has narrowed" has been published. Moreover, it is concluded that the Russian army will have big problems in terms of the quality, quantity and number of weapons, and then lose the advantage it has now. So, will massive Western military aid ensure Ukraine's victory this year?
At present, the Western media are focusing on whether Russia can still have an advantage in terms of weapons and equipment and the number of troops after Ukraine receives a large amount of military aid. After all, it is now very close to the time when Ukrainian intelligence expects a new large-scale offensive by the Russian army at the end of May or early June. However, under the comparative analysis of the Western media, it is believed that with the arrival of a large amount of military aid from the United States and European countries, Russia will expose the disadvantages of poor quality of its weapons and ammunition and the extremely poor quality of its soldiers.
According to the analysis of Western military experts, the Russian army has maintained a very fierce offensive momentum and firepower intensity for half a year after the start of the war in 2022. Before the fall of 2022, the Russian army was able to fire 60,000 shells per day at the positions of the Ukrainian army, so that the Ukrainian army could hardly get out of the trenches. However, as the war dragged on for too long, the Russian army not only saw a sharp drop in the number of shells per day, but also used a lot of "low-tech" weapons and ammunition from the Soviet era, and even faced the dilemma of a significant decline in quality. For example, the frequent use of a large number of low-tech "gliding bombs", the purchase of low-quality artillery shells and missiles from North Korea, etc. - these cannot be compared with the advanced weapons and equipment that the United States and the West are about to deliver to Ukraine!
It is believed that with most of Russia's experienced veterans killed or disabled in battle, Russia's battlefield advantage is now won by a large number of inadequately trained recruits as "cannon fodder". According to NATO intelligence, Russia can now recruit 30,000 new recruits per month, which has allowed its front-line soldiers to skyrocket by 110,000 in one year! However, the West believes that Russia's recruitment method will be difficult to use in the future in the war with the Kharkiv or Unan regions, which have been armed with a large amount of Western military aid. Because with Russia's military spending, it will be difficult to continue to use this conscription model in the huge attrition of such a two-front battle!
At the same time, Western military experts believe that of these two flaws, which are fatal for Russia, Ukraine is now definitely surpassing the vast majority of Russian troops, at least in terms of the quality of weapons and equipment. After all, the $61 billion in military aid just approved by the United States includes a large number of Patriot air defense systems, various missiles, long-range rocket artillery, armored vehicles, artillery, and a large number of shells and bullets urgently needed by Ukraine, while Britain, Germany, France and other European powers will also provide long-range cruise missiles, anti-aircraft and anti-tank ammunition, tanks, artillery shells, and personnel training in varying quantities. In addition, countries such as Denmark and the Netherlands will also begin to deliver F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine after the summer.
It can be said that after the United States and the West "smashed" nearly 100 billion US dollars, the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army will at least skyrocket by several percent. But in order to transform these advanced and large quantities of weapons and equipment into real combat effectiveness, then Ukraine now has to solve a big problem: the depletion of troops!
You must know that Ukraine has experienced the exodus of millions of nationals from other countries at the beginning of the war, including a large number of soldiers of appropriate age. In the following two years, various means were used to carry out multiple rounds of conscription and "catch strong men", so that the current potential of Ukraine's reserve soldiers has long been exhausted. Therefore, even now after Zelensky has repeatedly lowered the conscription age and implemented the indefinite service policy of "fighting to the death", the Ukrainian army is still facing the dilemma of finding a sufficient number of recruits. Not to mention the fact that a large number of school-age children of powerful and wealthy people have fled the country, which has extinguished any possibility for the people at the bottom of Ukraine to respond to the call for service!
However, as a "lucky person" who has been "internally determined" by Western countries to consume Russia's national strength, how can Ukraine now say that it has "no soldiers" when the United States and the West are about to send tens of billions of dollars worth of military aid? Even if this is the real status quo, then the United States and the West will find a way to overcome this difficulty for him -- after all, the "gallows" here have been laid out, and Ukraine suddenly says that it does not want to "die", can this work?
As a result, in the past two days, Poland first announced that it would no longer renew visas for more than 200,000 Ukrainian men who had taken refuge in the country and were suitable for military service, and was ready to take various measures to "help" them return to Ukraine after their visas expired to fulfill the "military service" call issued to them by their motherland. Subsequently, Lithuania, a country that has also received a lot of Ukrainian refugees, is also ready to learn from Poland's approach and is considering how to deal with these Ukrainian refugees who are suitable for military service.
You must know that if these two countries can successfully repatriate hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian men of school age to return home, then the Ukrainian army will add hundreds of thousands of troops. And after these people have undergone short-term military training that is better than nothing, and have been allocated weapons and equipment aided by the United States and the West, even if their combat effectiveness cannot be compared with that of veterans, at least they have a numerical advantage all of a sudden, and they can definitely stabilize the current defense line of the Ukrainian army, consume more Russian aerial bombs and shells, and achieve the goal of further squeezing Russia's national strength!
Of course, such a situation can only maintain the status quo in Ukraine, and there is no hope of winning. But as long as it can hold out until the end of the US election at the end of the year, then this "investment" of the United States and the West will be meaningful. As for how many people will die in Ukraine, it is not at all what the United States and Western countries that keep saying that they support Ukraine's sovereignty and integrity care about!